The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $13.00 -4.00
    Exacta (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4-1 2 0 $24.00 -4.00
ARP-4   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $28.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1-2 3 0 $67.00 -12.00
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 4.60
    Exacta (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $19.20 $19.20 7.20
    Trifecta (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5-4 3 0 $85.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/1)-(4/6/2)-(5/3/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 4-6-6 3 0 $113.40 -36.00
ARP-6   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (5/8/3)-(5/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $10.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/8/3)-(5/8/3)-(5/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6-2 3 0 $17.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/6/2)-(5/3/6)-(5/8/3) 27 $2.00 $54.00 6-6-1/4/5/7 3 1 $16.60 $16.60 -37.40

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROMESIDSATION 4 4 45 31   3.2 1½ (garrett j)TORRES J 120 4.50 5.50  
OLD FASHION TIME 1 5 33 4   2nk 2½ (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.80 0.60 P
GUTFIELD 5 1 2 2½   1nk 34 (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 10.00 4.00  
JAKE ON DAKAN 3 2 1 1½   4415 (long vaughn)LUARK T 120 2.50 47% 1.10 4.10  
SILENCE'S NATION 2 3 5 5   510¼ 524¼ (barraza s)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00 13.40  
 
ARP-4   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH 6 1 21 21   2nk 1(martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 27% 2.80 1.30 W
JULIARD HONOR 1 2 11 11   1nk 2(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 11.40  
BORN TO REIGN 2 6 54 3   31 3(martinez a)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6% 14.90 4.80 S
WE ALL AGREE 4 3 33 4   4411 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 3.50 40% 1.50 1.10  
CAROLYN'S WAY 3 5 6 56   5533¾ (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00 17.60  
PALM COURT 5 4 4 6   618½ 690 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 29.80  
 
ARP-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLET COLE 6 1 11 1nk   12 15 (kenney dan)WALES T 120 3.50 5% 19.00 4.30 W
HIGH GUNNER 5 6 64 4¾   425 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 58% 0.70 0.90 P
DOOIT 4 3 21 3½   32 3(barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 6.10  
CHASING DIVINITY 2 2 3 2nk   22 4(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 12.50  
SPECIAL TWIST 3 4 43 5   55(hall monk)RAMOS B 121 2.50 17% 5.00 3.70  
LUNA ROSE 1 5 54 6   6612¾ (garrett j)LULL E 121 8.00 8.20  
 
ARP-6   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:231 :47 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'WILD MUFFIN 3 1 2nk 1nk   12 1(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 20% 4.10 0.60 W
CREDIT CARD FRAUD 4 2 3½ 42   54 2(quezada zachary)RAMOS B 124 12.00 4.90  
IMA FINAL DE BUY 1 4 1nk 2nk   22 39 (loftin linda)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.50 3.60  
KALLINIKI 2 5 52 5   43 410½ (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
OUT OF THE SKY 5 3 4 3   33 521¼ (jenkins l)LULL E 121 20.00 8% 11.50 6.20  
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY               (hibdon n)WALES T 124 6.00    
SCR  HIGH VALUE TARGET               (lemburg mark)TORRES J 124 15.00    
SCR  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD               (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.