Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   EXA (4/5/9/3/8)-(4/5/9/3/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-5 $65.80 $25.80 65%
    TRI (4/5/9/3/8)-(4/5/9/3/8)-(4/5/9/3/8) 60 $2.00 $120  4-5-9 $355.40 $235.40 196%
ARP-5   WIN (8/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $27.60 $19.60 245%
    PK3 (4/5/9/3/8)-(4/1/8/6)-(8/3/2/4) 80 $2.00 $160  4-6/7-2 $427.40 $267.40 167%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   07/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:131     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEBONNAIRE DUDE 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 11¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 48% 1.10 3.60 W
5  THE GREATEST EAGLE 5 5 42 41½   32 21¾ (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 13% 6.50 5.70 P
9  RANDOM AFFAIR 9 1 31 31   21 32¾ (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 4.50 10% 9.30 3.30 S
7  MY PAL 7 7 74½ 52½   42½ 42¾ (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 1.70  
2  FERRARI ROAD 2 3 1nk 1nk   53½ 58¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 12.00  
3  CLIFTON PARK 3 8 96¾ 85   65 613½ (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
6  MORE ACTION 6 4 64 74   86 714 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 10.00 35.60  
8  MORHAWK 8 6 84¾ 96   97½ 816 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
1  FLY BUDDY FLY 1 9 52½ 63½   75½ 916¼ (torres-casas alex )LULL E 124 2.50 11.20  
 
ARP-4   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUCHO GIFTED 6 2 11 11½   11 12 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 8% 11.20 1.60 W
4  PICK A LANE FRANK 4 3 31½ 32½   32½ 22 (christian billy)LULL E 124 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40 P
8  BARLOWS PRIDE 7 1 21 21½   21 32¾ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 6.00 14% 5.90 2.80 S
2  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 2 6 64½ 54   43 46½ (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 9.50  
5  DEACON BEACON 5 5 53 43   54½ 512 (young a)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 3.50 10.60  
3  BURBACH 3 4 42 64½   67½ 620½ (chavez ju)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 16.30  
1  J P'S WEST ACRES 1 7 76½ 76½   711½ 729¾ (muckey john)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 18% 4.70 12.90  
SCR  CHISMOSO               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-5   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BISCUIT SNATCHER 2 5 21 31½   11 14¼ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 15.00 5% 19.00 12.80 W
5  OMACHE KID 5 3 75½ 53   42 24¼ (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 7.80  
1  GREY ROGUE 1 4 32½ 2½   21 34¼ (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 2.60  
6  HAWKWOOD 6 6 44 42   52½ 47½ (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14.20  
4  CLEARLY MAD 4 2 11 1½   31 58 (rushton stacy)LULL E 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
3  NO LIMITATION 3 8 65 63½   64½ 614½ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.60 4.10  
8  MORO APPEAL 8 1 54½ 74½   75½ 716¼ (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50 57% 0.80 1.70  
7  POLICY LIMIT 7 7 87 88½   89½ 823¾ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 13.30  
 
ARP-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EUSEBIO 5 3 12 11   11½ 11 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 120 2.50 1.60  
2  BORN TO RACE 2 7 33½ 32   21½ 21 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00 39% 1.60 1.30 P
8  BRAVO KOLT 8 2 22 21   32 38 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 3.80  
4  IMPASSIONED CLAIM 4 6 43½ 42½   46 414¼ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 15.00 27% 2.70 11.40  
1  SECRET SURVIVOR 1 5 65½ 54½   56½ 515 (triana juan )MARTIN A 124 3.50 25.20  
3  TIME TO SKIP TOWN 3 4 710½ 711   68½ 619¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
6  RI' PIN SNAP 6 8 814½ 815   810½ 720¾ (diaz luis)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 45.80  
7  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 7 1 54 65   79 821¾ (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 65.40  
 
ARP-7   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOYA PARANOYA 7 4 32 3.2   12½ 18¾ (garrett j)LULL E 121 4.50 15% 5.70 0.50 W
4  BRAYBRAY 4 2 2½ 2nk   22½ 28¾ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 34% 2.00 2.60 P
3  JONO 3 3 1½ 1nk   32½ 39½ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 11.90  
1  THOUGHTS OF GOLD 1 5 42½ 42¼   44½ 413¼ (wheeler tra)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 16.50  
2  RED WES 2 8 810 77¾   55½ 515¾ (chavez juan)TORRES J 121 10.00 16.00  
8  AUDACE 8 7 79 67¾   67½ 624¼ (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 6.00 36.80  
5  DIVINE TASK 5 1 53 56¼   78½ 727 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 15.00 12% 7.60 16.00  
6  BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 6 6 69 88¼   811 831¾ (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 12% 7.30 17.40  
 
ARP-8   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LINEARSPEED 4 2 2½ 1nk   12 17½ (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.00 W
  (by BLAME out of JULIE BE GOOD by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  INCREDIBE MO 5 7 42½ 31½   22 27½ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 11% 7.90 1.00 P
  (by ACCLAMATION out of THORELLEN by SWISS YODELER)
1  PUT PUT PUT 1 5 52½ 53½   44½ 310 (parsons riley)TORRES J 117 6.00 18% 4.70 23.20 S
  (by ZIP QUIK out of LABAR by BIANCONI)
2  TIZKANDOIT 2 9 88½ 64   55 410½ (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 15.00 15.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
8  MY CAIRO KID 7 4 31½ 2nk   32½ 513½ (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00 18% 4.50 6.40  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MY AUDUBON by AMERICAIN)
3  IZZY IN A TIZZY 3 6 78 89   76½ 625 (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by TIZNOW out of SONG COLLECTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  DOMERGOO 9 8 910½ 99½   86¾ 726 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 39.00  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of OVERTHETOP by BROKEN VOW)
7  NAPO 6 1 1½ 42½   66½ 836¼ (ibanez alb)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 120 20.00 62.60  
  (by TOO DISCREET out of FOREST MAGIC by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  HELLO WALTZ 8 3 64 78   910¾ 947¼ (young a)RAMEY CASH 115 20.00 73.80  
  (by COMFORT out of WALTZING ROSE by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF               (barrio sergio)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SKYE MEMO by MEMO (CHI))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.