Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-3   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-6   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-7   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-8   Win (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ARP-3   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTAURUS Jul22 Jun19 Mar04 Feb06 Jan03 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
2  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Oct01 Sep11 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  TIME TO SKIP TOWN Jul31 Jun25 Oct02 Sep19 Aug28 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
4  DOCS CARO CAT Jul30 Oct01 Sep13 Aug30 Jul17 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
5  HOLY MISSION Jul30 Jul23       (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 115 4.50 7% 14.10    
 
ARP-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGER NO MO Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 May06 Apr15 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  PREACHER Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 May13 Apr15 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  MOONLITE GRAHAM Jul03 Apr22 Apr12 Mar29 Feb25 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50    
4  OREGON COUNTY Jul30 Jun25 May20 May13 Apr28 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
5  A GEM IS A GEM Jul23 Jul15 Jun17 May13 Apr29 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Jul03 Jun19 May20 May12 Apr21 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
ARP-5   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVALON KING Sep10 Aug13 Aug08 Jul18 Jul02 (o'brien debbie)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 21% 3.70    
2  REVIVAL Jul13 Jul05 May10 Apr24 Mar28 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  BEDROCK (GB) Jun19 Jun03 Apr26 Apr17 Mar27 (christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50    
SCR  ANNIE'S BOY Apr22 Apr03 Feb25 Feb04 Apr21 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
5  WHEELER DEALER Jul30 Jul10 Jun23 Jun03 Oct04 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50    
 
ARP-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDIED JOULE Jul17 May21 May07 Apr22 Apr08 (wheeler travis)LULL E 124 15.00    
2  WHEREDIDITGO Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 Mar20 Mar12 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 120 4.50    
3  ISLAND BEAUTY Jun24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Nov08 (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  SNOOZY SUZY Aug06 Jun27 May21 May08 Apr18 (torres-casas alex )RAMEY CASH 119 10.00    
SCR  MISSIONARY MARY         (rust terri)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00    
6  STARLET COLE Jul17         (kenney dan)WALES T 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
 
ARP-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Lassie Purse ($34.803K) 2 F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M GONE Jul29 Jul08       (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 120 4.50    
2  I'M A TRUMPER Jul29         (triana m)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00    
3  LONG MAY SHE RUN Jul29         (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  MISS YOU NO MORE         (rushton temple)RAMOS B 120 6.00    
5  FLY FREE Jul29 Jul08       (triana ma)MARTIN A 120 10.00    
6  ROGUE MOON         (mcdonald wi)MEDINA ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SNUGGLE BUNNY Jul29         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
ARP-8   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNAS FINAL WORD Jul30 Oct03 Sep25 Sep13 Aug30 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  GEORGIANO Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 May15 Nov26 (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
3  REMARKABLE CHARM Aug07 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr22 (roberts m)LULL E 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  HIGH VALUE TARGET Jul22 Jul02 Apr22 Apr07 Apr01 (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 6% 15.30    
5  HOT LIL MESS Jul30 Jul03 Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 (megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
6  KALLINIKI Jul22 Jul10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 19% 4.20    
7  IMA FINAL DE BUY Jul22 Sep26 Sep12     (loftin linda)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.