Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-3   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-5   Win (4/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-6   Win (1/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-7   Win (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-8   Win (7/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M GONE Jul08         (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 3.50    
SNUGGLE BUNNY         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLY FREE Jul08         (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 8.00    
LONG MAY SHE RUN         (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 117 4.50    
ZORINA         (moreno carl)MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAYA D Jul08         (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
 
ARP-3   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ FITZ         (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 117 4.50 9% 9.60    
I'M A TRUMPER         (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 115 10.00 9% 9.60    
CHASING THE KING Jul16         (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 15.00    
PALACE PATCH         (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 117 8.00    
SHUDDER Jul16 Apr15       (barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50    
TAP TAP HUSTO         (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
ARP-4   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAL Jul02 Jun25 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
THORNISH Jul02 Jun09 Jun03 May20 Apr01 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  EXCITING Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 May16 Apr24 (kemper kerry)LULL E 124 4.50    
LIL LATIGO Jul10 Jul02 Jun19 Apr01 Mar27 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
SILVER AND ACES Jul03 Sep27 Sep19 Jul30 Jul02 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00    
SCR  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 Apr29 Apr09 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50    
 
ARP-5   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 Mar18 Nov30 (christian billy)LULL E 120 8.00    
BARTSTER Jul15 Jun19 Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
BARREL MAN Jul15 Jul02       (triana ma)MARTIN A 117 10.00    
SWAY BACK WHEN Jul10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Jul18 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
CORTE Jul02 Jun18 May27 Apr29 Mar31 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 9% 10.10    
ENDALE ARCH Jun19 May21 May06 Apr05 Mar20 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 120 4.50    
BIG PEN TEN Jul15 Jun19 Apr12 Jan28   (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 7% 13.10    
 
ARP-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKTRIP VAN Jul10 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
KNIGHTED Jul10 Jun19 May20 May13 Apr15 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 12.00    
MY MAN BIGGIE Jul08 Jun17 May06 Mar25 Mar11 (ortega joe)LULL E 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
GUEST CHECK Jun24 Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7% 12.50    
THREE FOR THREE Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 Oct02 Sep18 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00    
PARTYOFSIXTEEN Jul10 Jun17 May01 Apr04 Mar19 (barraza sos)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Jul10 Feb28 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (garrett j)TORRES J 121 6.00    
PRECEDENT Jul02 Jun17 Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.00 15% 5.70    
 
ARP-7   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Oaks Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING THE POSSE Jul16 Jun24 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 (triana ma)MARTIN A 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
IMA HOT TOTTIE Jul17 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21   (vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 122 12.00    
FLYING LADY Jul16 Jun25 Sep11 Aug21   (martinez a)WALES T 122 4.50    
MISTY GIRL Jul16         (hall monk)RAMOS B 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  LAST AMIGA Jul16         (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 122 20.00    
JUST A SEC Jul16         (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
YA THINK Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Sep25 Sep11 (triana juan)MEDINA ANGEL 122 15.00 9% 10.70    
MS BUMBLEBEE Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Sep25 Sep11 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00    
 
ARP-8   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEF Apr25 Apr10 Mar11 Feb22 Feb14 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
TIGER BY HIS TAIL Jul09 Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 (barrio sergio)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  GRAN EDITION Jul09 Jul02 Oct02 Sep25 Aug01 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jul16 Jun18 Apr15 Mar25 Feb22 (esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May29 May21 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.50    
TASHKENT Jul03 Feb10 Jan08 Dec15 Dec01 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00 19% 4.30    
SUEZ Jul03 Jun19 May13 May06 Apr22 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
JIMBO'S BIZ Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 May06 Apr22 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
PERVASIVE Jun18 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
SCR  GREY ROGUE Jul17 Jun25 Apr29 Mar25 Feb18 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.