Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/7/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/7/10/11)-(8/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/7/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/11)-(3/7/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/11)-(3/7/10/11)-(3/7/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/10/11)-(8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/10/11)-(8/5/3)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/1/3)-(8/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(6/5/1)-(9/12/4/7/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(9/12/4/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(9/12/4/7/6)-(5/3/11/6/13) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-5   WIN (9/12/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/4/7/6)-(9/12/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/4/7/6)-(9/12/4/7/6)-(9/12/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/12/4/7/6)-(5/3/11/6/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/12/4/7/6)-(5/3/11/6/13)-(13/12/6/4/10) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LAD-6   WIN (5/3/11/6/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/11/6/13)-(5/3/11/6/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/11/6/13)-(5/3/11/6/13)-(5/3/11/6/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/11/6/13)-(13/12/6/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/3/11/6/13)-(13/12/6/4/10)-(9/7/11/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-7   WIN (13/12/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/12/6/4/10)-(13/12/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/12/6/4/10)-(13/12/6/4/10)-(13/12/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/12/6/4/10)-(9/7/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-8   WIN (9/7/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/11/8)-(9/7/11/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/11/8)-(9/7/11/5/8)-(9/7/11/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN VICKIE Aug20 Aug07 Jul03 May29 Feb02 (de beauv)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
2  DANAS MULE Jul23         (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
3  RIPTIDE ROSE Jul21 Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr26 (silva walter)BARRERA J 117 2.50    
4  BEULAH K Aug28 Aug07 Jun24 Jun04 May14 (hollow)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
5  BOSTON PAULETTE Aug05 Jul15 Jun16     (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50 6% 15.70    
6  SUE'S LITTLE ZING Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
7  SWEET LITTLE ROSE Jul24 Jul03 May30 May07 Mar23 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  OVERLY SWEET Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 May20 Apr28 (zeno benjamin)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
 
LAD-2   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIMESTONE KID May21 Jun04 May06 Apr21 Mar27 (tillis e)TORRES HUGO 116 25.00    
2  EASY BIG BOY Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May28 Mar10 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
3  BIG SCULLY Aug12 May20 Feb23 Feb11 Jan08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  MARKETBOOK Aug19 Jun04 May14 May06 Feb18 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
5  WESLEYAN Aug26 Aug12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar30 (martin kevin)BOREL H 124 25.00    
SCR  OBVIOUSLY TOO Aug26 Jul31 Jun11 May20 May05 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 25.00    
7  DOUBLE TRAP Jul02 Jun04 Apr21 Jan06 Dec22 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
8  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Aug29 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 (husak j)POMPELL L 121 6.00    
9  XANTHUS WRATH Aug29 Jan14 Nov02 Oct14 Sep05 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
10  AMERICAN SMOOTH Aug26 Aug12 Jun24 May29 May14 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
11  CHIEFWEAVE Aug13 Jul29 Jun17 May30 May14 (gomez a)FUSILIER C 121 10.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  WEIRD YEAR Feb05 Jan13 Nov19 Nov07 Sep29 (rossi j)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI GOLD Aug12 Jun25 Jun08 May06 Apr08 (eche)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
 
LAD-3   09/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWEN THE ICE MAN Aug29 Aug19 Jul29 Jun12 May22 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 ★    
2  C P'S WILD FIRE Jul21 Jun19 May14 Mar31   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
3  LINCOLN PRODUCTION Jul29 Jul02 Jan08 Nov27   (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRIPLE Jul30 Jun10 May22 Jan20 Dec28 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
5  SPARKIN Aug29 Aug05 Jul01 May27 May14 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 7% 14.00    
6  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Aug05 Jun03 Feb10     (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 120 3.50    
7  SNAKEBIT Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 Jun12 Feb22 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50    
8  RONALDS GATSBY Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 May22 May06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 70% 0.40    
9  CLASSIC WARRIOR Aug06 Jul03       (gomez davi)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
 
LAD-4   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET GUITAR Jul22         (latour nicho)BARRERA J 115 8.00 8% 11.40    
2  RONA VISION Aug13 Jul23 Jun18     (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
3  NIGHT TIZZY Sep02 Jul02       (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
4  DELTA NIGHTS Sep02 Aug11       (gelner j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
5  TRIPLE THE GOLD Sep02 Jul09 Apr15     (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 13% 7.00    
6  LITTLE Z Sep02 Jul29 Jun12 May28 Feb15 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
LAD-5   09/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNAFFILIATED Aug19 Aug06 Jun24 May15 Feb24 (schmidt de)ALBERT S 119 25.00    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  MODOC Aug19 Jul29 Jul04 Jun16 May21 (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
3  ROULETTE Aug19 Jul24 Jun05 May13   (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LAZY SUSAN by TIZNOW)
4  OLCZYK Aug21 Jun25 Jun02 May06 Mar31 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  SYVESTAR Aug12 Jul06 May04 Mar22 Feb24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUPREME BEAN by SUPER SAVER)
6  MONOLITH Aug06 Jul22 Jun02     (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of BRILLIANT AUDREY by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  GOLDEN GREEK Aug21         (cruz eduardo)BENAVIDES D 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY BEST TEN by HARD SPUN)
8  GRAND ENCORE Aug20 Jun12       (gomez david )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SIXTEEN GRAND by FESTIVE)
9  SASSI D Aug12         (thomas lee)MAGNON H 117 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
10  SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE Aug06 Jul04 Jun17     (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 30.00    
  (by GOTTCHA PHARM out of SHAMEFUL VERDICT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
11  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Aug06 Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 May21 (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
12  MONEYSTRIKE Aug21 Aug06 Jun19 May27 May05 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of SKY STRIKE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
SCR  MORO TRENDSETTER Jul04 Jun02 May21 Apr23 Apr08 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
 
LAD-6   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING DANCE Aug26 Jul24 Jun26 Jun10 Feb11 (melancon don)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 30.00    
SCR  MOTANAAFER Jul22 Jun10 May19 Mar24 Mar05 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 124 10.00    
3  RED OCTOBER Aug26 Jul13 May20 Apr28 Mar25 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 3.50 17% 4.80    
4  ALL TOGETHER Aug19 Jun15 May19 Apr28 Feb09 (beavin judy)VARGAS P 117 30.00    
5  SHOETRICK Aug26 Jul28 Jul15 Jun08 May11 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 4.50 49% 1.00    
6  SEEKING CHROME Jul22 Jul08 Jun08 May20 Apr22 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PROSPECTOR'S POINT Aug26 Aug12 Jun25 May27   (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
8  HOWL YEAH Aug19 Jul22 May21 May05 Apr07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00    
9  ALPHIN Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10   (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00    
10  ROYAL DE BE Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May27 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
11  THINKINGNDRINKING Aug26 Jul29 Jun19 May27 Apr23 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
12  CRAZY MUGGS Aug27 Aug06 Jun26     (ramirez rosa )RAMIREZ JULIO 115 20.00    
13  TRAFFIC BOSS Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 May05 Mar26 (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO HAWK MAN Aug27 Aug06 May21 May03 Apr13 (mouton patrick)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
 
LAD-7   09/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL ASHLEY B. Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 Jun09 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 119 5.00    
2  CALAJA Aug19 Jul29 Jan12 Dec11 Sep06 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
3  SKYKAT Jul01 Jun09 May29 May14 Apr23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
4  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Aug20 Jul03 Jan13 Sep27 Aug05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  WENDY WILECAT Jul15 Jun29 May21 Apr20 Mar23 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 25.00    
6  BAR TAP Aug05 May27 May05 Apr06 Mar04 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  FADED MEMORIES May21 Apr01 Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 (duhon paul)BOREL H 122 15.00    
8  TIZ MY PLAN Aug20 Apr07 Sep03 Aug09 Jul11 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 30.00    
9  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 114 15.00    
10  MARY JACK Aug12 Jul27 Jun29 May21 May04 (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  VISIONOFWILDTIMES Feb17 Jan22 Dec01 Aug20 Aug06 (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 20.00    
12  ANGEL OF VERDUN Aug12 Aug03 Jun02 May05 Mar08 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
13  HUSHED COURT ROOM Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 May29 May21 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
LAD-8   09/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOO Aug27 Jul01 Jun04 May15 Mar26 (singh s)GREEN AUBRIE 119 30.00    
2  COWBOY RIDGE Aug19 Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr22 (rangel raul)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00    
3  SMARTY ALEX Aug05 Jul17 Jun03 May13 Mar26 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
4  RUM 'N TONIC Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 May27 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
5  BRITTS A CLOSER Aug05 Jul22 Jun04     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 ★    
6  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May07 Mar15 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
7  HUDSON'S TURN May28 Mar03 Jan20 Sep12 Aug15 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 12% 7.50    
8  FATHER RED Aug28 Aug12 Jul20 Jul01 Jun11 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
9  DEER CROSSING Aug04 Jul13 Jun03 Apr12 Mar16 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
10  BAY BE GONE Jul17 Jul04 May28 Apr29 Apr13 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 25.00    
11  FREEDOM FACTOR Aug07 Jul23 Jun24 May29 Apr12 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
12  HEZA PICKLE Aug14 Jul08 Jun08 May08 Mar22 (turner patti)BARRERA J 114 20.00    
SCR  CHARLIE G Sep02 Jul20 Jun15 May25 May03 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
SCR  EASTER SNAP Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.