Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.60 $1.60 40%
ARP-4   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $41.60 $17.60 73%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHUCK NAZTY 5 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 23% 3.40 1.80 W
2  CATS GOTTA CHANCE 2 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50 2.90  
4  OPTIMAL 4 1 31½ 32   33 36 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 22% 3.60 0.80 S
3  ARIMONY 3 3 41¾ 42½   43¼ 46 (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00 10.00  
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITE RANCHIN KID 1 1 1½ 11   11 13 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 8% 11.00 5.00 W
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of LORELEI'S SONG by AMERI VALAY)
7  TAP TAP HUSTO 7 2 31 41½   31 23 (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 43% 1.30 2.10 P
  (by TAPITURE out of ZENA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  TOOMANYNAMES 6 5 2½ 31½   21 33 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00 8.00  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GREATEST SHOW by STORM CAT)
4  WHAT THE HEY 4 3 56½ 57½   57 413¾ (triana marti)RAMOS B 120 6.00 10.00  
  (by FLAT OUT out of HEY BABY by SAVE BIG MONEY)
2  SHUDDER 2 4 41½ 21   43 514¼ (barraza s)LULL E 120 2.50 13% 6.50 4.20  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
5  CAUTION CARDINAL 5 7 69½ 611½   68 615 (story cha)MORALES M 120 15.00 2.10  
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
3  MOONSPLASH 3 6 710 712   716 732½ (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 10.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TERRI'S PASS by WAR PASS)
 
ARP-5   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL SPIRIT 1 2 11 1½   11 16¼ (kenney dan)RAMEY CASH 115 2.50 27% 2.70 1.80 W
5  BIG CREEK FIRE 5 6 31 32   31½ 26¼ (barraza r)MORALES M 120 20.00 11.00  
6  IMA HAPPY DANCER 6 5 21 2½   21 36¾ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 15.00 9.30  
7  GREEDY 7 3 42 42½   53½ 47¼ (story chad)LULL E 124 10.00 15% 5.80 6.10  
3  PIZZA GIRL 3 1 52½ 53½   43 58¾ (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 117 20.00 13.60  
2  DESERT SUNSET 2 7 87 85½   64 612 (barraza s)WALES T 120 4.50 28% 2.60 3.60  
8  AUNT CARI 8 4 65½ 64   75 714½ (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50 6.50  
4  DESERT PEPPER 4 8 76½ 75   88 819¼ (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 8.00 9% 10.80 5.80  
 
ARP-6   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:122     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JIMBO'S BIZ 4 1 32½ 2½   12 16½ (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.00 44% 1.30 0.40 W
2  PERVASIVE 2 5 55 53½   22 26½ (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 20.00 10.70  
5  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 5 4 11 1½   32½ 310¼ (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 3.50 23% 3.30 2.20 S
1  THORNISH 1 3 21 43   44 411¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 7% 13.40 17.60  
3  MEAN CANNON 3 2 43 32   54½ 512½ (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50 8.80  
 
ARP-7   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Spicy Purse ($35.738K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:13     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN MARIE 1 1 1nk 1nk   12½ 18½ (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50 9.00  
  (by ROCKY BAR out of YELLOW CHUMARINE by CHUMAREE)
4  A J'S RIDE 3 2 31½ 33½   22½ 28½ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of A J MARIE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  CHASING DIVINITY 2 4 44½ 49½   46 315½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 16.90  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of ISN'T SHE DIVINE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  CELEE'S LAST TE 4 3 2nk 2nk   34½ 428 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 3.50 54% 0.80 0.30  
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
SCR  FLO TIME               (martinez a)LULL E 124 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CATS LEGEND by GOLD LEGEND)
 
ARP-8   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:114     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD FASHION TIME 1 1 1½ 12   1½ 1½ (parsons ril)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00 7.80 DQ↓2
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of OLD FASHION LOVE by BELLINGHAM)
4  INCREDIBE MO 4 3 32 22   2½ 2½ (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 2.50 21% 3.80 0.90 W
  (by ACCLAMATION out of THORELLEN by SWISS YODELER)
2  EL JEFE COBB 2 6 812 813½   45 32 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 39% 1.60 4.00 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ROYALE MICHELE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  TIZKANDOIT 8 7 56 44   32½ 47 (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  DOMERGOO 6 8 710½ 610   57 58¾ (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 31.40  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of OVERTHETOP by BROKEN VOW)
6  LOOPY DUDE 5 4 44 58   610 623¾ (christian bill)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 18% 4.60 4.90  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LOOPETY LOO by AFLEET ALEX)
8  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 7 5 69 711½   712 742½ (christian billy)WALES T 120 4.50 14.20  
  (by COAST GUARD out of LADY YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
3  COMFORT KISS 3 2 2½ 33   813 845½ (young a)TORRES J 120 20.00 36.80  
  (by COMFORT out of SOUL KISS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  IZZY IN A TIZZY               ( )TBA null      
  (by TIZNOW out of SONG COLLECTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.