The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
    Exacta (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 1 $49.20 $49.20 37.20
    Trifecta (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3-4 3 0 $260.00 -12.00
ARP-4   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
    Exacta (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4 2 0 $19.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4-3 3 0 $71.80 -12.00
ARP-5   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $21.20 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/6/3)-(5/6/2)-(6/3/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00 6-6-2/3/7 3 1 $64.20 $64.20 10.20
ARP-6   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $3.00 -6.00
    Exacta (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 0 $6.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5-3 3 0 $91.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (5/6/2)-(6/3/5)-(5/4/6) 27 $2.00 $54.00 6-2/3/7-2 3 0 $45.40 -54.00
ARP-7   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 0 $46.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (6/3/5)-(5/4/6)-(4/3/1) 27 $2.00 $54.00 2/3/7-2-4 3 0 $16.40 -54.00
ARP-8   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 0.00
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-3 2 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
    Pick Three (5/4/6)-(4/3/1)-(1/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00 2-4-1 3 0 $11.20 -36.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:224 :462 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDIT RATING 6 3 4 31   11 16 (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 3.50 18% 4.60 2.80 W
BIG JUAN 3 4 2nk 2nk   21 26 (chavez juan)TORRES J 117 12.00 15% 5.50 5.10 P
CORTE 4 5 5 46   43(hibdon n)LUARK T 124 15.00 24.00  
BIG BLUE OKIE 1 6 69 6   549 (deisley gale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 9.20  
SWAY BACK WHEN 2 2 1nk 1nk   3510 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.70  
MAJOR TIMING 5 1 34 5   6610½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00 9.10  
SCR  BARREL MAN               (triana juan )BARRIENTOS ANGEL 117 4.50    
 
ARP-4   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:244 :482 1:131 1:263   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE BALL 6 2 11 11 1 16 1(roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 22% 3.60 2.60 W
NORTHERN QUEST 4 4 5 5 44 47 2(wheeler travis)LULL E 124 2.50 1.30  
OREGON COUNTY 3 1 4 3 3 33(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 8.00  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 2 5 3 21 2 26 410½ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 12.00 16% 5.20 5.20  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 1 6 6 68 6 610 511 (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 10.90  
CHEF 5 3 21 43 5 58 614¼ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 26% 2.90 4.80  
 
ARP-5   08/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:22 :46 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOTIE 2 3 3 34   32 1(christian billy)LULL E 124 4.50 13% 6.90 1.60 W
QUEENS RANSOM 1 5 58 4   42(perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 4.60  
OLIVIAN 4 1 1 12   11 3(christian billy)WALES T 124 15.00 12% 7.70 2.30 S
JUST REMEMBER 5 2 2 22   21 4(hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 3.50 52% 0.90 2.10  
SEGOVIANA 3 4 48 57   5520½ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 12.00 13.90  
SCR  OKIE PRINCESS               ( )TBA null      
SCR  RACHIE RACH               (moreno carlos)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50    
 
ARP-6   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:25 :49 1:14 1:272   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUALLY 2 4 42 5 4¼ 1½ 13 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 0.50  
RAY AREWETHEREYET 5 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 23 (rushton temple)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 62% 0.60 4.00 P
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 3 5 53 4¼ 2nk 3313 (martinez a)TORRES J 124 15.00 13.80  
RED HOT MOON 6 3 3 2nk 3.2 4416¼ (triana mart)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 6% 16.20 11.30  
ALL NATIVE 1 6 613 6 6 59 517¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 20.00 22.40  
INTO CLASSIC 4 2 2½ 3.2 5 617 688½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.40 4.30  
 
ARP-7   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST CTBA Mount Elbert Purse ($36.843K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
:224 :452 1:104     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 4 2 4 3½   12 13 (martinez a)WALES T 124 1.00 39% 1.60 0.80 W
TUFF WILLY TE 5 3 5 5   45 23 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 12.30  
HOYA PARANOYA 3 4 2½ 1nk   22 33 (garrett j)LULL E 124 3.50 26% 2.90 1.20 S
TULSA TIME 2 1 1½ 2nk   34(vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 11.40  
MAIUS 1 5 32 42   56 513¼ (martinez a)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 11% 8.40 9.80  
 
ARP-8   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:231 :46 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CALL 1 1 11 1½   1nk 1½ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 70% 0.40 1.00 W
HEY NOW 3 5 3 33   2nk 2½ (kenney dan)WALES T 124 3.50 1.90 P
RONAMO 2 4 21 2½   32 38 (barraza s)LULL E 124 4.50 8% 12.10 3.80 S
SWEET MEDICINE 4 2 45 4   44 4(williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 10.00 13.70  
HOLD TIGHT 5 3 56 5   5514½ (shipp michael)RAMOS B 124 15.00 6.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.