Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-4   Win (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-5   Win (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-7   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-8   Win (2/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 Apr29 Apr09 (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50    
ARIMONY Aug05 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 May01 (torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
OPTIMAL Aug06 Jul29 Jul02 Jun25 Apr22 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
CHUCK NAZTY Aug06 Jul10 Jan14 Dec13 Oct02 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS Jul17 Mar20 Dec13 Nov30 Sep05 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITE RANCHIN KID         (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 8% 11.00    
SHUDDER Jul29 Jul16 Apr15     (barraza s)LULL E 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
MOONSPLASH         (rushton stacy)RAMEY CASH 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT THE HEY Jul16 Jul04       (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 6.00    
CAUTION CARDINAL         (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 15.00    
TOOMANYNAMES         (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00    
TAP TAP HUSTO Jul29         (martinez a)WALES T 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
ARP-5   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL SPIRIT May01         (kenney dan)RAMEY CASH 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
DESERT SUNSET         (barraza s)WALES T 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
PIZZA GIRL Aug06 Jul23 May14 Apr21 Mar25 (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 117 20.00    
DESERT PEPPER Dec20 Nov14 Nov02 Sep25 Aug30 (marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 120 8.00 9% 10.80    
BIG CREEK FIRE Jul23 Jul09       (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
IMA HAPPY DANCER Aug06 Sep25 Sep13     (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 117 15.00    
GREEDY         (story chad)LULL E 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
AUNT CARI Aug06 Jul17 Jun17 May20 May05 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 3.50    
 
ARP-6   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THORNISH Jul29 Jul02 Jun09 Jun03 May20 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 7% 13.40    
PERVASIVE Jul29 Jun18 May20 May06 Apr22 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 20.00    
MEAN CANNON Aug05 May16 Apr12 Mar14 Mar04 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 119 4.50    
JIMBO'S BIZ Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 May06 (rushton stacy)WALES T 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
TIGER BY HIS TAIL Jul29 Jul09 Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
ARP-7   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Spicy Purse ($35.738K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN MARIE Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Apr15 Apr02 (long vaughn)LUARK T 124 4.50    
CHASING DIVINITY Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Sep26 Sep04 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
SCR  FLO TIME Aug07 Jul22 Jul08 Mar19 Mar04 (martinez a)LULL E 124 10.00    
A J'S RIDE Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 Oct02 Sep04 (parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
CELEE'S LAST TE Aug06 Jul15 Jul08 Jun17 Oct04 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 124 3.50 54% 0.80    
 
ARP-8   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD FASHION TIME Aug07 Jul09       (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00    
EL JEFE COBB Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Sep27 Sep05 (young a)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
COMFORT KISS Jul10 Apr02 Mar12 Feb07   (young a)TORRES J 120 20.00    
INCREDIBE MO Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jan30 Jan07 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
LOOPY DUDE Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Jun17 Jun09 (christian billy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
DOMERGOO Jul31 Jul02 Apr14 Mar31   (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jul29 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 Mar18 (christian billy)WALES T 120 4.50    
TIZKANDOIT Jul31 Jul10 May08     (shipp michael)RAMOS B 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IZZY IN A TIZZY Jul31 Jul02 May13 Sep15 Aug25 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.