Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $13.00  
ARP-4   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 4.60
ARP-6   Win (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHROMESIDSATION 4 4 45 31   3.2 1½ (garrett j)TORRES J 120 4.50 5.50  
1  OLD FASHION TIME 1 5 33 41½   2nk 2½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.80 0.60 P
5  GUTFIELD 5 1 21½ 2½   1nk 34 (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 10.00 4.00  
3  JAKE ON DAKAN 3 2 11½ 1½   42¼ 415 (long vaughn)LUARK T 120 2.50 47% 1.10 4.10  
2  SILENCE'S NATION 2 3 55½ 55½   510¼ 524¼ (barraza s)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00 13.40  
 
ARP-4   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 6 1 21 21   2nk 11½ (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 27% 2.80 1.30 W
1  JULIARD HONOR 1 2 11 11   1nk 21½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 11.40  
2  BORN TO REIGN 2 6 54 32½   31 33¼ (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6% 14.90 4.80 S
4  WE ALL AGREE 4 3 33 42½   42½ 411 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 3.50 40% 1.50 1.10  
3  CAROLYN'S WAY 3 5 67½ 56   58½ 533¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00 17.60  
5  PALM COURT 5 4 43½ 66½   618½ 690 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 29.80  
 
ARP-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STARLET COLE 6 1 11 1nk   12 15 (kenney dan)WALES T 120 3.50 5% 19.00 4.30 W
5  HIGH GUNNER 5 6 64 4¾   42¼ 25 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 58% 0.70 0.90 P
4  DOOIT 4 3 21 3½   32 35½ (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 6.10  
2  CHASING DIVINITY 2 2 31½ 2nk   22 47¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 12.50  
3  SPECIAL TWIST 3 4 43 51¼   53¼ 59½ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 2.50 17% 5.00 3.70  
1  LUNA ROSE 1 5 54 62¾   65¾ 612¾ (garrett j)LULL E 121 8.00 8.20  
 
ARP-6   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  D'WILD MUFFIN 3 1 2nk 1nk   12 18¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 20% 4.10 0.60 W
6  CREDIT CARD FRAUD 4 2 3½ 42   54 28¼ (quezada zachary)RAMOS B 124 12.00 4.90  
2  IMA FINAL DE BUY 1 4 1nk 2nk   22 39 (loftin linda)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.50 3.60  
3  KALLINIKI 2 5 52 52½   43 410½ (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
8  OUT OF THE SKY 5 3 41½ 31½   33 521¼ (jenkins l)LULL E 121 20.00 8% 11.50 6.20  
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY               (hibdon n)WALES T 124 6.00    
SCR  HIGH VALUE TARGET               (lemburg mark)TORRES J 124 15.00    
SCR  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD               (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.