The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (3/4/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 -0.80
    Exacta (3/4/5/8/9)-(3/4/5/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-5 2 1 $65.80 $65.80 25.80
    Trifecta (3/4/5/8/9)-(3/4/5/8/9)-(3/4/5/8/9) 60 $2.00 $120.00 4-5-9 3 1 $355.40 $355.40 235.40
ARP-4   Win (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-4 2 1 $14.60 $14.60 -9.40
    Trifecta (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-4-8 3 1 $35.20 $35.20 -12.80
ARP-5   Win (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $27.60 $27.60 19.60
    Exacta (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-5 2 0 $144.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-5-1 3 0 $779.80 -48.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5/8/9)-(1/4/6/8)-(2/3/4/8) 80 $2.00 $160.00 4-6/7-2 3 1 $427.40 $427.40 267.40
ARP-6   Win (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.20 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-2 2 0 $10.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-2-8 3 0 $29.20 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6/8)-(2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/6) 64 $2.00 $128.00 6/7-2-5 3 0 $409.40 -128.00
ARP-7   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
    Exacta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-4 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 -17.60
    Trifecta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-4-3 3 0 $18.40 -48.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/6)-(4/5/6/7) 64 $2.00 $128.00 2-5-7 3 0 $146.20 -128.00
ARP-8   Win (1/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -4.00
    Exacta (1/3/5/6/8)-(1/3/5/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 5-6 2 1 $10.60 $10.60 -29.40
    Trifecta (1/3/5/6/8)-(1/3/5/6/8)-(1/3/5/6/8) 60 $2.00 $120.00 5-6-1 3 1 $69.80 $69.80 -50.20
    Pick Three (2/3/4/6)-(4/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/6/8) 80 $2.00 $160.00 5-7-5 3 0 $31.00 -160.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/31/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:24 :472 1:131     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 1(haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 48% 1.10 3.60 W
THE GREATEST EAGLE 5 5 42 4   32 2(ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 13% 6.50 5.70 P
RANDOM AFFAIR 9 1 31 31   21 3(burns dale)RAMOS B 124 4.50 10% 9.30 3.30 S
MY PAL 7 7 7 5   44(martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 1.70  
FERRARI ROAD 2 3 1nk 1nk   55(muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 12.00  
CLIFTON PARK 3 8 9 85   65 613½ (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
MORE ACTION 6 4 64 74   86 714 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00 35.60  
MORHAWK 8 6 8 96   9816 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
FLY BUDDY FLY 1 9 5 6   7916¼ (torres-casas j)LULL E 124 2.50 11.20  
 
ARP-4   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:223 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO GIFTED 6 2 11 1   11 12 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 8% 11.20 1.60 W
PICK A LANE FRANK 4 3 3 3   322 (christian billy)LULL E 124 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40 P
BARLOWS PRIDE 7 1 21 2   21 3(parsons riley)WALES T 121 6.00 14% 5.90 2.80 S
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 2 6 6 54   43 4(esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 9.50  
DEACON BEACON 5 5 53 43   5512 (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 3.50 10.60  
BURBACH 3 4 42 6   6620½ (chavez juan)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 16.30  
J P'S WEST ACRES 1 7 7 7   711½ 729¾ (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 18% 4.70 12.90  
SCR  CHISMOSO               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-5   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:222 :46 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISCUIT SNATCHER 2 5 21 3   11 1(rust terri)RAMOS B 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.80 W
OMACHE KID 5 3 7 53   42 2(wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 7.80  
GREY ROGUE 1 4 3 2½   21 3(rushton tem)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 2.60  
HAWKWOOD 6 6 44 42   54(o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14.20  
CLEARLY MAD 4 2 11 1½   31 58 (rushton stacy)LULL E 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
NO LIMITATION 3 8 65 6   6614½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.60 4.10  
MORO APPEAL 8 1 5 7   7716¼ (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50 57% 0.80 1.70  
POLICY LIMIT 7 7 87 8   8823¾ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 13.30  
 
ARP-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:222 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUSEBIO 5 3 12 11   111 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 120 2.50 1.60  
BORN TO RACE 2 7 3 32   221 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00 39% 1.60 1.30 P
BRAVO KOLT 8 2 22 21   32 38 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 3.80  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 4 6 4 4   46 414¼ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 15.00 27% 2.70 11.40  
SECRET SURVIVOR 1 5 6 5   5515 (triana ma)MARTIN A 124 3.50 25.20  
TIME TO SKIP TOWN 3 4 710½ 711   6619¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
RI' PIN SNAP 6 8 814½ 815   810½ 720¾ (diaz luis)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 45.80  
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 7 1 54 65   79 821¾ (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 65.40  
 
ARP-7   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:214 :45 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOYA PARANOYA 7 4 32 3.2   11(garrett j)LULL E 121 4.50 15% 5.70 0.50 W
BRAYBRAY 4 2 2½ 2nk   22(martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 34% 2.00 2.60 P
JONO 3 3 1½ 1nk   33(rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 11.90  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 1 5 4 4   4413¼ (wheeler travi)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 16.50  
RED WES 2 8 810 7   5515¾ (chavez juan)TORRES J 121 10.00 16.00  
AUDACE 8 7 79 6   6624¼ (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 36.80  
DIVINE TASK 5 1 53 5   7727 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 15.00 12% 7.60 16.00  
BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 6 6 69 8   811 831¾ (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 12% 7.30 17.40  
 
ARP-8   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:222 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINEARSPEED 4 2 2½ 1nk   12 1(barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.00 W
INCREDIBE MO 5 7 4 3   22 2(whitehouse r)LULL E 124 3.50 11% 7.90 1.00 P
PUT PUT PUT 1 5 5 5   4310 (parsons riley)TORRES J 117 6.00 18% 4.70 23.20 S
TIZKANDOIT 2 9 8 64   55 410½ (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 15.00 15.40  
MY CAIRO KID 7 4 3 2nk   3513½ (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 18% 4.50 6.40  
IZZY IN A TIZZY 3 6 78 89   7625 (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
10  DOMERGOO 9 8 910½ 9   8726 (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 39.00  
NAPO 6 1 1½ 4   6836¼ (ibanez alber)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 120 20.00 62.60  
HELLO WALTZ 8 3 64 78   910¾ 947¼ (young a)RAMEY CASH 115 20.00 73.80  
SCR  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF               (barrio sergio)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.