Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(1/4/5)-(2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/3)-(3/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/5/1)-(6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/1)-(4/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(4/2/3)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-8   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRLLOVER Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May19 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
2  LAST AMIGA Aug06 Jul16       (triana martin)TORRES J 117 4.50    
3  YOUR CALL         (kenney dan)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00 17% 4.90    
4  QUIK STORM         (chavez jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 117 15.00 17% 4.90    
5  MUCH ABOUT ONE Jul09 Jun25 May05 Apr01 Jan11 (felix abrah)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00    
6  MAUI SUNRISE         (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
7  ISLAND BEAUTY Aug12 Jun24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 (ortega joe)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00    
 
ARP-2   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING LADY Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Sep11 (martinez a)LULL E 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
2  WHEREDIDITGO Aug12 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 Mar20 (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 120 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  DESERT PEPPER Aug19 Dec20 Nov14 Nov02 Sep25 (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 120 12.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of LADY RIESLING by DOME)
4  HIGH ON LIFE Aug06 Apr01 Sep26 Mar26 Mar05 (young a)TORRES J 124 15.00    
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of DIXIE WALTZ by DIXIELAND BAND)
5  MS BUMBLEBEE Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Sep25 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
6  JUST A SEC Aug06 Jul29 Jul16     (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by VICE LORD out of JUST NOW by NO STORMS)
7  ITHOUGHTIKNEW Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Mar19 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 20.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
 
ARP-3   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNIN BUFFALO Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Apr21 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Jul10 Jun19 May20 May06 Apr23 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
3  BUZZ SHINER Aug06         (martinez a)LULL E 117 20.00    
4  SPUD EXPRESS         (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  YOU'RE MY ROCK Jul30 Jul09 Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 (martinez a)WALES T 117 4.50 14% 6.20    
6  FUSAICHI WILDCAT Aug06 Jul02 May21 Apr15 Mar12 (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00    
 
ARP-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRULY A MESS Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 May06 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 8.00    
2  SIGRID Jul16 Jun17 May07     (rust terri)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
3  LOTSA LACE Aug06 Jun25 May02 Apr19 Mar28 (cuccia susan)RAMOS B 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  GRACIE'S A TIGER Aug05 Jul17 Mar12 Jan10 Dec10 (martinez a)WALES T 120 2.50    
5  HERE AND VOW Aug14 Jul30 Mar04 Feb19   (mcdonald william)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00    
6  JEWEL OF DENIAL Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 (perkinson cc)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
 
ARP-5   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CALL ME KEN Jul09 Jun17 May07 Apr23 Mar21 (rust terri)WALES T 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUCHO GIFTED Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50    
3  ITS A DEAL Aug07 Jun25 Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  KNIGHTED Aug13 Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 May20 (muckey john)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
5  NO LIMITATION Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 May20 May06 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  DIVINE TASK Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 Sep27 (hall monk)RAMEY CASH 116 4.50    
 
ARP-6   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY FOE Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Sep27 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 9% 10.60    
2  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May05 Apr05 (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 10.00    
3  SHADYFIED Jul16 Jul02 Apr24 Apr03 Mar12 (barrio serg)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
SCR  ALL RISE UP Aug07 Oct02 Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 (chavez jua)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00    
5  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Apr17 Apr04 (esquibel mark)WALES T 124 4.50    
6  CASH EXPRESS Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 Apr16 Apr08 (chavez juan)TORRES J 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
 
ARP-7   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM WARRIOR Jun19 Mar18 Jan31 Dec22 Sep19 (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00    
2  BIG JACK Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 May02 Mar06 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT         (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 8% 10.90    
4  QUICKTRIP VAN Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 Sep04 Aug14 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 39% 1.50    
5  JONO Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May05 Apr15 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
6  BRAYBRAY Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 Mar06 Feb14 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50    
 
ARP-8   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY LIMIT Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 May13 May06 (quezada zach)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
2  THORNISH Aug19 Jul29 Jul02 Jun09 Jun03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 9% 10.80    
3  CLEARLY MAD Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Apr29 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
4  BIG BIZ Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  HEY ROXY Aug13 Jul20 Jul05 Jun29 May15 (williams f)RAMEY CASH 114 3.50    
6  MY TRUE REWARD Jul17 May06 Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 (young a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  BRON AND THE BROW Aug07 Jul22 May06 Mar25 Mar19 (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHERUBIM Aug13 Jul17 May20 May12 Apr29 (roberts bri)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.