The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $24.40 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $28.40 -12.00
ARP-5   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2-3 2 0 $9.40 -4.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00 2-1/6-2/4 3 1 $8.00 $8.00 -28.00
ARP-6   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
    Exacta (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6-2 2 0 $6.60 -4.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/2)-(3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1/6-2/4-ALL 3 1 $9.40 $9.40 -14.60
ARP-7   Win (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 11.40
    Exacta (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-3 2 1 $24.60 $24.60 12.60
    Trifecta (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-3-5 3 0 $235.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2)-(3/6)-(3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2/4-ALL-7 3 1 $119.00 $119.00 95.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:232 :472 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 2 3 11 1   1nk 1¾ (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 120 2.50 46% 1.20 0.20 W
DOCS CARO CAT 4 1 32 2   2nk 2¾ (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 21.90  
TIME TO SKIP TOWN 3 2 21 4   34 313¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 23.80  
CENTAURUS 1 4 5 54   4419¾ (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 25% 2.90 3.50  
HOLY MISSION 5 5 4 32   56 527½ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 7% 14.10 6.90  
 
ARP-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:221 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGER NO MO 1 5 45 44   3.2 14 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 3.50 25% 3.00 0.30 W
OREGON COUNTY 4 4 5 5   424 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 21.80  
PREACHER 2 3 2½ 2½   1nk 3(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 19% 4.30 12.30 S
MOONLITE GRAHAM 3 2 1½ 1½   2nk 4(barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 4.40  
A GEM IS A GEM 5 1 31 32   559 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.00 34% 2.00 4.50  
SCR  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR               (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-5   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:223 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVIVAL 2 2 43 32   1nk 1(kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
BEDROCK 3 1 1nk 1½   2nk 2(christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50 1.70  
WHEELER DEALER 4 4 2nk 2½   32 310 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 2.50  
AVALON KING 1 3 3 4   45 420½ (o'brien debbie)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 21% 3.70 5.10  
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY               (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:223 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLET COLE 4 1 12 14   18 117 (kenney dan)WALES T 120 2.50 66% 0.50 0.10 W
WHEREDIDITGO 2 4 4 24   28 217 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 120 4.50 9.90  
ISLAND BEAUTY 3 2 32 34   3322¾ (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00 5% 18.80 7.90 S
CANDIED JOULE 1 3 22 4   410 432½ (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 15.00 7.70  
SCR  MISSIONARY MARY               (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00    
SCR  SNOOZY SUZY               (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 10.00    
 
ARP-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST CTBA Lassie Purse ($34.803K) 2 F PT- 5:30
:224 :473 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNUGGLE BUNNY 6 2 4 3   21 1¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 5.00 20% 4.00 7.70 W
LONG MAY SHE RUN 3 4 2nk 1½   11 2¼ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 51% 1.00 0.10 P
FLY FREE 4 3 56 4   33 3(triana ma)MARTIN A 120 10.00 30.90  
I'M A TRUMPER 2 5 1nk 2½   4416 (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 18.40  
I'M GONE 1 6 34 5   55 517½ (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 120 4.50 13.10  
ROGUE MOON 5 1 6 610½   612 631½ (mcdonald wi)MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
SCR  MISS YOU NO MORE               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.