Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(6/4/1)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(7/9/6/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/4)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(9/7/6/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
ARP-7   WIN (7/9/6/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1)-(7/9/6/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ARP-8   WIN (9/7/6/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MEADOW Jul30 Jul08 Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50    
2  OUT OF THE SKY Jul30 Jul10 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (jenkins l)LULL E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DONNAS FINAL WORD Jul30 Oct03 Sep25 Sep13 Aug30 (vicchrilli rus)LUARK T 121 10.00 28% 2.60    
4  LIL MISS DE BUY Aug07 Jul17 Oct03 Sep27 Sep06 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE Jul30 Jun19 May06 Apr09 Mar12 (rust terri)WALES T 124 20.00    
6  LADY PHYLLIS Aug07 Jul22 Jul08 Feb07 Jan24 (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50    
 
ARP-4   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL ARGENT Jul30 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 (alire randy)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HONKY TONK MUSIC Aug13 May26 May11 Mar22 Mar02 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
3  LEFT THE BAR Jul10 Jun25 Apr22 Apr05 Feb28 (kenney dan)WALES T 120 2.50    
4  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Jul31 Jun19 Apr29 Aug06 Jul18 (wheeler tra)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  ORDER OF THE DAY Aug14 Jun24 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00    
6  TOO LATE Aug14 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 May22 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
7  RIGHT ON TIME Jul10 Jun19 May20 Sep08 Aug03 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 10.00 ★    
 
ARP-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKARA Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 Apr29 Apr19 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 19% 4.40    
2  RETRO RITA Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May19 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
SCR  CAROLYN'S WAY Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00    
4  ANGIE'S REVRAC Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 May19 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  AMY D Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Mar06 Feb15 (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  BONITA DIXIE Sep19 Apr21 Mar31 Mar08 Feb08 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 8.00    
7  SMOKIN AMELIA Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 Dec09 Oct28 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 2.50    
 
ARP-6   08/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT IRENE Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May20 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 May02 Jan31 (christian billy)LULL E 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  STARLIGHT TWIST Jul09 May20 May14 Mar24 Oct03 (haar j)LUARK T 121 15.00    
4  LA ROSA DRIVE Aug13 Aug07 Jul22 Jul10 Oct03 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GEORGIANO Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 May15 Nov26 (williams steve)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
6  PROMPTLY DONE Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 Apr29 Sep11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  HOT LIL MESS Jul30 Jul03 Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 (megariz mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCS CARO CAT Aug12 Jul30 Oct01 Sep13 Aug30 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 6% 16.10    
2  TEQUILA Jul22 May13 Feb19 Feb05 Jan08 (quezada zach)JOURNET JARRED 124 10.00    
3  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 Sep25 Sep13 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
4  BRAVO KOLT Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 May19 Apr08 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50    
5  CRYSTAL BANDIT Sep11 Jul17 Jun12 Apr12 Mar30 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  GO LAKER GO Jul17 Jul08 Jun17 May01 Apr04 (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
7  TREASURE COAST Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  GOSPEL BONANZA Jul22 Jul02 May17 May10 Apr24 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
9  BORN TO RACE Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Apr16 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
10  ROCHESTER'S FINEST Jul15 Jun19 May06 Apr16 Feb07 (rust terri)RAMOS B 120 12.00    
 
ARP-8   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL POUCH Jun25 Jun17 May20 Jun27 May15 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
2  KATRAKA Jul22 Dec19 Dec01 Oct17 Aug24 (chavez jose)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
3  SECRET SURVIVOR Jul31 May27 Jan22 Jan13 Dec02 (triana jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 15.00    
4  ENDALE ARCH Aug06 Jul29 Jun19 May21 May06 (lavanway day)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 20.00    
5  BARTSTER Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 Oct01 Sep11 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Jul31 Jul16 Apr17 Apr04 Oct02 (esquibel mark)WALES T 124 2.50 7% 14.00    
7  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Apr28 Oct01 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 3.50 15% 5.80    
8  BURBACH Jul31 Sep13 Aug29 Aug02 Jul12 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 20.00    
9  UNSTOPPABLE ME Jul30 Jun07 May25 May01 Apr01 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 51% 1.00    
10  DEACON BEACON Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 May14 Mar12 (young a)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 5% 18.80    
11  CAJUN FIRE Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 (christian billy)LULL E 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.