Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-4   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD FASHION TIME Aug19 Aug07 Jul09     (parsons riley)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
SILENCE'S NATION Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun19   (barraza s)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00    
JAKE ON DAKAN Aug07         (long vaughn)LUARK T 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
CHROMESIDSATION Aug07         (garrett j)TORRES J 120 4.50    
GUTFIELD Aug07 Jul30 Jul09 Jun19 Jul24 (triana martin)RAMOS B 120 10.00    
 
ARP-4   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR Aug05 Jul15 Jul10 Jun24 May19 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00    
BORN TO REIGN Aug05 Jun24 Apr17 Mar04 Jan25 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6% 14.90    
CAROLYN'S WAY Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00    
WE ALL AGREE Aug05 Jul15 Jul10 May06 Apr24 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
PALM COURT Jul30 Apr30 Apr07 Apr01 Feb25 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
SHE'S SMART ENOUGH Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 Sep27 Sep04 (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
ARP-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA ROSE Aug14 Jul16 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 (garrett j)LULL E 121 8.00    
CHASING DIVINITY Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Sep26 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00    
SPECIAL TWIST Aug14 Aug06       (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
DOOIT Jun16 May11 Apr23 Feb08 Jan13 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
HIGH GUNNER Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 Mar27 Mar11 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
STARLET COLE Aug12 Jul17       (kenney dan)WALES T 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-6   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY Aug07 Jul17 Apr30 Mar26 Mar12 (hibdon n)WALES T 124 6.00    
IMA FINAL DE BUY Jul22 Sep26 Sep12     (loftin linda)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.50    
KALLINIKI Jul22 Jul10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Aug05 Apr08 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
D'WILD MUFFIN Jul17 May29 May20 Apr30 Apr08 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
CREDIT CARD FRAUD Aug14 May21 Apr08 Mar21 Feb05 (quezada zachary)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
SCR  HIGH VALUE TARGET Jul22 Jul02 Apr22 Apr07 Apr01 (lemburg mark)TORRES J 124 15.00    
OUT OF THE SKY Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 Oct03 Sep19 (jenkins l)LULL E 121 20.00 8% 11.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.