Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.40  
ARP-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
ARP-4   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
ARP-5   Win (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
ARP-6   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
ARP-7   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.60  
ARP-8   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVIAN 3 2 12     14 1 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 0.70  
MY MEADOW 1 1 22     24 2 (hall monk)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50 7.00  
DONNAS FINAL WORD 2 3 43     35 3 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 10.00 17% 4.80 3.00 S
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 5 4 33     4 412¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
OUT OF THE SKY 4 5 511     516½ 528¾ (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 47% 1.10 7.90  
 
ARP-3   07/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 1:00         1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHIE RACH 1 2 11 14   15 1 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 51% 1.00 3.70 W
JUST REMEMBER 6 4 4 4   46 2 (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 4.50 23% 3.30 0.70 P
PALM COURT 3 6 6 6   67 3 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 7.20  
RAGING LADY 5 3 31 24   25 4 (torres-casa)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
ALWAYS A TIZ 4 5 21 34   35 5 (ibanez alberto)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 9.70  
PEGGY B FAST 2 1 53 5   5 6 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 3.50 4.70  
 
ARP-4   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEBCAM 4 6 4 4   1nk 1 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 14% 6.00 2.60 W
DOCS CARO CAT 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 15.00 18.90  
DEL ARGENT 5 3 34 32   3.2 36 (alire randy)LULL E 124 4.50 44% 1.30 7.30 S
FRISCO KID 3 2 6 68   5 46 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 13% 6.60 0.80  
ROUGE SUNSET 2 4 2nk 2nk   4¼ 5 (torres-casas j)WALES T 124 6.00 4.20  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 6 1 5 5   6 613½ (perkinson cc)LUARK T 124 20.00 22.90  
 
ARP-5   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LOLA 2 6 2½ 2½   1nk 1 (ortega joe)WALES T 124 4.50 30% 2.40 0.80 W
MANDONA 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 20% 4.00 3.30 P
HERE AND VOW 3 5 44 46   33 3 (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 8% 11.60 18.90 S
HOT LIL MESS 8 1 6 5   66 410¼ (megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 14.60  
AMBER WAVES 4 4 55 67   5 510½ (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 20.00 10.80  
GEORGIANO 7 2 32 33   45 611 (williams st)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 6.10  
EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE 5 8 7 810   7 716¼ (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00 10.90  
CAROLYN'S WAY 6 7 88 79   89 818¼ (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 8.00 28.30  
 
ARP-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JACK 3 2 2½ 31   2½ 1hd (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 45% 1.20 3.70 W
LOCO LUNA 2 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2hd (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 120 3.50 0.50  
TREASURE COAST 5 4 53 42   4 3 (hibdon n)LULL E 120 6.00 8.50  
RIGHT TO SUE 4 1 31 2½   32 4 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.50 21% 3.80 8.50  
ABRIERWIN 1 6 4 5   53 510¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 19.20  
UNSTOPPABLE ME 6 5 64 63   6 611 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 11% 7.70 7.50  
 
ARP-7   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Derby Purse ($34.548K) 3 C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:13     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELER DEALER 6 1 32 31   1nk 1 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 1.80  
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 5 2 2 2½   2nk 2 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 122 3.50 39% 1.60 0.90 P
HOLY MISSION 2 4 44 4   34 313¼ (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 122 2.50 29% 2.40 3.40 S
GUTFIELD 3 3 1 1½   4 417½ (triana ma)MARTIN A 122 6.00 10% 8.60 19.60  
YOU'RE MY ROCK 1 5 5 5   57 520½ (martinez a)WALES T 122 20.00 11.10  
CAN DANZER 4 6 6 610½   615 641¼ (rushton stacy)LULL E 122 15.00 39.60  
 
ARP-8   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGER NO MO 3 3 4 3   12 110 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 3.50 16% 5.20 0.90 W
BULLAWAY 1 1 32 4   32 210 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 4.50 22% 3.60 2.00 P
OREGON COUNTY 4 4 1nk 11   22 312 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 18.20  
COWBOY DON 6 5 5 55   48 428 (mcdonald william )HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 4.20  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 5 2 2nk 21   5 529¼ (rushton tem)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 27% 2.60 8.70  
JU JU GUY 2 6 67 6   612½ 632¾ (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 17.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.