Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/4)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4/3)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/2/5)-(2/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-8   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETRO RITA Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 15.00 26% 2.80    
2  IMA HOT TOTTIE Aug13 Jul29 Jul17 Sep25 Sep11 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  EXODUS AND HOPE Aug14 Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
SCR  TEQUILA RITA Aug05 Jul16 Sep26 Sep13 Aug15 (loftin lind)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50    
5  POPS GIRL ALEXA Aug14 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 May14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
 
ARP-3   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE TASK Aug26 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 (hall monk)WALES T 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR Aug26 Jun19 Mar18 Jan31 Dec22 (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  TOO LATE Aug21 Aug14 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
4  EUSEBIO Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 Jun19 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
5  ROUGE SUNSET Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 Jun17 May05 (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
 
ARP-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN HALO Aug14 Jul22 Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
2  ANGIE'S REVRAC Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  MANDONA Jul30 Jul08 Jun19 Apr08 Mar28 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50    
4  CRIMSON T. Aug14 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May14 (young a)LULL E 124 20.00    
5  EXTRA SAUCE Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May05 Apr12 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
ARP-5   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO LIMITATION Aug26 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 May20 (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  RHODIUM RUNNER Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 May01 Apr11 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00    
3  CLEARLY MAD Aug26 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 4.50    
4  MUCHO GIFTED Aug26 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  WEBCAM Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Apr15 Apr01 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN FIRE Aug21 Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun18 (christian billy)LULL E 120 8.00    
2  CRYSTAL BANDIT Aug21 Sep11 Jul17 Jun12 Apr12 (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
3  BEE EXXTRAVAGANT Aug14 Jul31 Aug15 Aug02 Jul17 (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 Feb28 Jul19 (garrett j)WALES T 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  GUEST CHECK Aug14 Jul29 Jun24 Apr25 Apr05 (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50    
 
ARP-7   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY LOLA Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 May06 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 15.00    
2  COCKTAIL SLIPPERS Jul23 Jun24 Apr24     (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  QUEENS RANSOM Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May06 (perkinson cc)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00    
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Aug07 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 May01 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50    
5  WHISTLING HOME Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 Apr17 Mar18 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  GRACIE'S A TIGER Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Mar12 Jan10 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
ARP-8   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMBI Aug13 Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  JIMBO'S BIZ Aug19 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  MCORO Aug14 Sep02 Aug07 Jun19 May21 (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Aug19 Jul29 Jul09 Apr02 Mar26 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00    
5  PERVASIVE Aug19 Jul29 Jun18 May20 May06 (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00    
6  HOT ARTIE Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 14% 6.30    
7  CHEF Aug20 Jul29 Apr25 Apr10 Mar11 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.