Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/4/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/8/2)-(1/4/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/8/2)-(1/4/9/8/2)-(1/4/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/8/2)-(5/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/8/2)-(5/6/1)-(5/2/8/10/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/2/8/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/2/8/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/1)-(3/5/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LAD-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/5/4)-(1/13/14/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/13/14/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/13/14/12)-(2/1/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/13/14/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/13/14/12)-(1/13/14/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/13/14/12)-(1/13/14/12)-(1/13/14/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/13/14/12)-(2/1/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/1/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/9/8)-(2/1/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/9/8)-(2/1/7/9/8)-(2/1/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREFERITO DA BARBI Jun10 May21 May08 Apr02 Mar09 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
2  CLERIC Aug26 Jul29 Jun24 May29 Feb23 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HALF A BUCK Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May26 (pedigo randy)BARRERA J 114 8.00    
4  TRAFFIC CONTROL Aug07 Jul03 Jun12 May06 Mar30 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  MR FROST Jul08 May12 Mar30 Mar19 Sep25 (martin timot)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 8.00    
6  WINGS FOR ENO Aug26 Jul31 Jul02 Jun17 Jun08 (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 4.50    
7  FANCY PAYNTER Aug24 Jul20 Jul12 May17 Apr29 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
8  MAJOR CONTENDER Jul29 Jun16 May14 Apr21 Mar25 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 18.90    
9  STREET ART Aug21 Jun24 Jun04 May14 Apr15 (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 7% 13.40    
10  SILKY'S DANCE Jul23 Jun18 May29 May07 Feb23 (lara jorge)ALBERT S 114 15.00    
11  RAUL'S ENCANTO Aug19 Jul30 Jul03 Jun10 Apr26 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
 
LAD-2   09/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKABOUT Jul23         (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 120 8.00 13% 6.40    
2  BISTINEAU BELLE Aug21 Jul29 Jul04 Jun17 May20 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
3  CALCITE Aug28 Aug06 Jul29 Jul13 May19 (duhon j)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 7.00    
4  SAVANNAH BANANA Jul29 Jul04       (gomez davi)ALBERT S 115 10.00    
5  WHEELS LIKE NALA Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Oct19 Sep11 (holloway math)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Aug21 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 May07 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
7  LAKE BALI Aug10 Jul29 Jun23     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 12.00    
 
LAD-3   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY HARBORAGE Aug04 Jul21 Jul01 Jun08   (cormier donald)MELANCON G 121 30.00    
2  AVENDORE Aug04 Jul07 Jun17 Apr26 Feb24 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  T J'S FIRST Aug20 Jul24 Jun25 May29 Mar18 (mouton patri)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 12.00    
4  CAPETOWN CANDY Aug20 Jun17 May20 Mar26 Mar03 (tuley rh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SMUGLERS BLUES Jul24 Jun11       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.50 46% 1.20    
6  HIGH DONNA Aug20 Jul13 Jun16 May21 May05 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
7  BELL PEPPER Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 May07 Apr13 (kanhai jos)ALBERT S 119 30.00    
8  ZEEROCK Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 5.00 6% 15.90    
9  OCEAN FLEET Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 Jun02 May03 (avant kelly)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 25.00    
10  JUST A WIN Aug11 Jul28 Jul06 May27 May03 (landry ray)STOKES J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAT B CAUSE Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun19 May27 (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
SCR  MS. PRIESTLY Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May26 (constantine ca)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00    
SCR  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Jun01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
14  ELMO'S SECRET Aug03 Jul03 Jun17 May29 Apr28 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 120 7.00    
 
LAD-4   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN JUAN HILL Aug12 Jul08       (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  NERVY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
3  INGLIS Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 Jun30   (patt roland )BARRERA J 119 6.00    
4  FLASH N CLASS Aug20 Feb25 Jan27 Dec31 Nov30 (gomez c)MELANCON G 120 8.00    
5  FOOLISH BOY Oct05 Aug27       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  POPPY T Jun05 May27       (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
SCR  TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY         (gomez rafae)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  KNIGHT OF HONOR Aug14 Jun10 Feb09 Nov30 Nov19 (nelson r)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
 
LAD-5   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COHERE Aug05 Jul22 Jun17 May07 Mar19 (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
2  MAD GOLD Aug04 Jul08 Jun15 May11 Apr14 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
3  FIERY PLAYBOY Jul29 Jun25 May15 Mar16 Feb02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  CARLOS PUNCH Aug12 Jul31 Jul01 Jun18 May29 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BANKROLL Aug04 Jul23 May21 Apr22 Mar26 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 6.00 36% 1.80    
6  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 May22 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 122 8.00    
SCR  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Jul27 Jun15 May11 Apr14 Mar15 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 2.50    
 
LAD-6   09/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATRAS Aug19 Jul21 Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Aug14 Jul23 Jun18 Apr30 Apr23 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00    
SCR  STRAIGHT LUCK Aug20 Jun11 May12 Apr16 Feb19 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00    
4  MISTER K Jul30 Jun05 May14 Apr27 Feb25 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00    
5  JANETS JAY JAY Aug07 Feb16 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 15.00    
SCR  MEN OF KYLE Aug19 Jul23 May22 Apr01 Sep15 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 12.00    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE Jun17 May29 Apr23 Mar05 Oct14 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 114 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  HEZA PRIORITY Aug13 Aug05 Jun18 Jul20 Jun29 (husak j)MAGNON H 119 25.00    
9  DUKE OF CARTHANIA Jul10 May22 Jan19 Dec04 Nov13 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
10  SILVER WINGS Aug07 Jun05 Apr30 Feb24 Feb10 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
SCR  SIGN OF WAR Aug21 Aug13 Apr01 Mar05 Jan21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
12  LUNAR MODULE Jul30 Jun19 May22 May08 Apr08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  SEAU Jun17 May06 Apr19 Feb10 Jan06 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 15.00 6% 15.60    
14  ALTERANA Jul28 Jun09 May15 Feb09 Jan15 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   09/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NONEYA Aug05 Jun03 May08 Feb11 Jan12 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  CARSON'S PRINCESS Mar23 Jan15 Dec09 Sep25 Jul18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
3  GOLD STRATEGY Aug07 May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00    
4  HAMAZING DEBATE Jul30 May29 May04 Apr01 Mar10 (gonzalez jaime )POMPELL L 122 10.00    
5  MISS PRIORITY Aug05 Jul24 Jul08 Jun17 May29 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 119 6.00    
6  TEXAS RED BEL Feb25 Feb11 Jan16 Dec09 Nov02 (payne danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00    
7  KATIE'S KARAT Aug03 Jul06 Apr28 Feb11 Jan28 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 117 15.00 17% 4.80    
8  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Jul31 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Apr22 (cruz eduardo)BOREL H 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  HANNAH'S HAVEN Jul31 Jun03 May06 Apr07 Mar10 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 7% 13.10    
10  GANGSTER RAP Aug26 Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun02 (hurley tina )MAGNON H 122 25.00    
11  PROUD VICTORIA Aug12 Jul30 May29 May04 Mar03 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.