The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.40 -8.00
    Exacta (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-4 2 0 $97.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-4-3 3 0 $506.00 -48.00
ARP-3   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $8.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2-4 3 0 $20.60 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1 2 1 $23.40 $23.40 11.40
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1-5 3 0 $49.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (5/6/7/8)-(2/4/6)-(1/2/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 1-1-2 3 0 $60.20 -72.00
ARP-5   Win (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 7.00
    Exacta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-1 2 0 $52.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-1-4 3 0 $265.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(1/2/3)-(3/4/7/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 1-2-7 3 0 $144.80 -72.00
ARP-6   Win (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4 2 0 $15.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-4-3 3 0 $34.00 -48.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(3/4/7/8)-(2/3/5/6) 48 $2.00 $96.00 2-7-1/5 3 1 $151.20 $151.20 55.20
ARP-7   Win (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-1 2 1 $26.20 $26.20 2.20
    Trifecta (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-1-4 3 1 $73.00 $73.00 25.00
    Pick Three (3/4/7/8)-(2/3/5/6)-(1/2/4/5) 64 $2.00 $128.00 7-1/5-5 3 1 $73.00 $73.00 -55.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:222 :462 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YEARS LOVE 1 4 5 4   31 11 (jenkins l)WALES T 124 12.00 3.20  
RAGING LADY 4 6 2½ 21   2½ 21 (torres-casa)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 9.80  
MILLI STARR 3 7 1½ 11   1½ 3(roberts m)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.50  
AUNT IRENE 2 5 6 67   63 4(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 13.90  
LA ROSA DRIVE 7 1 41 53   553 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 17% 5.00 3.70  
DOZO 8 2 31 32   42 63 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
HEY ROXY 5 8 7 7   74 711½ (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 14% 6.10 7.30  
SWEET TATUM 6 3 810½ 811½   810 818¾ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 7% 13.20 7.70  
 
ARP-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:23 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA HOT TOTTIE 1 2 11 11   114 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 4.50 1.00  
FLYING LADY 2 3 3 4   424 (martinez a)WALES T 117 2.50 25% 2.90 1.30 P
CORY LOVES RAIN 4 4 4 21   23(gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 15% 5.60 6.70 S
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 5 1 21 3   32 4(hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 18.90  
DANGERELLA 3 6 69 5   5514 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 3.50 13.30  
WEST'S ON FIRE 6 5 56 68   612½ 635 (martinez a)MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00 25% 2.90 13.00  
 
ARP-4   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:24 :472 1:14     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDOM AFFAIR 2 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10 3.30 W
TOMBI 1 5 6 6   32 2nk (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 45% 1.20 2.30 P
MY PAL 5 1 5 43   2½ 3½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 3.00  
KICK IT 6 2 31 5   5412½ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 9.70  
MASTERPIECE DAY 4 4 1½ 2nk   4512¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00 4.90  
RANCHER 3 6 42 31   65 619¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 5% 17.60 4.00  
SCR  CLIFTON PARK               (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:24 :481 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHTED 6 3 4 2nk   1½ 11 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 10% 9.40 6.50 W
FRISCO KID 1 1 6 6   521 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 2.70  
PRINCE OTTO 4 4 11 1nk   2½ 3(esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 21% 3.70 7.00 S
KEENEYE GEORGE 2 6 21 4   32 4(barraza s)RAMOS B 124 3.50 3.90  
AUDACE 7 7 5 5   42 510½ (wheeler travis)WALES T 124 15.00 14% 6.20 1.70  
OH SNAP 5 2 7 7   7612½ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 16.90  
HONKY TONK MUSIC 3 5 31 31   6719½ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 24% 3.20 9.60  
SCR  CHISMOSO               (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:231 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMACHE KID 4 6 6 6   5¾ 1½ (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 58% 0.70 1.00 W
RHODIUM RUNNER 3 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 2½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5.90  
LIL LATIGO 2 5 32 4   4¾ 3(lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 10% 9.30 2.70 S
EXPECT ROYAL 1 3 1½ 3.2   2½ 43 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 8% 11.20 7.40  
CHERUBIM 5 4 42 2nk   3½ 5(roberts brian)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
FERRARI ROAD 7 2 5 5   6611¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00 17.00  
RI' PIN SNAP 6 7 710¼ 7   7714¾ (diaz luis)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 18.80  
SCR  GEE WHIZ WHO               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-7   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:234 :472 1:134 1:28   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY ROGUE 5 1 2½ 1nk 12 11hd (rushton temple)LULL E 124 3.50 27% 2.80 2.00 W
TASHKENT 1 4 511½ 612½ 6 44 2hd (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
WILLTOBELUCKY 4 5 411½ 410 34 23(barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.10 S
THE GREATEST EAGLE 2 7 713½ 715 711½ 54(ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
JU JU GUY 3 2 3 38 4 35(childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 16.60  
GIMME SPACE 6 6 613 512 5 6621½ (childs g)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6.60  
CLEARLY MAD 7 3 1½ 2nk 22 77 733 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5.20  
 
ARP-9   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST CTBA Laddie Purse ($18.188K) 2 C/G PT- 6:20
:223 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERRARI RED 2 3 11 1nk   14 113½ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 39% 1.60   W
EZ FITZ 4 1 21 2nk   24 213½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 41% 1.50   P
PALACE PATCH 1 4 32 32   36 314 (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 120 12.00    
CHASING THE KING 3 2 4 44   49 430¼ (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.