Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.60 $0.60 10%
LAD-3   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-8 $14.20 $5.20 58%
LAD-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $18.20 $12.20 203%
    DD (8/5/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-6 $21.30 $12.30 137%
LAD-8   WIN (9/7/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $17.60 $9.60 120%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   09/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:134 1:261   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOSTON PAULETTE 5 2 21 2½ 21½ 1nk 1¾ (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 6% 15.70 2.30 W
3  RIPTIDE ROSE 3 1 11 1½ 11½ 2nk 2¾ (silva walter)BARRERA J 117 2.50 2.70  
7  SWEET LITTLE ROSE 7 6 65 54½ 43½ 33 33½ (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 12.30  
1  COUSIN VICKIE 1 7 76½ 75½ 66½ 55½ 45 (de beauv)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 32.20  
2  DANAS MULE 2 5 54½ 64½ 76½ 45 55¾ (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 118 5.00 40% 1.50 5.90  
6  SUE'S LITTLE ZING 6 4 43 43 55 76¾ 67¾ (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50 26% 2.80 2.60  
4  BEULAH K 4 3 32 31½ 32½ 65¾ 77¾ (hollow)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 7.10  
SCR  OVERLY SWEET               (zeno benjamin)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
 
LAD-2   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WESLEYAN 4 5 21½ 2nk   12 1½ (martin kevin)BOREL H 124 25.00 5.90  
10  AMERICAN SMOOTH 8 4 54 65¼   42½ 2½ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.50 10% 9.30 1.10 P
2  EASY BIG BOY 2 6 42½ 43   54½ 34 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 7.30  
3  BIG SCULLY 3 2 11½ 1nk   32½ 47¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 49% 1.10 5.10  
7  DOUBLE TRAP 5 7 74¼ 77¼   67½ 59 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 5.00 15% 5.70 17.30  
8  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 6 3 32½ 32   22 69¾ (husak j)POMPELL L 121 6.00 4.60  
11  CHIEFWEAVE 9 1 84¾ 89¼   79 711¾ (gomez a)FUSILIER C 121 10.00 5% 18.70 23.50  
9  XANTHUS WRATH 7 9 97¾ 910¼   810½ 813¾ (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00 42.70  
1  BRIMESTONE KID 1 8 64¼ 55   911½ 920 (tillis e)TORRES HUGO 116 25.00 54.30  
SCR  MARKETBOOK               (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
SCR  OBVIOUSLY TOO               (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 25.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI GOLD               (eche)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
SCR  WEIRD YEAR               (rossi j)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
 
LAD-3   09/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12 1:244   1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPARKIN 5 1 11½ 11½   11 11¼ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 7% 14.00 2.50 W
8  RONALDS GATSBY 8 3 21½ 21½   21 21¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 70% 0.40 3.80 P
2  C P'S WILD FIRE 2 8 78½ 46   34 36½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 6.70  
3  LINCOLN PRODUCTION 3 6 58 67   45½ 49¾ (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
9  CLASSIC WARRIOR 9 4 45 34½   55½ 513 (gomez davi)ALBERT S 115 15.00 14.50  
1  OWEN THE ICE MAN 1 7 811½ 78   68½ 621½ (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 ★ 15.40  
4  TRIPLE 4 5 68 89½   711 726½ (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 49.90  
7  SNAKEBIT 7 9 918½ 919½   917 841¾ (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 7.50  
6  SPIRIT OF DREAMS 6 2 33 57   816 946¼ (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 120 3.50 3.00  
 
LAD-4   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:133     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LITTLE Z 6 4 21 21   1nk 11¼ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 2.00 51% 1.00 2.60 W
1  SECRET GUITAR 1 3 42½ 32½   2nk 21¼ (latour nicho)BARRERA J 115 8.00 8% 11.40 5.40 P
2  RONA VISION 2 6 63¼ 54   43½ 310¼ (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5.10  
4  DELTA NIGHTS 4 2 52¾ 66   55 412 (gelner j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 15.00  
3  NIGHT TIZZY 3 5 31 43½   66 518¼ (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 17.50  
5  TRIPLE THE GOLD 5 1 11 11   3½ 631½ (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 13% 7.00 1.00  
 
LAD-5   09/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:101 1:361   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SYVESTAR 5 3 33½ 31½ 1½ 13 11½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 4.70  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUPREME BEAN by SUPER SAVER)
6  MONOLITH 6 9 79½ 610 55½ 35 21½ (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70 P
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of BRILLIANT AUDREY by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  ROULETTE 3 4 68½ 711 76½ 48 35 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 20.00 5.00  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LAZY SUSAN by TIZNOW)
11  KING ARTHUR RIDGE 11 12 1213¾ 1217½ 118¾ 59 46 (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00 47.70  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
7  GOLDEN GREEK 7 11 1111¾ 1114½ 98 69 56 (cruz eduardo)BENAVIDES D 120 8.00 8% 11.60 8.90  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY BEST TEN by HARD SPUN)
12  MONEYSTRIKE 12 1 2½ 11 2½ 23 67¾ (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 17% 5.00 5.80  
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of SKY STRIKE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
1  UNAFFILIATED 1 5 810 813 87½ 811½ 714¾ (schmidt de)ALBERT S 119 25.00 72.40  
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
4  OLCZYK 4 7 45½ 43½ 33½ 711 821¼ (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 16% 5.20 2.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  SASSI D 9 2 1½ 21 44½ 914½ 924¼ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.50 35% 1.90 3.60  
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
2  MODOC 2 6 910¼ 913½ 108½ 1017½ 1024¾ (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 78.40  
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
10  SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE 10 10 1011¼ 1014½ 1211¾ 1220 1127½ (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 30.00 90.80  
  (by GOTTCHA PHARM out of SHAMEFUL VERDICT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
8  GRAND ENCORE 8 8 55½ 55 66½ 1118 1228¾ (gomez david )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 29.60  
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SIXTEEN GRAND by FESTIVE)
SCR  MORO TRENDSETTER               (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
 
LAD-6   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HOWL YEAH 7 10 108½ 65 43½ 21 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 2.50  
10  ROYAL DE BE 9 1 11 11 11½ 11 2½ (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 20.20  
1  WINNING DANCE 1 7 85½ 42½ 32½ 42 34 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 30.00 33.70  
13  TRAFFIC BOSS 12 4 31 21 21½ 32 44¼ (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
3  RED OCTOBER 2 8 96½ 107¼ 108 62¼ 56¼ (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 3.50 17% 4.80 3.00  
4  ALL TOGETHER 3 3 54¼ 75¼ 97½ 52¼ 67¼ (beavin judy)VARGAS P 117 30.00 39.70  
7  PROSPECTOR'S POINT 6 12 1213½ 1211¼ 1210 83½ 78¼ (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 11.00  
12  CRAZY MUGGS 11 2 21 31 65 94 811¼ (ramirez rosa )RAMIREZ JULIO 115 20.00 35.30  
6  SEEKING CHROME 5 9 75¼ 96¼ 76 73¼ 911½ (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
11  THINKINGNDRINKING 10 11 118½ 118¼ 119 105 1011¾ (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
5  SHOETRICK 4 6 64¼ 85¼ 86½ 117 1115¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 4.50 49% 1.00 4.40  
9  ALPHIN 8 5 44 54 54½ 1215 1219 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00 25.40  
SCR  MO HAWK MAN               (mouton patrick)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
SCR  MOTANAAFER               (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 124 10.00    
 
LAD-7   09/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:241   1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SKYKAT 3 4 52¼ 32   2½ 13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 2.40  
9  SUMMERTIME BANDIT 8 2 11 11   1½ 23 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 114 15.00 8.80  
12  ANGEL OF VERDUN 11 6 65¼ 83½   41½ 33 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 122 3.50 19% 4.40 9.10 S
2  CALAJA 2 3 21 21   31½ 44 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 22.50  
4  WATRUGONNADOKAREN 4 10 119¾ 52¼   52 54½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
10  MARY JACK 9 7 97¾ 94½   63 64¾ (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
8  TIZ MY PLAN 7 11 1211¾ 116   85 76¾ (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 30.00 76.50  
6  BAR TAP 6 9 76¼ 42   74½ 87 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.60 16.50  
1  LIL ASHLEY B. 1 12 108¼ 104½   95¼ 97¾ (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 119 5.00 7.60  
13  HUSHED COURT ROOM 12 5 42 72½   106¼ 1011¾ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 40% 1.50 3.80  
11  VISIONOFWILDTIMES 10 1 32 62¼   117¼ 1113¼ (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 20.00 30.10  
5  WENDY WILECAT 5 8 86¾ 129   1210¼ 1218¼ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 25.00 36.10  
SCR  FADED MEMORIES               (duhon paul)BOREL H 122 15.00    
 
LAD-8   09/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:11 1:351   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FREEDOM FACTOR 11 3 11½ 13 11½ 11½ 1¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 6% 15.90 7.80 W
6  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 6 2 32½ 33 31½ 21½ 2¾ (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 8.40  
5  BRITTS A CLOSER 5 8 76¾ 45 21½ 31½ 33¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 ★ 2.60 S
3  SMARTY ALEX 3 9 66½ 77¼ 78¼ 57 47¾ (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 6.10  
4  RUM 'N TONIC 4 4 44½ 65¾ 56½ 45½ 58¼ (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00 25.00  
7  HUDSON'S TURN 7 7 1111 1112¼ 1112¼ 69 69¼ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 12% 7.50 11.10  
12  HEZA PICKLE 12 12 1214 1214¼ 1214¼ 810¼ 79¾ (turner patti)BARRERA J 114 20.00 52.50  
8  FATHER RED 8 6 89¼ 910¼ 910¼ 910¼ 810¾ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 25.00 5% 19.00 56.90  
9  DEER CROSSING 9 10 99¼ 89¼ 89¼ 710 912½ (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 119 3.50 61% 0.60 1.80  
2  COWBOY RIDGE 2 1 21½ 23 44½ 1012¼ 1015¾ (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00 53.30  
10  BAY BE GONE 10 11 1010¾ 1010¼ 1010¼ 1114¼ 1116¾ (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 25.00 42.60  
1  BIG BOO 1 5 56½ 55¼ 68 1215¾ 1218½ (singh s)GREEN AUBRIE 119 30.00 59.60  
SCR  CHARLIE G               (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
SCR  EASTER SNAP               (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.