Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $19.20 $13.20 220%
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $52.00 $40.00 333%
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5-1 $143.20 $131.20 1093%
ARP-6   PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00  ALL-4-2 $130.20 $58.20 81%
ARP-7   TRI (7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1) 60 $2.00 $120  1-9-6 $182.00 $62.00 52%
    SFT (7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1) 120 $1.00 $120  1-9-6-5 $2243 $2123 1769%
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(7/9/6/5/1) 60 $2.00 $120  4-2-1 $484.40 $364.40 304%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIL MISS DE BUY 4 5 43½ 42   41¼ 11¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.00 40% 1.50 1.10 W
5  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE 5 6 53½ 52   2nk 21¾ (rust terri)WALES T 124 20.00 10.20  
3  DONNAS FINAL WORD 3 2 32½ 31½   1nk 31¾ (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 121 10.00 28% 2.60 2.60 S
6  LADY PHYLLIS 6 1 63¾ 62¼   51¾ 411½ (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 3.00  
1  MY MEADOW 1 4 1½ 2½   63¾ 519¼ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 9.50  
2  OUT OF THE SKY 2 3 2½ 1½   31 622¼ (jenkins l)LULL E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
 
ARP-4   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :462 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIGHT ON TIME 7 1 42 42   2½ 11½ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 10.00 ★ 9.30  
6  TOO LATE 6 3 2½ 31   1½ 21½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30 0.80 P
2  HONKY TONK MUSIC 2 5 710½ 711   53 34¾ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 32.10  
4  THOUGHTS OF GOLD 4 2 3½ 2½   31½ 49 (wheeler tra)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 29% 2.50 2.80  
5  ORDER OF THE DAY 5 6 57 69   77½ 512 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 29.50  
1  DEL ARGENT 1 7 67½ 58   67 614¼ (alire randy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
3  LEFT THE BAR 3 4 1½ 1½   42½ 715¼ (kenney dan)WALES T 120 2.50 5.80  
 
ARP-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :462 :592     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANGIE'S REVRAC 3 4 32 31½   11 13¼ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 6.00 11% 7.80 8.60 W
5  AMY D 4 1 2½ 21½   21 23¼ (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 39% 1.60 2.60 P
1  MAKARA 1 2 1½ 11½   31 34½ (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 19% 4.40 1.40 S
7  SMOKIN AMELIA 6 6 66½ 67½   53½ 44½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50 2.50  
2  RETRO RITA 2 3 43 56   64 56 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 21.80  
6  BONITA DIXIE 5 5 54½ 44   42½ 69¼ (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00 7.70  
SCR  CAROLYN'S WAY               (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:134 1:283   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 2 5 46½ 45½ 31 11 11¼ (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 40% 1.50 0.80 W
6  PROMPTLY DONE 6 2 57 58 45 32½ 21¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.10 P
5  GEORGIANO 5 4 1nk 2½ 1½ 21 32 (williams steve)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 8.70  
7  HOT LIL MESS 7 6 610 610 67½ 53½ 47¼ (megariz mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14.80  
4  LA ROSA DRIVE 4 3 2nk 1½ 2½ 43 519¼ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
3  STARLIGHT TWIST 3 7 710½ 715 713½ 69½ 624¼ (haar j)LUARK T 121 15.00 39.90  
1  AUNT IRENE 1 1 34 34½ 55½ 713½ 747¼ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20 11.20  
 
ARP-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCS CARO CAT 1 4 1½ 1½   12 11½ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 6% 16.10 2.70 W
9  BORN TO RACE 8 8 73¼ 41½   43 21½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.40 P
6  GO LAKER GO 6 2 32 2½   22 33¾ (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 10% 8.70 16.30 S
5  CRYSTAL BANDIT 5 9 910¼ 87   76½ 45¾ (ortega joe)LULL E 124 6.00 10% 9.20 9.70  
7  TREASURE COAST 7 5 63 53   65½ 56¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 32% 2.20 6.50  
10  ROCHESTER'S FINEST 9 1 2½ 3½   33 67¾ (rust terri)RAMOS B 120 12.00 11.50  
4  BRAVO KOLT 4 3 52½ 63½   54½ 710 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 12.10  
2  TEQUILA 2 7 42 75½   87 810½ (quezada zach)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00 8.20  
3  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 3 6 86¼ 98   913 926¼ (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 76.60  
SCR  GOSPEL BONANZA               (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
 
ARP-8   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAJUN FIRE 11 1 12 11   12 16¾ (christian billy)LULL E 120 4.50 7.40  
3  SECRET SURVIVOR 3 3 86 97½   75¾ 26¾ (triana jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 15.00 24.10  
9  UNSTOPPABLE ME 9 5 65 65   45 37¾ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 51% 1.00 3.10 S
10  DEACON BEACON 10 4 53½ 32   33 48¼ (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 5% 18.80 21.50  
6  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 6 8 97 86½   65½ 58¾ (esquibel mark)WALES T 124 2.50 7% 14.00 1.90  
4  ENDALE ARCH 4 10 75½ 76   107¾ 69¾ (lavanway day)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 20.00 12.00  
1  REAL POUCH 1 2 22 21   22 710½ (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 15.60  
7  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 7 9 108½ 109½   86¼ 812 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 3.50 15% 5.80 5.20  
5  BARTSTER 5 11 1116½ 1113½   97¼ 912 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
8  BURBACH 8 7 43 42½   55½ 1017¼ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 20.00 12.80  
2  KATRAKA 2 6 33 53½   119¾ 1121¼ (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00 28.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.