Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.40 $1.40 23%
ARP-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $34.80 $22.80 190%
ARP-3   TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5-4 $27.60 $15.60 130%
ARP-5   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.00 $4.00 67%
ARP-6   EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6-1 $7.20 $3.20 80%
ARP-7   PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/1)-(4/2/3) 18 $2.00 $36.00  1-4/6-4 $55.00 $19.00 53%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAUI SUNRISE 6 2 12 1   13 1 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 28% 2.60 2.70 W
COWGIRLLOVER 1 4 22 2   23 2 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50 0.80  
ISLAND BEAUTY 7 1 55 46   37 312 (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 10.00  
LAST AMIGA 2 6 4 5   5 414 (triana martin)TORRES J 117 4.50 14.00  
YOUR CALL 3 5 3 34   4 520¾ (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00 17% 4.90 4.70  
MUCH ABOUT ONE 5 3 6 610   613½ 634½ (felix abrah)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 27.50  
QUIK STORM 4 7 719½ 725   721½ 741½ (chavez jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 117 15.00 17% 4.90 12.90  
 
ARP-2   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING LADY 1 4 4 4   31 1 (martinez a)LULL E 117 4.50 27% 2.70 4.90 W
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
MS BUMBLEBEE 5 2 1nk 21   1½ 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 32% 2.20 2.00 P
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 7 1 2nk 32   41 3 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00 39.80  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
JUST A SEC 6 5 3.2 11   2½ 4 (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 3.50 18% 4.50 0.70  
  (by VICE LORD out of JUST NOW by NO STORMS)
WHEREDIDITGO 2 7 7 64   52 57 (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 120 6.00 16.50  
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HIGH ON LIFE 4 3 6 7   64 6 (young a)TORRES J 124 15.00 31.20  
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of DIXIE WALTZ by DIXIELAND BAND)
DESERT PEPPER 3 6 5 53   75 716½ (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 12.00 23.60  
  (by PUNCTUATE out of LADY RIESLING by DOME)
 
ARP-3   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNIN BUFFALO 1 1 1 1   11 1 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 2.50 39% 1.60 0.40 W
YOU'RE MY ROCK 5 5 54 2   21 2 (martinez a)WALES T 117 4.50 14% 6.20 3.50 P
SPUD EXPRESS 4 6 612 6   4 3 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 22% 3.50 9.70 S
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 2 2 2 3   33 411½ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 9.80  
FUSAICHI WILDCAT 6 4 42 5   55 514½ (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 8.10  
BUZZ SHINER 3 3 3 4   69 638¼ (martinez a)LULL E 117 20.00 19.80  
 
ARP-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIE'S A TIGER 3 2 1 1   12 1 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50 0.60  
LOTSA LACE 2 1 2 2   22 2 (cuccia susan)RAMOS B 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.90 P
JEWEL OF DENIAL 5 3 3 3   36 310 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 11.50  
HERE AND VOW 4 5 5 59   4 412½ (mcdonald william)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 13.20  
SIGRID 1 4 4 45   5 525½ (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 36% 1.80 6.40  
SCR  TRULY A MESS               (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 8.00    
 
ARP-5   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CALL ME KEN 1 6 67 6   5 1¼ (rust terri)WALES T 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
MUCHO GIFTED 2 3 3 3   32 2¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 6.20  
NO LIMITATION 5 5 45 4   43 3 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00 17% 5.00 6.10 S
DIVINE TASK 6 2 2½ 2   2 4 (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 4.50 2.80  
ITS A DEAL 3 1 1½ 1   1 5 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 56% 0.80 2.10  
KNIGHTED 4 4 5 57   6 6 (muckey john)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 4.50  
 
ARP-6   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133 1:27   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH EXPRESS 5 4 45 22 2nk 1½ 1 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 64% 0.60 0.60 W
FRIENDLY FOE 1 1 2 3 32 3 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 9% 10.60 3.40 P
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 2 2 1 12 1nk 2½ 3 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 10.00 4.40  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 3 35 54 4 4 421 (esquibel mark)WALES T 124 4.50 6.10  
SHADYFIED 3 5 511 44 5 513½ 559¾ (barrio serg)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00 13.40  
SCR  ALL RISE UP               (chavez jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00    
 
ARP-7   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKTRIP VAN 4 6 3 32   3.2 1 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 39% 1.50 1.50 W
BRAYBRAY 6 2 21 2nk   1nk 2 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 1.40  
JONO 5 1 11 1nk   2nk 35 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 4.30  
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 3 5 44 46   4 4 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 8% 10.90 6.60  
BIG JACK 2 3 66 610½   6 517¼ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 23% 3.40 11.40  
AUTISM WARRIOR 1 4 5 5   5 618 (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 22.50  
 
ARP-8   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BIZ 4 3 2½ 1nk   11 1 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 13% 6.90 0.70 W
CLEARLY MAD 3 2 1½ 2nk   21 2 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 3.00  
THORNISH 2 5 6 5   5 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 9% 10.80 4.60 S
POLICY LIMIT 1 4 42 4   4 412¼ (quezada zachar)LUARK T 124 20.00 27.10  
CHERUBIM 7 1 3 3½   3 516 (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 18.80  
MY TRUE REWARD 5 6 53 66   6 621¾ (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 53% 0.90 10.00  
BRON AND THE BROW 6 7 7 77   711½ 728¼ (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  HEY ROXY               (williams f)RAMEY CASH 114 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.