Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FAR-5   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
FAR-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FAR-8   WIN (5/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FAR-10   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-2   07/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Jun24 May19 May13 Apr21 Apr07 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SIN TOWN by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  KICKFIRSTASKLATER         (dolphus junior)MORIN RYAN 122 15.00    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of CROWNING DESTINY by CROWNING SEASON (GB))
3  RIVER CHARMER Jul23 Jul14 Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by AMERICAN LION out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
4  FLY WITH CLASS Jun24 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 (haar amanda)PINEDA G 124 4.00    
  (by CLASSY GENT out of ELEGANT FLYER by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  CLASSICALLY WICKED Jul23 Jul14 Jun11 Apr28 Apr22 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 117 2.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of E CLASSIC by E DUBAI)
6  ROADSTAR KING Jul29 Jun18 Jun04 Jul30 Jul02 (delorme marcu)TARASENCO P 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of ROADSTAR DANCER by LAKESHORE ROAD)
7  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 Apr21 Mar17 (dolphus junior)DELORME L 117 8.00    
  (by LIAISON out of UNTAMED BEAUTY by RAHY)
SCR  BABY YATTA Jul29 Jul03       (delorme mar)PADILLA ANSELMO 117 12.00    
  (by OLD PUERTO out of UNIQUE HEART by BASEBALL CARD KID)
 
FAR-5   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME WOULD SAY Jul15 Jul05 Jun18 May25 May05 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.50    
2  CANTERBURY GOLD Jul23 Jul04 Jun27 Jun12 May29 (horst scot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 10.00    
SCR  I CINC EYE LUV U Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 15.00    
4  WIDGET GIDGET Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 5.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  BETTY'S BAR Jul08 Jun21 May29 May02 Apr19 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
6  BOOGIE BUG Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 (nelson franci)TARASENCO P 126 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  LADY CREATIVE Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May30 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 2.00    
 
FAR-7   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY VERDOT Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 Jul24 (martin dean)TARASENCO P 126 20.00    
2  PASHTUNWALI Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jul31 Jul24 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 8.00    
3  NOSBOR Feb24 Dec17 Nov17 Oct29 Oct02 (estrada francisco)PINEDA G 126 6.00 26% 2.80    
4  JUST ASK JOEL Jul22 Jul14 Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 126 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  MAGIC CARPET Jul12 Jul05 Jun28 May01 Apr25 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00    
6  BIG BIZ Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May20 May13 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  JIMMY'S MARCO Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.00    
 
FAR-8   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG ENDER Jun24 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19   (delorme marcus )HERMAN EVAN 126 4.00    
2  UNBROKEN SONG Jul23 Jul09 Jul03 Nov20 Nov06 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
3  ELI'S FIRE Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 Jun12 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00    
4  ACTION PACKED Jul22 Jun25 Jul31 Jul24 Jul02 (malaterre jennifer)PINEDA G 126 12.00    
5  HELLO HANDSOME Jul23 Jul15 Jun12 May23 Apr26 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 5.00 38% 1.60    
6  BASEBALL ANNIE Jul22 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul31 (longie robert)MORIN RYAN 121 12.00    
7  TIFF'S DREAM Jun17 May13 Jul30 Jul23 Jun03 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
8  STARS ALIGNED Jul14 Jun25 Jun11     (martin dean)DELORME L 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  A P GUNNER Jul29 Jul23 Jul14 Jun25 Jun11 (dolphus jun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 15.00    
 
FAR-10   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMITT'S CHALLENGE Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 Jun12 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00 35% 1.80    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of EIGHTEEN BELOWE by NICK (CHI))
2  BONNIE AND Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of FUSAICHI FEELING by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  DAKOTA PROSPECTOR Jul15 Jun03 Jul16 Jun12 Jun01 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 9.00    
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of MS SENT TO DAKOTA by MARQUETRY)
4  TRICKY KID Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 Jul31 Jul23 (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
5  KREWS PASS Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 May19 Sep19 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 1.00    
  (by BE VALIANT out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
6  I'M SHINING LADY Jul22 Jun25 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by OLD PUERTO out of IM REALLY SHINING by COMET SHINE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.