Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.60 $0.60 8%
ARP-5   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.00 $7.00 88%
ARP-6   PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(3/4/8/7)-(5/3/2/6) 64 $2.00 $128  2-7-1/5 $151.20 $23.20 18%
ARP-7   EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-1 $26.20 $2.20 9%
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00  5-1-4 $73.00 $25.00 52%
    SFT (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-1-4-2 $123.00 $99.00 413%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEARS LOVE 1 4 51½ 42½   31 11 (jenkins l)WALES T 124 12.00 3.20  
4  RAGING LADY 4 6 2½ 21   2½ 21 (torres-ca)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 9.80  
3  MILLI STARR 3 7 1½ 11   1½ 32¾ (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.50  
2  AUNT IRENE 2 5 65½ 67   63 42¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 13.90  
7  LA ROSA DRIVE 7 1 41 53   52½ 53 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 17% 5.00 3.70  
8  DOZO 8 2 31 32   42 63 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
5  HEY ROXY 5 8 77½ 77½   74 711½ (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 14% 6.10 7.30  
6  SWEET TATUM 6 3 810½ 811½   810 818¾ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 7% 13.20 7.70  
 
ARP-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA HOT TOTTIE 1 2 11 11   11½ 14 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 4.50 1.00  
2  FLYING LADY 2 3 31½ 43½   42½ 24 (martinez a)WALES T 117 2.50 25% 2.90 1.30 P
4  CORY LOVES RAIN 4 4 43½ 21   21½ 35½ (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 15% 5.60 6.70 S
5  ATHENIAN PRINCESS 5 1 21 31½   32 45¾ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00 18.90  
3  DANGERELLA 3 6 69 56½   55½ 514 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.50 13.30  
6  WEST'S ON FIRE 6 5 56 68   612½ 635 (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00 25% 2.90 13.00  
 
ARP-4   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:14     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RANDOM AFFAIR 2 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10 3.30 W
1  TOMBI 1 5 64½ 66¾   32 2nk (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 45% 1.20 2.30 P
5  MY PAL 5 1 52½ 43   2½ 3½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 3.00  
7  KICK IT 6 2 31 53¼   54½ 412½ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00 9.70  
4  MASTERPIECE DAY 4 4 1½ 2nk   42½ 512¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00 4.90  
3  RANCHER 3 6 42 31   65 619¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 5% 17.60 4.00  
SCR  CLIFTON PARK               (williams steve)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KNIGHTED 6 3 42½ 2nk   1½ 11 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 10% 9.40 6.50 W
1  FRISCO KID 1 1 64¾ 63¼   52¼ 21 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 2.70  
4  PRINCE OTTO 4 4 11 1nk   2½ 32½ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 21% 3.70 7.00 S
2  KEENEYE GEORGE 2 6 21 41¼   32 44¼ (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 3.50 3.90  
8  AUDACE 7 7 54½ 51¼   42 510½ (wheeler travis)WALES T 124 15.00 14% 6.20 1.70  
5  OH SNAP 5 2 75¼ 74¼   75¼ 612½ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 16.90  
3  HONKY TONK MUSIC 3 5 31 31   65¼ 719½ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 24% 3.20 9.60  
SCR  CHISMOSO               (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OMACHE KID 4 6 64¼ 62¼   5¾ 1½ (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 58% 0.70 1.00 W
4  RHODIUM RUNNER 3 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 2½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 5.90  
3  LIL LATIGO 2 5 32 41¾   4¾ 31½ (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 10% 9.30 2.70 S
2  EXPECT ROYAL 1 3 1½ 3.2   2½ 43 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 8% 11.20 7.40  
6  CHERUBIM 5 4 42 2nk   3½ 58¼ (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
8  FERRARI ROAD 7 2 52¼ 52¼   64¾ 611¾ (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00 17.00  
7  RI' PIN SNAP 6 7 710¼ 78¼   79¾ 714¾ (diaz luis)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 18.80  
SCR  GEE WHIZ WHO               (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-7   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:134 1:28   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GREY ROGUE 5 1 2½ 1nk 12 11½ 1hd (rushton temple)LULL E 124 3.50 27% 2.80 2.00 W
1  TASHKENT 1 4 511½ 612½ 68½ 44 2hd (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
4  WILLTOBELUCKY 4 5 411½ 410 34 21½ 32½ (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.10 S
2  THE GREATEST EAGLE 2 7 713½ 715 711½ 55½ 43½ (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
3  JU JU GUY 3 2 38½ 38 44½ 33½ 57½ (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 16.60  
6  GIMME SPACE 6 6 613 512 58½ 66½ 621½ (childs g)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6.60  
7  CLEARLY MAD 7 3 1½ 2nk 22 77 733 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5.20  
 
ARP-9   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Laddie Purse ($18.188K) 2 C/G PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FERRARI RED 2 3 11 1nk   14 113½ (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 39% 1.60   W
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
4  EZ FITZ 4 1 21 2nk   24 213½ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 41% 1.50   P
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
1  PALACE PATCH 1 4 32 32   36 314 (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 120 12.00    
  (by PALACE out of HOLY TRICK by HOLY BULL)
3  CHASING THE KING 3 2 42½ 44   49 430¼ (triana mart)RAMEY CASH 120 15.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of CHASING THE QUEEN by POSSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.