The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
    Exacta (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-2 2 0 $18.40 -4.00
ARP-4   Win (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
    Exacta (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-7 2 1 $41.60 $41.60 17.60
    Trifecta (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-7-6 3 0 $234.80 -48.00
ARP-5   Win (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
    Exacta (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-5 2 0 $50.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-5-6 3 0 $332.40 -48.00
    Pick Three (5/4)-(7/2/1/3)-(2/1/7/4) 32 $2.00 $64.00 5-1-1 3 1 $61.60 $61.60 -2.40
ARP-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
    Exacta (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $21.40 -12.00
    Pick Three (7/2/1/3)-(2/1/7/4)-(4/5/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 1-1-4 3 1 $30.40 $30.40 -65.60
ARP-7   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $20.00 -4.00
    Exacta (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-4 2 0 $82.80 -4.00
    Pick Three (2/1/7/4)-(4/5/1)-(5/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-4-1 3 0 $313.00 -48.00
ARP-8   Win (2/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-1 2 0 $23.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-1-2 3 0 $68.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (4/5/1)-(5/4)-(2/4/6/9) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-1-4/5 3 0 $140.40 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :454 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK NAZTY 5 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.80 W
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 2 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50 2.90  
OPTIMAL 4 1 3 32   33 36 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 22% 3.60 0.80 S
ARIMONY 3 3 4 4   446 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 10.00  
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
:222 :462       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITE RANCHIN KID 1 1 1½ 11   11 13 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 8% 11.00 5.00 W
TAP TAP HUSTO 7 2 31 4   31 23 (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 43% 1.30 2.10 P
TOOMANYNAMES 6 5 2½ 3   21 33 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00 8.00  
WHAT THE HEY 4 3 5 5   57 413¾ (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 6.00 10.00  
SHUDDER 2 4 4 21   43 514¼ (barraza s)LULL E 120 2.50 13% 6.50 4.20  
CAUTION CARDINAL 5 7 6 611½   68 615 (story chad)MORALES M 120 15.00 2.10  
MOONSPLASH 3 6 710 712   716 732½ (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 10.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
 
ARP-5   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:232 :474       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL SPIRIT 1 2 11 1½   11 1(kenney dan)RAMEY CASH 115 2.50 27% 2.70 1.80 W
BIG CREEK FIRE 5 6 31 32   32(barraza raf)MORALES M 120 20.00 11.00  
IMA HAPPY DANCER 6 5 21 2½   21 3(vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 15.00 9.30  
GREEDY 7 3 42 4   54(story chad)LULL E 124 10.00 15% 5.80 6.10  
PIZZA GIRL 3 1 5 5   43 5(burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 117 20.00 13.60  
DESERT SUNSET 2 7 87 8   64 612 (barraza s)WALES T 120 4.50 28% 2.60 3.60  
AUNT CARI 8 4 6 64   75 714½ (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 6.50  
DESERT PEPPER 4 8 7 75   88 819¼ (marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 120 8.00 9% 10.80 5.80  
 
ARP-6   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:231 :462 1:122     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMBO'S BIZ 4 1 3 2½   12 1(rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.00 44% 1.30 0.40 W
PERVASIVE 2 5 55 5   22 2(muckey john)RAMOS B 124 20.00 10.70  
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 5 4 11 1½   3310¼ (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 3.50 23% 3.30 2.20 S
THORNISH 1 3 21 43   44 411¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 7% 13.40 17.60  
MEAN CANNON 3 2 43 32   5512½ (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 8.80  
 
ARP-7   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST CTBA Spicy Purse ($35.738K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:221 :45 1:13     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN MARIE 1 1 1nk 1nk   11(long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50 9.00  
A J'S RIDE 3 2 3 3   22(parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
CHASING DIVINITY 2 4 4 4   46 315½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 16.90  
CELEE'S LAST TE 4 3 2nk 2nk   3428 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 3.50 54% 0.80 0.30  
SCR  FLO TIME               (martinez a)LULL E 124 10.00    
 
ARP-8   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:23 :454 1:114     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD FASHION TIME 1 1 1½ 12   1½ 1½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00 7.80 DQ↓2
INCREDIBE MO 4 3 32 22   2½ 2½ (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 2.50 21% 3.80 0.90 W
EL JEFE COBB 2 6 812 813½   45 32 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 39% 1.60 4.00 S
TIZKANDOIT 8 7 56 44   347 (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
DOMERGOO 6 8 710½ 610   57 5(childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 31.40  
LOOPY DUDE 5 4 44 58   610 623¾ (christian billy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 18% 4.60 4.90  
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 7 5 69 711½   712 742½ (christian billy)WALES T 120 4.50 14.20  
COMFORT KISS 3 2 2½ 33   813 845½ (young a)TORRES J 120 20.00 36.80  
SCR  IZZY IN A TIZZY               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.