Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.60  
ARP-3   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
ARP-4   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.80  
ARP-5   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $7.60  
ARP-6   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $19.80  
ARP-7   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $40.00  
ARP-8   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:151     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPS GIRL ALEXA 4 1 4 4   3 1 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 2.80  
RETRO RITA 1 3 11 11   1½ 2 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 15.00 26% 2.80 1.70 P
EXODUS AND HOPE 3 2 3 32   2½ 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7.50  
IMA HOT TOTTIE 2 4 21 21   45 421 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00  
SCR  TEQUILA RITA               (loftin linda)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50    
 
ARP-3   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE TASK 1 3 11 1   1 110¼ (hall monk)WALES T 121 10.00 15% 5.50 0.30 W
AUTISM WARRIOR 2 4 4 3   3 210¼ (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 51% 1.00 12.00 P
EUSEBIO 3 2 21 2   2 312¼ (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 120 2.50 1.60  
ROUGE SUNSET 4 1 3 4   47 419¼ (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 18.60  
SCR  TOO LATE               (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
 
ARP-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA SAUCE 5 1 1 1   1 1 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 3.90  
STOLEN HALO 1 4 32 3   2 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 31% 2.30 1.10 P
ANGIE'S REVRAC 2 3 43 4   34 3 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 3.50 34% 1.90 4.00 S
MANDONA 3 2 2 2   4 413½ (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 2.10  
CRIMSON T. 4 5 5 5   56 513½ (young a)LULL E 124 20.00 15.50  
 
ARP-5   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHODIUM RUNNER 2 3 32 3   31 1 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 2.80  
WEBCAM 5 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 15.00 3.30  
CLEARLY MAD 3 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 4.50 5.40  
MUCHO GIFTED 4 4 4 42   43 47 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 22% 3.60 1.90  
NO LIMITATION 1 5 55 54   5 5 (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 3.00  
 
ARP-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :592     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN FIRE 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 1 (christian billy)LULL E 120 8.00 8.90  
CRYSTAL BANDIT 2 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 2 (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 7.90  
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 4 4 4 4   34 3 (garrett j)WALES T 124 2.50 33% 2.00 0.20 S
GUEST CHECK 5 5 55 5   58 413¾ (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 8.70  
BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 3 2 2½ 32   47 517 (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 29% 2.40 6.80  
 
ARP-7   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LOLA 1 6 4 2½   11 1 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 15.00 19.00  
WHISTLING HOME 5 1 2nk 3½   21 2 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 16% 5.40 1.90 P
COCKTAIL SLIPPERS 2 3 1nk 1½   3 3 (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.00 24% 3.20 2.70 S
QUEENS RANSOM 3 5 6 6   5 410¾ (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 30.80  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 4 4 52 5   43 514 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 15.90  
GRACIE'S A TIGER 6 2 31 41   65 617¾ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.00  
 
ARP-8   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:124     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMBO'S BIZ 2 4 6 5   2½ 1 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50 35% 1.80 0.20 W
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 2 (barrio sergio)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 8.00 6.50  
TOMBI 1 5 42 6   4 39 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 14% 6.30 15.80 S
CHEF 7 1 31 31   3 4 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 7.60  
PERVASIVE 5 7 52 4   56 516¼ (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 26.30  
HOT ARTIE 6 3 2½ 2½   6 631¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 14% 6.30 18.00  
MCORO 3 6 7 7   7 735½ (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 16.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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