Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (8/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-3   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-6   Win (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-7   Win (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YEARS LOVE Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Apr30 Apr14 (jenkins l)WALES T 124 12.00    
AUNT IRENE Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May20 May14 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
MILLI STARR Jul23 Jul02 May20 Apr30 Apr14 (roberts m)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
RAGING LADY Jul30 Jul23 Jun24 Jun18 May02 (torres-casa)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
HEY ROXY Jul20 Jul05 Jun29 May15 May09 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
SWEET TATUM Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Mar25 Mar12 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 7% 13.20    
LA ROSA DRIVE Aug07 Jul22 Jul10 Oct03 Sep25 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
DOZO Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May02 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA HOT TOTTIE Jul29 Jul17 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 4.50    
FLYING LADY Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Sep11 Aug21 (martinez a)WALES T 117 2.50 25% 2.90    
DANGERELLA Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Apr29   (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 3.50    
CORY LOVES RAIN         (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 15% 5.60    
ATHENIAN PRINCESS Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 May29 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 20.00    
WEST'S ON FIRE         (martinez a)MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00 25% 2.90    
 
ARP-4   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMBI Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Mar31 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
RANDOM AFFAIR Jul31 Jul02 Apr15 Apr07 Mar24 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
RANCHER Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Apr25 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 5% 17.60    
MASTERPIECE DAY Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 May20 May06 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
MY PAL Jul31 Jul23 Jul02 Dec19 Nov23 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50    
SCR  CLIFTON PARK Jul31 Jul10 Dec13 Nov30 Oct16 (williams f)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KICK IT Jul23 Jul10 Jun25 Jun19 May07 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 15.00    
 
ARP-5   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRISCO KID Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 May06 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
KEENEYE GEORGE Jul23 Jun24 Apr24 Apr03 Mar25 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
HONKY TONK MUSIC May26 May11 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
PRINCE OTTO Jul23 Jul03 Feb06 Jan24 Jan10 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
OH SNAP Jul23 Jul03 Jun24 May19 May06 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
SCR  CHISMOSO Aug09 Jun24 May30 Apr23 Apr10 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 12.00    
KNIGHTED Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 May20 May13 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 20.00 10% 9.40    
AUDACE Jul31 Sep19 Jul16 Jun27 May22 (wheeler travis)WALES T 124 15.00 14% 6.20    
 
ARP-6   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GEE WHIZ WHO Jul15 Jul03 Apr29 Mar11 Oct01 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
EXPECT ROYAL Jul17 Jul03 Jun16 May29 May12 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
LIL LATIGO Jul29 Jul10 Jul02 Jun19 Apr01 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 10% 9.30    
RHODIUM RUNNER Jul17 Jun25 May01 Apr11 Mar26 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00    
OMACHE KID Jul31 Jul17 May07 Apr23 Apr09 (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 119 3.50 58% 0.70    
CHERUBIM Jul17 May20 May12 Apr29 Mar11 (roberts brian)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
RI' PIN SNAP Jul31 Jul02 Dec19 Nov30 Nov04 (diaz luis)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00    
FERRARI ROAD Jul31 Jul15 Jul03 Jun17 May20 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TASHKENT Jul29 Jul03 Feb10 Jan08 Dec15 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Jul31 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
JU JU GUY Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Mar04 Oct04 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
WILLTOBELUCKY Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 May05 Apr15 (barraza s)WALES T 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
GREY ROGUE Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 Apr29 Mar25 (rushton temple)LULL E 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
GIMME SPACE Jul23 Apr15 Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 (childs g)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
CLEARLY MAD Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Apr29 Mar18 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
 
ARP-9   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Laddie Purse ($18.188K) 2 C/G PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE PATCH Jul29         (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 120 12.00    
FERRARI RED Jul16         (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
CHASING THE KING Jul29 Jul16       (triana martin)RAMEY CASH 120 15.00    
EZ FITZ Jul29         (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.