Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 7.40
ARP-4   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
ARP-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
ARP-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
ARP-7   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $3.80  
ARP-8   Win (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUT PUT PUT 6 3 5 5   5 1¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 15% 5.80 6.70 W
JAKE ON DAKAN 1 4 11 2nk   1nk 2¾ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 15.00 13% 6.60 3.30 P
CHROMESIDSATION 5 7 711½ 7   6 3 (garrett j)TORRES J 120 3.50 19% 4.40 5.70 S
RUNNIN BUFFALO 2 2 32 4   31 4 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 28.20  
OLD FASHION TIME 3 5 4 31   4 53 (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 10.80  
GUTFIELD 7 1 21 1nk   2nk 6 (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 1.20  
SILENCE'S NATION 4 6 6 6   7 721¼ (barraza s)RAMOS B 120 2.50 33% 2.10 5.00  
 
ARP-4   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 3 2 1½ 1   13 1 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
MISS IZZY BEE 1 5 4 3   23 2 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 3.50 27% 2.70 5.70 P
DAHLIA'S DANCER 4 1 2½ 2   3 314 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20 S
BREAKFAST BALL 5 3 3 4   4 416 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 4.50 2.10  
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 2 4 54 5   5 517¾ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 10.10  
 
ARP-5   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 3 2 1 14   15 112½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 14% 6.10 0.20 W
LADY PHYLLIS 1 3 3 24   25 212½ (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 9.20  
LIL MISS DE BUY 4 4 2 34   35 312½ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 51% 1.00 7.50 S
REMARKABLE CHARM 2 5 5 59   48 414¼ (roberts m)LULL E 124 12.00 7% 13.50 15.40  
PROMPTLY DONE 6 1 4 48   5 518¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50 5.70  
EVIE 5 6 6 611   612½ 627 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 34.30  
 
ARP-6   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET JOE 1 2 21 22   21 1¾ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.80 W
ITS A DEAL 4 1 11 12   11 2¾ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 20.00 33% 2.10 2.90 P
RED WES 2 3 3 4   35 313½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 121 4.50 1.00  
BRON AND THE BROW 3 4 4 3   4 414 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5.40  
SCR  YHA YHA               (childs russ)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
 
ARP-7   08/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLO TIME 2 5 11 1½   1 1 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 0.90  
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 7 1 54 54   33 2 (christian billy)RAMOS B 119 15.00 10% 9.40 9.90 P
COLD AS YOU 5 2 4 3   2 311½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 27.50  
DIVA'S DIVA 1 4 76 6   54 412½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 11.60  
SHE'S MY RIDE 4 7 6 78   7 514 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 3.50 12% 7.10 2.20  
LA ROSA DRIVE 6 6 3 2½   6 616½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 36% 1.80 5.80  
AMERICAN REALITY 3 3 21 4   4 717¼ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 9% 10.40 12.90  
 
ARP-8   08/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK A LANE FRANK 3 3 2½ 1½   1½ 1 (christian billy)LULL E 124 2.50 17% 4.90 0.90 W
FRIENDLY FOE 1 2 1½ 31   31 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 11% 8.40 3.70 P
CASH EXPRESS 5 6 3½ 2½   2½ 3 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 52% 0.90 2.30 S
BUMPER POOL 4 5 6 57   45 417¼ (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
CAPTAIN COMEBACK 6 7 5 43   55 519 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 39.60  
ALL RISE UP 7 1 41 612   625 692½ (chavez juan)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 18.30  
ABRIERWIN 2 4 712¾ 7100   7100 7100 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 11.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.