Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOIN' COASTAL 2 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 12¾ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 5.00 4.00  
3  MALICE TOWARD NONE 3 3 1½ 1nk 2nk 1nk 22¾ (troiani niccol)ALVARADO T 121 1.80 17% 4.90 0.50 P
5  BABY MARTINI 5 1 55 55½ 55 35 37 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 125 4.50 3.80  
6  FOREVER AMBER 6 4 42 31½ 33 46½ 415 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
1  NOW SAY SO 1 5 32 42½ 44 57½ 518 (patino faust)OROZCO E 125 20.00 19.90  
4  A FRIEND INDEED 4 6 65¼ 66½ 66½ 610½ 627½ (balcom clif)ORTIZ A 121 30.00 32.50  
SCR  ANOTHER TEN               (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
EMD-2   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEDAL TO THE METAL 1 1 2½ 1½   11½ 11¾ (boyd preston)CRUZ M 125 1.80 39% 1.50 0.50 W
2  FIRST ENDEAVOR 2 4 52 42   31½ 21¾ (belvoir howard)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5.60  
7  FED GRANT 7 3 31 31   21½ 34 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 12% 7.20 4.80 S
3  CASA DEL PECADO 3 5 41½ 52   42½ 47 (lowe nick)RADKE K 121 4.50 12.00  
6  TIME WEAVE SHARED 6 2 1½ 2½   52¾ 59½ (cornier edwin )DEONAUTH P 121 12.00 33.30  
5  ELUSIVE GOLD 5 7 62 65   67¾ 623¼ (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 20.00 34.70  
4  RED MEMORYS 4 6 74 77   79¾ 727 (mccanna tim)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.00 26% 2.90 8.20  
 
EMD-3   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRIBAL IMPACT 6 3 21 31½   2½ 1¼ (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 125 10.00 11.90  
4  NEW EVERY MORNING 4 2 11 11½   1½ 2¼ (gibson vince)ALVARADO T 125 8.00 6.70  
3  FORTY SMOOCHES 3 5 41½ 21½   31½ 31 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00 22% 3.60 1.70 S
2  COOLCROSS 2 7 65 65½   44 41½ (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 10% 9.40 3.40  
1  VALIDATE 1 8 87 77½   65 52¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 20.00 37.10  
7  ABRAAJ MIRAGE 7 4 31 43   54 63 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 5.00 35% 1.80 7.90  
5  UPPER ROOM 5 6 75½ 87¾   85¾ 74 (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 5.00 7% 12.70 18.70  
8  SIX BLESSINGS 8 1 52½ 54   75¼ 86¼ (wright blaine)CRUZ M 123 6.00 3.70  
SCR  HOLIDAY HUSTLE               (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00    
 
EMD-4   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:113 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHESAHEATWAVE 4 1 43 31 11½ 1nk 13¼ (bullene michael)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 57% 0.80 2.60 W
1  LA POPIS 1 6 32 42 21½ 2nk 23¼ (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 125 6.00 3.30  
2  WARREN'S MEMORABLE 2 7 67 66 64¾ 42½ 34¾ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 4.00 7% 13.90 6.40 S
8  LAKER JET 7 8 89 77 75¼ 64¼ 45¾ (bean r)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 123 15.00 65.70  
10  NOMI LACKEE 9 9 55 55 54½ 52¾ 56 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 20.00 20.30  
4  BLOWING BAYOU 3 3 11 11 32½ 32 66 (abrahamson ma)VALDES ALEXIS 123 20.00 29.60  
6  MS LYNN 5 4 78 88 87¼ 76¼ 78¼ (bullock steve)ALVARADO T 123 5.00 7% 13.50 4.00  
7  FOR YOU ONLY 6 2 21 21 44½ 811¼ 825½ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00 7.70  
9  MUNNINGS TALE 8 5 910½ 910½ 912¼ 917¼ 940½ (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 125 3.00 9% 10.70 6.00  
SCR  FOGGY BOTTOM               (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 123 15.00    
 
EMD-5   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROUSING RUBBLE 6 3 2nk 11   11 1½ (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80 W
11  CROOKED FINGER RAY 8 2 52¾ 42½   21 2½ (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 32% 2.10 1.20 P
7  MOJAVE (GB) 5 4 41¼ 32   32 33½ (garcia valen)OROZCO E 122 6.00 4.80  
9  LOCHNESS 7 1 3.2 21   42½ 45¼ (essex charl)ORTIZ A 122 20.00 36.10  
6  MARKSMAN ON TARGET 4 6 75¾ 85¾   75½ 57 (bean a)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 37.00  
5  DARKSABER 3 5 1nk 52½   54 67¼ (bean a)VALDES ALEXIS 125 20.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
2  BRONY BOY 1 8 87¾ 75¾   65 78¾ (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 125 12.00 15% 5.70 9.10  
4  HEAT SEEKING LETA 2 7 64¾ 65½   85½ 89½ (dronen sam)MONTALVO C 122 15.00 22.60  
SCR  BESAME MUCHO               (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 10.00    
SCR  DECIMATE               (gabriel luciano )ZUNINO L 125 6.00    
SCR  ROLINGA               (gibson vince)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
 
EMD-6   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG FASHION 7 2 31 31   11 13¼ (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 125 3.50 23% 3.30 0.90 W
10  TENNESSEE MOON 9 3 1nk 1nk   21 23¼ (cryderman c)ORTIZ A 119 12.00 6.60  
2  SHELBY GOLD 2 5 41½ 42   43 34 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
9  HEART RIVER 8 9 910¼ 98¼   88 46 (metz jeffrey)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 33.30  
6  SHEMAKESCENTS 6 6 74¼ 55   56 56½ (peery debbie)BOWEN ROCCO 125 10.00 12.70  
4  BIG MAMA THORNTON 4 1 2nk 2nk   32½ 67¼ (bean a)CRUZ M 123 10.00 11.70  
1  MS PARKSIDE 1 4 52 66   67 78¾ (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 6.00 46% 1.20 3.80  
3  MO CONNELLY 3 8 87¼ 77   78 810 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
5  CLASSIC LEAH 5 7 64 87¼   98½ 912 (gibson vince)VALDES ALEXIS 125 6.00 19.10  
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE               (velasquez rigo)ALVARADO T 125 2.50    
 
EMD-7   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST 1/ST Bet WA Cup Filly Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102 1:363   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLAZINGBELLABLU 7 7 54¾ 44½ 34½ 22 1¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 2.00 37% 1.70 1.20 W
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
3  ANTHONYS CLEOPATRA 3 6 3.2 1½ 12½ 12 2¼ (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 121 1.60 40% 1.50 1.00 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LUXOR LADY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  EMERALD SEA 6 2 65¾ 55½ 58 48½ 313½ (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 25.20  
  (by TIZBUD out of OUT TO SEA by SEA SALUTE)
2  ZIPPIN SEVENZ 2 3 2nk 2½ 22½ 37 413¾ (bozell alan)RADKE K 119 5.00 7.80  
  (by COAST GUARD out of GO JACKIE GO by MATTY G)
5  SHE SAID MY WAY 5 1 79¾ 710¾ 714½ 613 516 (johnston kimb)VALDES ALEXIS 119 20.00 43.30  
  (by LUTES GIFT out of MY WAY OR ELWAY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
1  YOUNG LIFE LAURA 1 4 43¼ 65¾ 69½ 510 619 (perez hilario)ZUNINO L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJO by LIBERTY GOLD)
4  BRILLIANT BIRD 4 5 1nk 3½ 46½ 713 724¾ (bean r)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 30.00 78.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
EMD-8   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Muckleshoot Tribal Classic Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:112 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ 3 6 54½ 56 32 2½ 13 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 0.80 54% 0.90 0.05 W
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
7  GOLD CRUSHER 6 4 21 21 2nk 1½ 23 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.00 25% 3.10 7.50 P
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BROOKIE GIRL by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  ITS KRAKEN TIME 4 2 11 11 1nk 31½ 36½ (wisdom anne)RADKE K 117 15.00 27.20  
  (by RUNNING TAP out of ITS DIVA TIME by YOU AND I)
8  NAVAL ESCORT 7 5 78½ 711½ 58 58½ 416½ (martinez david)ALVARADO T 120 6.00 ★ 17.90  
  (by COAST GUARD out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
6  SHERM 5 1 66½ 610 710 610½ 516¾ (mathews ke)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 30.00 77.50  
  (by HOUSEOFROYALHEARTS out of JADEDITE by CAHILL ROAD)
2  TIME 'ER TOO 2 3 42½ 32½ 44 46½ 618 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 117 20.00 75.40  
  (by NATIONHOOD out of DEJA VIEWS by FOREST CAMP)
1  MANGIA PANE 1 7 32½ 43 69 718½ 741½ (patino faust)OROZCO E 117 20.00 59.10  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of GHOST TREE by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM               (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of DOUBLE DIP by FRENCH ENVOY)
 
EMD-9   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gottstein Futurity Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 8:47
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:121 1:392   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MINER LEAGUE 5 9 42½ 3½ 1nk 11½ 1¼ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 3.50 21% 3.80 3.20 W
  (by MINESHAFT out of SUBTLE STEP by SMART STRIKE)
11  BOURBON DANCER 11 2 106 72¾ 31 21½ 2¼ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 6.00 5.30  
  (by BAYERN out of BAUHAUS BOURBON by BEHRENS)
1  GENERAL CROOK 1 8 53½ 51¾ 53¼ 42½ 32½ (kereluk edward)DEONAUTH P 120 20.00 64.80  
  (by UNIFIED out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
2  WHISKEY HARBOR 2 7 32 41½ 41¼ 32½ 45½ (harwood m)RADKE K 120 6.00 20% 4.00 5.10  
  (by RISE UP out of RUBY ROMANCE by GRINDSTONE)
10  LAPUSH 10 1 21 2nk 2nk 52¾ 59¾ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 117 15.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
  (by WEST COAST out of WEEKEND ROMANCE by KEY RECOGNITION)
12  PARKER'S FIFTEEN 12 3 116½ 107¾ 713¼ 710¾ 616¼ (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 117 30.00 84.40  
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of FREE OF HEART by FREE AT LAST (GB))
6  RIMROCK LAKE 6 6 64 62¾ 68¼ 68¾ 722 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 4.00 18% 4.40 3.00  
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of NIGHTWALKER by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
9  LONESOME BOY 9 12 85 84¾ 814¼ 812¾ 828¼ (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 120 5.00 15% 5.60 4.00  
  (by NATIONHOOD out of ATTA GIRL PEARL by ATTA BOY ROY)
8  DIGITAL SOLDIER 8 5 74 96¾ 1016¼ 916¾ 940 (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 15.00 54.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  WELL IMAGINE THAT 3 11 1212½ 1216¾ 1223¼ 1232¾ 1055¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00 48.90  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AWESOME SONG by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  ALLANTE 4 10 95½ 1111¾ 1120¼ 1126¾ 1159¾ (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00 68.70  
  (by COAST GUARD out of LADY DIVA by MALT MAGIC)
7  CHANCELLORS BOOM 7 4 11 1nk 916¼ 1024¾ 1265¼ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 120 12.00 29.90  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHANCE ENCOUNTER by MASS MEDIA)
 
EMD-10   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:17
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102 1:233   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MUNCEY 9 6 89¼ 78 75½ 51¼ 1¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 10.00 25.60  
2  MISSED THE BOAT 2 2 31 43 31½ 1nk 2¾ (cryderman cand)ALVARADO T 123 2.50 32% 2.20 2.10 P
8  JIN TONG 8 9 910¾ 911½ 86½ 61¾ 31½ (toye joe)ZUNINO L 119 6.00 5.40  
7  A MAN'S MAN 7 7 65¼ 65 42½ 72 42 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50 11% 8.20 2.00  
3  EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER 3 8 53¼ 55 63½ 41¼ 53 (rosales jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 10.00 8.90  
4  OVERLY FAST 4 1 1nk 11 11½ 2nk 64½ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 12.00 14.00  
6  DIRT ROAD RED 6 5 77¼ 810½ 97½ 83 75 (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 36% 1.80 8.70  
1  FIREWALKER 1 3 2nk 32 21½ 31 88 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00 29.70  
5  LANGSTON ROAD 5 4 41¼ 21 53 93½ 914 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
 
EMD-11   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:44
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WESTERN DREAM 4 2 11 11 11 12 15 (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.50 13% 6.50 2.20 W
7  KERRALIA 6 5 21 52½ 42 42½ 25 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 123 6.00 9.00  
9  RED PANTY NIGHT 8 6 41¼ 21 21 22 35¾ (bullene mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 12.00 9.40  
3  COCOA CENTS 3 3 63¾ 76 76½ 64¾ 46¾ (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 123 4.00 ★ 5.40  
1  MISCHIEF MAMA 1 4 52¼ 32 32 32½ 57½ (bean a)VALDEZ S 123 15.00 8.30  
2  JACANA 2 7 74¾ 64 64½ 75¼ 69¾ (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
10  DONTFORGETHESUGAR 9 1 31 42 52½ 54½ 710¼ (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 125 12.00 10.90  
8  TED'S CANDY GIRL 7 8 819¾ 836 846½ 850¼ 862¼ (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 123 20.00 45.30  
6  WILLING TO BURN 5 9 9100 9100 9100 9100 9100 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 3.50 60% 0.70 2.70  
SCR  PARTY POLICE               (bean a)VALDES ALEXIS 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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