Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-3   EXA (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-8 $143.50 $123.50 618%
    TRI (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-8-4 $524.90 $494.90 1650%
    SFT (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-8-4-10 $426.19 $414.19 3452%
LAD-4   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    DD (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-1 $17.90 $2.90 19%
LAD-5   TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-5-4 $22.85 $19.85 662%
LAD-6   PK3 (5/1/7)-(3/5/4)-(7/1/13/14/12) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-3-14 $23.35 $0.85 4%
LAD-7   PK4 (5/1/7)-(3/5/4)-(7/1/13/14/12)-(2/1/7/9/8) 225 $0.50 $112  1-3/7-14-1 $128.70 $16.20 14%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FANCY PAYNTER 7 5 32½ 32   33 1¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00 36.80  
4  TRAFFIC CONTROL 4 1 2½ 11   12 2¼ (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 11% 7.90 2.80 P
6  WINGS FOR ENO 6 2 1½ 43½   43 31½ (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 4.50 7.80  
11  RAUL'S ENCANTO 11 3 53½ 21   22 42 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 1.80  
3  HALF A BUCK 3 4 43½ 64½   56 53½ (pedigo randy)BARRERA J 114 8.00 30.30  
8  MAJOR CONTENDER 8 9 85¼ 75½   67½ 65¾ (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 18.90 5.20  
5  MR FROST 5 6 95¼ 85¾   78 77½ (martin timot)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 8.00 28.10  
1  PREFERITO DA BARBI 1 11 119¼ 107¾   89 87½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 54% 0.90 9.00  
2  CLERIC 2 10 108¼ 117¾   910 99¾ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00 29.10  
10  SILKY'S DANCE 10 8 74¼ 96¾   1012 1014 (lara jorge)ALBERT S 114 15.00 69.40  
9  STREET ART 9 7 63¾ 54½   1113½ 1116½ (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 7% 13.40 11.70  
 
LAD-2   09/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:124     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LAKE BALI 7 5 51¾ 3.2   12 16¼ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 12.00 1.70  
5  WHEELS LIKE NALA 5 4 3½ 2nk   22 26¼ (holloway math)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 25% 3.00 6.30 P
3  CALCITE 3 3 1½ 1nk   32 37½ (duhon j)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 7.00 4.40  
1  TALKABOUT 1 1 2½ 4¾   42¼ 411¾ (beavin judy)BARRERA J 120 8.00 13% 6.40 20.00  
2  BISTINEAU BELLE 2 2 41½ 52¼   54¼ 513 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 1.80  
4  SAVANNAH BANANA 4 6 63¾ 74¼   77¼ 617¼ (gomez davi)ALBERT S 115 10.00 42.20  
6  CHATAIN'S EAGLE 6 7 73¾ 64¼   67¼ 717¾ (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 3.50 19% 4.40 9.40  
 
LAD-3   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:143 1:412   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AVENDORE 2 4 53½ 4¼ 32½ 21½ 12 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 16% 5.20 3.80 W
8  ZEEROCK 8 8 96½ 83 74 43½ 22 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 5.00 6% 15.90 21.60 P
4  CAPETOWN CANDY 4 2 11½ 1nk 12 11½ 33¼ (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
10  JUST A WIN 10 3 43 5½ 22 32 46 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
3  T J'S FIRST 3 10 119 1014 1014 89½ 512 (mouton patri)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 12.00 25.50  
7  BELL PEPPER 7 5 64 72½ 86 78 612 (kanhai jos)ALBERT S 119 30.00 18.90  
1  LUCKY HARBORAGE 1 11 108½ 1118 1118 911½ 714¼ (cormier donald)MELANCON G 121 30.00 86.00  
14  ELMO'S SECRET 11 7 74½ 94 99 1011¾ 817½ (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 120 7.00 3.90  
6  HIGH DONNA 6 9 85 61½ 43 56½ 920¾ (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 8.00 4.40  
5  SMUGLERS BLUES 5 6 21½ 2nk 53½ 68 1022¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.50 46% 1.20 6.90  
9  OCEAN FLEET 9 1 32 3.2 64 1113¾ 1138 (avant kelly)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 25.00 14.90  
SCR  CAT B CAUSE               (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
SCR  MS. PRIESTLY               (constantine ca)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00    
SCR  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
 
LAD-4   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN JUAN HILL 1 5 54½ 54   33½ 12 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 32% 2.10 2.60 W
8  KNIGHT OF HONOR 6 1 11½ 11½   13 22 (nelson r)ROSIER R 120 10.00 48.80  
5  FOOLISH BOY 4 3 31½ 21½   23 32 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 41% 1.40 0.30 S
4  FLASH N CLASS 3 6 67½ 66   55½ 47¼ (gomez c)MELANCON G 120 8.00 12.20  
3  INGLIS 2 2 21½ 42   45½ 58¼ (patt roland )BARRERA J 119 6.00 30.80  
6  POPPY T 5 4 43½ 32   65¾ 68¾ (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 19.20  
SCR  NERVY               (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY               (gomez rafae)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIERY PLAYBOY 3 1 11½ 11½   13 17¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 38% 1.60 0.70 W
5  BANKROLL 5 3 43½ 21½   23 27¾ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 6.00 36% 1.80 3.30 P
4  CARLOS PUNCH 4 2 21½ 31½   34 38¾ (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
1  COHERE 1 6 65¾ 65¼   56 49 (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 3.50  
6  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 6 4 55½ 55   66½ 59¾ (alberto anto)MAGNON H 122 8.00 13.30  
2  MAD GOLD 2 5 33½ 43½   46 612½ (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 20.00  
SCR  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 2.50    
 
LAD-6   09/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  ALTERANA 9 6 41 41¼   2½ 12 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.70 W
5  JANETS JAY JAY 4 4 63½ 62¾   31½ 22 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 15.00 13.30  
9  DUKE OF CARTHANIA 5 5 74 72¾   53 32¼ (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 14.60  
1  ATRAS 1 2 1½ 11   1½ 43½ (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 30% 2.30 5.50  
12  LUNAR MODULE 7 3 3½ 31   42½ 54 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.20  
4  MISTER K 3 1 2½ 21   63½ 64¼ (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00 51.20  
2  DIAL IN FOR LUTE 2 9 913 910¾   85 75 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00 7.00  
13  SEAU 8 7 52½ 52¼   74½ 86¼ (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 15.00 6% 15.60 4.30  
10  SILVER WINGS 6 8 86 87¾   97 98¼ (duhon o)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 14.70  
SCR  HEZA PRIORITY               (husak j)MAGNON H 119 25.00    
SCR  MEN OF KYLE               (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 12.00    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE               (thomas lee)BARRERA J 114 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SIGN OF WAR               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
SCR  STRAIGHT LUCK               (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00    
 
LAD-7   09/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NONEYA 1 3 1½ 11   12 11¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 3.50 22% 3.60 1.30 W
4  HAMAZING DEBATE 4 9 105½ 76½   35 21¼ (gonzalez jaime )POMPELL L 122 10.00 15.50  
2  CARSON'S PRINCESS 2 2 2½ 21   22 32¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 25% 3.00 5.70 S
5  MISS PRIORITY 5 1 42½ 65½   55½ 45¼ (duhon paul)MELANCON G 119 6.00 5.60  
10  GANGSTER RAP 10 6 84¾ 96¾   76¾ 56¼ (hurley tina )MAGNON H 122 25.00 71.30  
9  HANNAH'S HAVEN 9 5 63¾ 44   45½ 66¼ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 7% 13.10 8.50  
7  KATIE'S KARAT 7 11 116 86¾   87¼ 76¾ (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 117 15.00 17% 4.80 5.50  
8  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL 8 10 95¼ 118   66½ 87¼ (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
6  TEXAS RED BEL 6 7 73¾ 107   99¼ 915¼ (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00 41.90  
3  GOLD STRATEGY 3 8 53½ 34   109¼ 1016 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00 34.90  
11  PROUD VICTORIA 11 4 32½ 54½   1110¼ 1121 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 25.00 71.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.