Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.60 $0.60 8%
ARP-5   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.00 $7.00 88%
ARP-6   PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(3/4/8/7)-(5/3/2/6) 64 $2.00 $128  2-7-1/5 $151.20 $23.20 18%
ARP-7   EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-1 $26.20 $2.20 9%
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00  5-1-4 $73.00 $25.00 52%
    SFT (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-1-4-2 $123.00 $99.00 413%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEARS LOVE   (jenkins l)WALES T 124 12.00 3.20  
4  RAGING LADY   (torres-ca)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 9.80  
3  MILLI STARR   (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.50  
2  AUNT IRENE   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 13.90  
7  LA ROSA DRIVE   (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 17% 5.00 3.70  
8  DOZO   (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
5  HEY ROXY   (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 14% 6.10 7.30  
6  SWEET TATUM   (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 7% 13.20 7.70  
 
ARP-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA HOT TOTTIE   (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 4.50 1.00  
2  FLYING LADY   (martinez a)WALES T 117 2.50 25% 2.90 1.30 P
4  CORY LOVES RAIN   (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 15% 5.60 6.70 S
5  ATHENIAN PRINCESS   (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 18.90  
3  DANGERELLA   (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 13.30  
6  WEST'S ON FIRE   (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00 25% 2.90 13.00  
 
ARP-4   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RANDOM AFFAIR   (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10 3.30 W
1  TOMBI   (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 45% 1.20 2.30 P
5  MY PAL   (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 3.00  
7  KICK IT   (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 9.70  
4  MASTERPIECE DAY   (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00 4.90  
3  RANCHER   (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 5% 17.60 4.00  
SCR  CLIFTON PARK   (williams steve)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KNIGHTED   (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 10% 9.40 6.50 W
1  FRISCO KID   (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 2.70  
4  PRINCE OTTO   (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 21% 3.70 7.00 S
2  KEENEYE GEORGE   (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 3.50 3.90  
8  AUDACE   (wheeler travis)WALES T 124 15.00 14% 6.20 1.70  
5  OH SNAP   (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 16.90  
3  HONKY TONK MUSIC   (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 24% 3.20 9.60  
SCR  CHISMOSO   (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OMACHE KID   (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 58% 0.70 1.00 W
4  RHODIUM RUNNER   (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5.90  
3  LIL LATIGO   (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 10% 9.30 2.70 S
2  EXPECT ROYAL   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 8% 11.20 7.40  
6  CHERUBIM   (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
8  FERRARI ROAD   (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00 17.00  
7  RI' PIN SNAP   (diaz luis)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 18.80  
SCR  GEE WHIZ WHO   (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-7   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GREY ROGUE   (rushton temple)LULL E 124 3.50 27% 2.80 2.00 W
1  TASHKENT   (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
4  WILLTOBELUCKY   (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.10 S
2  THE GREATEST EAGLE   (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
3  JU JU GUY   (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 16.60  
6  GIMME SPACE   (childs g)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6.60  
7  CLEARLY MAD   (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5.20  
 
ARP-9   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Laddie Purse ($18.188K) 2 C/G PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FERRARI RED   (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 39% 1.60   W
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
4  EZ FITZ   (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 41% 1.50   P
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
1  PALACE PATCH   (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 120 12.00    
  (by PALACE out of HOLY TRICK by HOLY BULL)
3  CHASING THE KING   (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 120 15.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of CHASING THE QUEEN by POSSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.