Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
North Dakota Horse Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-8   WIN (5/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    EXA (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-2 $22.20 $10.20 85%
Simulator Race results
 
FAR-2   07/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:01         1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 6 1 11 11½   11 1¼ (dolphus junior)DELORME L 117 8.00 11.50  
  (by LIAISON out of UNTAMED BEAUTY by RAHY)
4  FLY WITH CLASS 3 2 21 21½   21 2¼ (haar amanda)PINEDA G 124 4.00 7.40  
  (by CLASSY GENT out of ELEGANT FLYER by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  RIVER CHARMER 2 3 32½ 32   32½ 32 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 119 3.50 22% 3.60 1.20 S
  (by AMERICAN LION out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
5  CLASSICALLY WICKED 4 5 57½ 45   45½ 45 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 117 2.50 6.10  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of E CLASSIC by E DUBAI)
6  ROADSTAR KING 5 4 45½ 55   510½ 510 (delorme mar)PADILLA ANSELMO 124 6.00 14% 6.20 6.70  
  (by KING CHA CHA out of ROADSTAR DANCER by LAKESHORE ROAD)
1  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN 1 6 657½ 655   660½ 6100 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 2.50 38% 1.60 2.10  
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SIN TOWN by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  BABY YATTA               (delorme mar)PADILLA ANSELMO 117 12.00    
  (by OLD PUERTO out of UNIQUE HEART by BASEBALL CARD KID)
SCR  KICKFIRSTASKLATER               (dolphus junior)MORIN RYAN 122 15.00    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of CROWNING DESTINY by CROWNING SEASON (GB))
 
FAR-5   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME WOULD SAY 1 2 13 15   16 14¾ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.50 1.10  
2  CANTERBURY GOLD 2 3 23 25   26 24¾ (horst scot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 10.00 2.00  
6  BOOGIE BUG 4 1 35½ 39   316 315¾ (nelson francis)PINEDA G 126 3.00 58% 0.70 2.60 S
4  WIDGET GIDGET 3 4 47½ 412   417 417 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 5.00 7% 13.50 5.30  
SCR  BETTY'S BAR               (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
SCR  I CINC EYE LUV U               (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 15.00    
SCR  LADY CREATIVE               (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 2.00    
 
FAR-7   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUST ASK JOEL 4 3 32 2nk   11½ 15¾ (suter c)MARTINEZ R 126 4.50 16% 5.10 2.00 W
6  BIG BIZ 5 1 1nk 1nk   21½ 25¾ (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 3.00 32% 2.10 1.40 P
7  JIMMY'S MARCO 6 2 2nk 31   33 39¾ (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.00 4.70  
3  NOSBOR 3 4 44 47   46 416 (estrada francisco)PINEDA G 126 6.00 26% 2.80 7.10  
2  PASHTUNWALI 2 5 58 511   59 521 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 8.00 8.80  
1  DEPUTY VERDOT 1 6 611 614   617 632¾ (martin dean)FRINK D 126 20.00 9.40  
SCR  MAGIC CARPET               (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00    
 
FAR-8   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:132         1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STARS ALIGNED 7 1 1½ 12   11½ 11¾ (martin dean)DELORME L 126 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40 W
2  UNBROKEN SONG 1 7 712½ 35   32½ 21¾ (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 3.50 21% 3.80 1.00 P
5  HELLO HANDSOME 4 4 47 22   21½ 32 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 5.00 38% 1.60 2.90 S
4  ACTION PACKED 3 6 610½ 47   47½ 48½ (malaterre jennifer)PINEDA G 126 12.00 15.40  
7  TIFF'S DREAM 6 3 36½ 58½   59½ 511 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 15% 5.50 5.50  
3  ELI'S FIRE 2 5 57½ 616½   617½ 623¼ (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 9.90  
6  BASEBALL ANNIE 5 2 2½ 723   725½ 734 (longie robert)MORIN RYAN 121 12.00 28.70  
SCR  A P GUNNER               (dolphus jun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 15.00    
SCR  BIG ENDER               (delorme marcus )HERMAN EVAN 126 4.00    
 
FAR-10   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:42         1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KREWS PASS 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 14½ 16½ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 1.00 0.60  
  (by BE VALIANT out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
4  TRICKY KID 4 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 24½ 26½ (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00 7.80  
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
3  DAKOTA PROSPECTOR 3 5 42½ 33½ 33½ 35½ 37½ (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 9.00 7.60  
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of MS SENT TO DAKOTA by MARQUETRY)
2  BONNIE AND 2 4 54½ 510 515½ 413½ 417 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 5.00 13% 6.50 6.70  
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of FUSAICHI FEELING by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
1  EMMITT'S CHALLENGE 1 3 32 49½ 49½ 523½ 529¼ (delorme mar)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 8.00 35% 1.80 9.00  
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of EIGHTEEN BELOWE by NICK (CHI))
6  I'M SHINING LADY 6 6 66 613 623½ 635½ 642½ (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 121 4.50 27% 2.70 4.30  
  (by OLD PUERTO out of IM REALLY SHINING by COMET SHINE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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