Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $4.60 $0.60 15%
ARP-7   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $17.40 $11.40 190%
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-3 $24.60 $12.60 105%
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/3)-(3/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2/4-ALL-7 $238.00 $214.00 892%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 2 3 11 11½   1nk 1¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 120 2.50 46% 1.20 0.20 W
4  DOCS CARO CAT 4 1 32 21½   2nk 2¾ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 21.90  
3  TIME TO SKIP TOWN 3 2 21 43½   34 313¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 23.80  
1  CENTAURUS 1 4 53½ 54   44½ 419¾ (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 25% 2.90 3.50  
5  HOLY MISSION 5 5 42½ 32   56 527½ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 7% 14.10 6.90  
 
ARP-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGER NO MO 1 5 45 44   3.2 14 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 3.50 25% 3.00 0.30 W
4  OREGON COUNTY 4 4 56½ 55½   41¾ 24 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 21.80  
2  PREACHER 2 3 2½ 2½   1nk 35½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 19% 4.30 12.30 S
3  MOONLITE GRAHAM 3 2 1½ 1½   2nk 46¾ (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 4.40  
5  A GEM IS A GEM 5 1 31 32   52¼ 59 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.00 34% 2.00 4.50  
SCR  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR               (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-5   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REVIVAL 2 2 43 32   1nk 14½ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
3  BEDROCK (GB) 3 1 1nk 1½   2nk 24½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50 1.70  
5  WHEELER DEALER 4 4 2nk 2½   32 310 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 2.50  
1  AVALON KING 1 3 31½ 42½   45 420½ (o'brien debbie)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 21% 3.70 5.10  
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY               (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STARLET COLE 4 1 12 14   18 117 (kenney dan)WALES T 120 2.50 66% 0.50 0.10 W
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WELKEN by SKY CLASSIC)
2  WHEREDIDITGO 2 4 42¼ 24   28 217 (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 120 4.50 9.90  
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  ISLAND BEAUTY 3 2 32 34   39½ 322¾ (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00 5% 18.80 7.90 S
  (by HONOR CODE out of ISLA by CARNIVALAY)
1  CANDIED JOULE 1 3 22 44¼   410 432½ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 15.00 7.70  
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of CLEVER CADENCE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
SCR  MISSIONARY MARY               (rust terr)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of VERCELLANA by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  SNOOZY SUZY               (torres-casas ale)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of SUMMER CAMP by FLAG DOWN)
 
ARP-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Lassie Purse ($34.803K) 2 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SNUGGLE BUNNY 6 2 44½ 32½   21 1¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 5.00 20% 4.00 7.70 W
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
3  LONG MAY SHE RUN 3 4 2nk 1½   11 2¼ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 51% 1.00 0.10 P
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  FLY FREE 4 3 56 46½   33 39¾ (triana juan )MARTIN A 120 10.00 30.90  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  I'M A TRUMPER 2 5 1nk 2½   43½ 416 (triana juan)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 18.40  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
1  I'M GONE 1 6 34 57½   55 517½ (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 120 4.50 13.10  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
6  ROGUE MOON 5 1 67½ 610½   612 631½ (mcdonald )MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by MOON ECLIPSE out of PETULANT by PURGE)
SCR  MISS YOU NO MORE               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 120 6.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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