Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $15.40 $7.40 93%
    EXA (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $89.20 $65.20 272%
    TRI (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  6-1-5 $763.80 $715.80 1491%
ARP-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-1 $44.60 $32.60 272%
ARP-5   PK3 (4/5/6/1)-(4/1/3)-(4/3/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00  6-3-3 $117.40 $45.40 63%
ARP-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-5 $17.80 $13.80 345%
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/3/2)-(1/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00  3-3-1 $264.80 $228.80 636%
ARP-8   SFT (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-1-5-4 $87.50 $63.50 265%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PUT PUT PUT 6 3 55½ 52½   51¾ 1¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 15% 5.80 6.70 W
  (by ZIP QUIK out of LABAR by BIANCONI)
1  JAKE ON DAKAN 1 4 11 2nk   1nk 2¾ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 15.00 13% 6.60 3.30 P
  (by FOREST PEACE out of GHOSTRUNNER by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  CHROMESIDSATION 5 7 711½ 78½   63¾ 32¼ (garrett j)TORRES J 120 3.50 19% 4.40 5.70 S
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SWING IT DISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  RUNNIN BUFFALO 2 2 32 41½   31 42¼ (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 28.20  
  (by ELMAZEED out of LANA'S LEGACY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  OLD FASHION TIME 3 5 43½ 31   41½ 53 (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 10.80  
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of OLD FASHION LOVE by BELLINGHAM)
7  GUTFIELD 7 1 21 1nk   2nk 65¼ (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 1.20  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  SILENCE'S NATION 4 6 67½ 66½   77¾ 721¼ (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 2.50 33% 2.10 5.00  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
 
ARP-4   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 2 1½ 11½   13 19¾ (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
1  MISS IZZY BEE 1 5 43½ 33½   23 29¾ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 27% 2.70 5.70 P
4  DAHLIA'S DANCER 4 1 2½ 21½   34½ 314 (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20 S
5  BREAKFAST BALL 5 3 32½ 45½   45½ 416 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 4.50 2.10  
2  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 2 4 54 56½   55½ 517¾ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 10.10  
 
ARP-5   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 3 2 12½ 14   15 112½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 14% 6.10 0.20 W
1  LADY PHYLLIS 1 3 32½ 24   25 212½ (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 9.20  
4  LIL MISS DE BUY 4 4 22½ 34   35 312½ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 51% 1.00 7.50 S
2  REMARKABLE CHARM 2 5 55½ 59   48 414¼ (roberts m)LULL E 124 12.00 7% 13.50 15.40  
6  PROMPTLY DONE 6 1 43½ 48   59½ 518¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50 5.70  
5  EVIE 5 6 66½ 611   612½ 627 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 34.30  
 
ARP-6   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET JOE 1 2 21 22   21 1¾ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.80 W
5  ITS A DEAL 4 1 11 12   11 2¾ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 20.00 33% 2.10 2.90 P
2  RED WES 2 3 31½ 43½   35 313½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 121 4.50 1.00  
3  BRON AND THE BROW 3 4 41½ 33½   45½ 414 (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5.40  
SCR  YHA YHA               (childs ru)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
 
ARP-7   08/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLO TIME 2 5 11 1½   12½ 14½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 0.90  
7  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 7 1 54 54   33 24½ (christian billy)RAMOS B 119 15.00 10% 9.40 9.90 P
5  COLD AS YOU 5 2 42½ 31½   22½ 311½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 27.50  
1  DIVA'S DIVA 1 4 76 64½   54 412½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 11.60  
4  SHE'S MY RIDE 4 7 65½ 78   77½ 514 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 3.50 12% 7.10 2.20  
6  LA ROSA DRIVE 6 6 31½ 2½   64½ 616½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 36% 1.80 5.80  
3  AMERICAN REALITY 3 3 21 42½   43½ 717¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 9% 10.40 12.90  
 
ARP-8   08/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PICK A LANE FRANK 3 3 2½ 1½   1½ 11½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 2.50 17% 4.90 0.90 W
1  FRIENDLY FOE 1 2 1½ 31   31 21½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 11% 8.40 3.70 P
5  CASH EXPRESS 5 6 3½ 2½   2½ 31½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 52% 0.90 2.30 S
4  BUMPER POOL 4 5 62¾ 57   45 417¼ (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
6  CAPTAIN COMEBACK 6 7 51¼ 43   55 519 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 39.60  
7  ALL RISE UP 7 1 41 612   625 692½ (chavez juan)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 18.30  
2  ABRIERWIN 2 4 712¾ 7100   7100 7100 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 11.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.