The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $28.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5-3 3 0 $73.60 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $20.60 -6.00
    Exacta (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 7-6 2 0 $57.80 -18.00
    Trifecta (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 7-6-2 3 0 $584.80 -36.00
ARP-5   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 13.20
    Exacta (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 1 $52.00 $52.00 40.00
    Trifecta (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5-1 3 1 $143.20 $143.20 131.20
    Pick Three (4/3/2)-(6/4/1)-(5/1/4) 27 $2.00 $54.00 4-7-4 3 0 $1551.00 -54.00
ARP-6   Win (2/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
    Exacta (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-6 2 1 $14.80 $14.80 -9.20
    Trifecta (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-6-5 3 0 $55.40 -48.00
    Pick Three (6/4/1)-(5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 7-4-ALL 3 0 $43.40 -72.00
    Pick Three (6/4/1)-(5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 7-ALL-2 3 0 $43.40 -72.00
ARP-7   Win (7/9/6/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -2.60
    Exacta (7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-9 2 1 $18.80 $18.80 -21.20
    Trifecta (7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1) 60 $2.00 $120.00 1-9-6 3 1 $182.00 $182.00 62.00
    Pick Three (5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(7/9/6/5/1) 60 $2.00 $120.00 4-2-1 3 1 $484.40 $484.40 364.40
ARP-8   Win (9/7/6/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $16.80 -10.00
    Exacta (9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 11-3 2 0 $257.60 -40.00
    Trifecta (9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 60 $2.00 $120.00 11-3-9 3 0 $1479.20 -120.00
    Pick Three (2/6/1/4)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(9/7/6/10/5) 100 $2.00 $200.00 2-1-11 3 0 $94.00 -200.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:223 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS DE BUY 4 5 4 42   41(vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.00 40% 1.50 1.10 W
EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE 5 6 5 52   2nk 2(rust terri)WALES T 124 20.00 10.20  
DONNAS FINAL WORD 3 2 3 3   1nk 3(vicchrilli russe)LUARK T 121 10.00 28% 2.60 2.60 S
LADY PHYLLIS 6 1 6 6   5411½ (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 3.00  
MY MEADOW 1 4 1½ 2½   6519¼ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 9.50  
OUT OF THE SKY 2 3 2½ 1½   31 622¼ (jenkins l)LULL E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
 
ARP-4   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:22 :462 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT ON TIME 7 1 42 42   2½ 1(rust terri)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9.30  
TOO LATE 6 3 2½ 31   1½ 2(rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30 0.80 P
HONKY TONK MUSIC 2 5 710½ 711   53 3(tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 32.10  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 4 2 3½ 2½   349 (wheeler travi)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 29% 2.50 2.80  
ORDER OF THE DAY 5 6 57 69   7512 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 29.50  
DEL ARGENT 1 7 6 58   67 614¼ (alire randy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
LEFT THE BAR 3 4 1½ 1½   4715¼ (kenney dan)WALES T 120 2.50 5.80  
 
ARP-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:22 :462 :592     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGIE'S REVRAC 3 4 32 3   11 1(muckey john)RAMOS B 124 6.00 11% 7.80 8.60 W
AMY D 4 1 2½ 2   21 2(martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 39% 1.60 2.60 P
MAKARA 1 2 1½ 1   31 3(barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 19% 4.40 1.40 S
SMOKIN AMELIA 6 6 6 6   54(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 2.50  
RETRO RITA 2 3 43 56   64 56 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 21.80  
BONITA DIXIE 5 5 5 44   46(barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00 7.70  
SCR  CAROLYN'S WAY               (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:234 :471 1:134 1:283   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 2 5 4 4 31 11 1(christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 40% 1.50 0.80 W
PROMPTLY DONE 6 2 57 58 45 32(rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.10 P
GEORGIANO 5 4 1nk 2½ 1½ 21 32 (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 8.70  
HOT LIL MESS 7 6 610 610 6 54(megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14.80  
LA ROSA DRIVE 4 3 2nk 1½ 2½ 43 519¼ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
STARLIGHT TWIST 3 7 710½ 715 713½ 6624¼ (haar j)LUARK T 121 15.00 39.90  
AUNT IRENE 1 1 34 3 5 713½ 747¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20 11.20  
 
ARP-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCS CARO CAT 1 4 1½ 1½   12 1(vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 6% 16.10 2.70 W
BORN TO RACE 8 8 7 4   43 2(chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.40 P
GO LAKER GO 6 2 32 2½   22 3(barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 10% 8.70 16.30 S
CRYSTAL BANDIT 5 9 910¼ 87   74(ortega joe)LULL E 124 6.00 10% 9.20 9.70  
TREASURE COAST 7 5 63 53   65(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 32% 2.20 6.50  
10  ROCHESTER'S FINEST 9 1 2½ 3½   33 6(rust terri)RAMOS B 120 12.00 11.50  
BRAVO KOLT 4 3 5 6   5710 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 12.10  
TEQUILA 2 7 42 7   87 810½ (quezada zachar)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 8.20  
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 3 6 8 98   913 926¼ (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 76.60  
SCR  GOSPEL BONANZA               (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
 
ARP-8   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:222 :463 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAJUN FIRE 11 1 12 11   12 1(christian billy)LULL E 120 4.50 7.40  
SECRET SURVIVOR 3 3 86 9   72(triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 15.00 24.10  
UNSTOPPABLE ME 9 5 65 65   45 3(tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 51% 1.00 3.10 S
10  DEACON BEACON 10 4 5 32   33 4(young a)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 5% 18.80 21.50  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 6 8 97 8   65(esquibel mark)WALES T 124 2.50 7% 14.00 1.90  
ENDALE ARCH 4 10 7 76   106(lavanway dayso)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 20.00 12.00  
REAL POUCH 1 2 22 21   22 710½ (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 15.60  
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 7 9 10 10   8812 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 3.50 15% 5.80 5.20  
BARTSTER 5 11 1116½ 1113½   9912 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
BURBACH 8 7 43 4   51017¼ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 20.00 12.80  
KATRAKA 2 6 33 5   111121¼ (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 28.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.