Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-3   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $27.80 $21.80 363%
    DD (10/5/2/3)-(8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-3 $54.10 $42.10 351%
DED-4   WIN (3/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    DD (8/6/3)-(3/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-3 $72.10 $60.10 501%
    PK3 (10/5/2/3)-(8/6/3)-(3/8/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-3-3 $108.55 $84.55 352%
DED-5   DD (3/8/6/9)-(10/1/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-2 $22.10 $2.10 11%
    PK3 (8/6/3)-(3/8/6/9)-(10/1/2/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-3-2 $113.90 $83.90 280%
    PK4 (10/5/2/3)-(8/6/3)-(3/8/6/9)-(10/1/2/6/9) 240 $0.50 $120  10-3-3-2/11/12 $309.95 $189.95 158%
DED-6   TRI (2/8/9)-(2/8/6/9)-(2/8/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-8-6 $10.15 $1.15 13%
DED-7   WIN (4/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $19.40 $11.40 143%
DED-9   WIN (8/9/10/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $15.40 $5.40 54%
    EXA (8/9/10/4/7)-(8/9/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-9 $26.40 $6.40 32%
    SFT (8/9/10/4/7)-(8/9/10/4/7)-(8/9/10/4/7)-(8/9/10/4/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  8-9-10-4 $29.94 $17.94 150%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:222 :47       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPA 6 5 7 5   2½ 1 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 113 4.00 2.50  
DIAL UNCLE JOEY 1 7 4 33   1½ 2 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 6.00 7.00 P
ROBUST 3 2 2nk 1nk   3 3 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.50 39% 1.60 1.90 S
MARKETBOOK 4 3 33 4   4 4 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 5.00 37% 1.70 6.00  
10  FLASH FREDDIE 9 4 6 6   64 5 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 118 6.00 3.10  
ROLL ON OUT 7 8 8 810¾   76 611¾ (knudsen kent)MAGNON H 121 20.00 44.90  
THA ILLEST DEAL 2 6 1nk 2nk   5 713 (west henry)STOKES A 118 8.00 29.60  
JESUIT 5 9 9 910¾   9 813½ (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 92.10  
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER 8 1 5 7   8 914¾ (zenon shelton)DELCID MARLON 115 20.00 ######  
SCR  LUNCH LADY               (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 120 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH RIVER               (latour nicholas)ROSIER R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED TOUGH               (west henry)STOKES A 123 15.00    
 
DED-2   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 9 7 21 1nk   12 15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50 41% 1.40 1.60 W
SEIZE THE TREASURE 1 1 11 31   34 25 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 2.70  
LIKEN IT 8 6 4 2nk   22 3 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 8.00 6.70  
CARBON STRYKER 5 9 9 8   6 4 (bryant)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.00 24% 3.20 4.20  
JAZZY JUSTIN 2 2 5 5   4 5 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 10.00 12% 7.50 16.30  
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 3 3 6 6   5 67 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 117 15.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
PAYNT BATTLE 7 8 8 7   7 715¼ (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 34.20  
AMERICAIN JOEY 4 4 31 43   810¾ 815½ (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 8.00 33.90  
B W P SPECIAL 6 5 7 9100   9100 9100 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00 12.40  
SCR  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE               (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 114 8.00    
SCR  I WILL STAND               (richard chris)VARGAS P 117 3.00    
SCR  IZZY'S BABY BOY               (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
 
DED-3   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:17
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEOVER QUEEN 3 6 31 21   11 1 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 W
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MY QUEEN OLIVIA by HALF OURS)
JET ROCKET 9 1 4 42   43 2 (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 6.40  
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of HOT ROCKET by LEMON DROP KID)
CUSTOM SUNSHINE 6 2 11 11   21 3 (pomier de)ROSIER R 120 3.50 8% 10.80 9.00 S
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
GIRL LIKES BLING 8 5 21 31   33 43 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.50 67% 0.50 1.40  
  (by EL DEAL out of MOONLIT BAYOU by MR. GREELEY)
NO FEAR (IRE) 1 9 8 7   57 5 (bourgeois keith)POMPELL L 120 10.00 11.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MIGHTY FLYNN 5 4 7 9   7 610¾ (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 7.80  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MS. CHARACTER by GHOSTZAPPER)
RAISE THE ALARM 7 7 6 54   6 712 (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 115 15.00 49.50  
  (by WHENCE out of JUST RUMORS by RELAUNCH)
SOY TU SUERTE 2 10 9 8   8 816 (gelner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 37.10  
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of KENZIE BLAKE by SPRING AT LAST)
10  F J'S CHAOS 10 3 5 6   910¼ 918¾ (maturin chad)STOKES A 120 6.00 12.60  
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
RULED BY SPIRIT 4 8 106 1017¾   1025¼ 1041¼ (chatters benard)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00 4.60  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR               (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
  (by PUCK out of THE THINGS YOU DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
SCR  ONE LINE RULER               (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50    
  (by ONE LINER out of SHEZA ROMAN RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
DED-4   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:14     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VETERANS DAY 3 3 33 4   2 1nk (landry r)THORNTON G 115 3.00 37% 1.70 3.60 W
GOTMY MO JO WORKIN 1 1 11 1½   1 2nk (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50 3.70  
DREWMAZING 6 8 4 3   32 3½ (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 13% 6.90 1.60 S
RISKY PRIORITY 7 5 6 6   56 45 (thomas lee)ROSIER R 117 15.00 19.30  
HOOSIER 8 6 79 76   7 5 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 115 6.00 29% 2.40 7.10  
SALUTE NOW 2 2 21 2½   44 6 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00 23.60  
MY LIL DUDE 9 7 810 87   66 7 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
THEO D'OR 4 4 5 5   8 8 (dunn ray)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00 32.40  
WOOD RIVER 5 9 912 99   913¾ 918½ (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 9.60  
 
DED-5   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
See original race card.
:221 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRADO'S PRIORITY 2 3 1nk 11   12 1 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 114 4.50 7% 13.70 2.10 W
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD 8 4 42 43   3 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 6.00 5.30  
10  RITHM NIC 10 1 31 21   22 3 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 35% 1.90 3.10 S
BETTABE BOURBON 1 6 2nk 33   4 410¾ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 8.00 30% 2.30 7.30  
COPTER 6 2 5 5   5 511 (landry ray)STOKES A 112 10.00 5% 17.70 26.40  
OCEAN OF STORMS 4 9 8 6   611½ 612 (arnett g)BIRZER E 115 10.00 36.40  
ALLEVA 5 7 6 89   813½ 713¼ (segura kearney)NEGRON LUIS 117 4.00 9.20  
TAPIT'S SPIRIT 7 8 9 7   713½ 816¼ (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 6.20  
MISTER K 9 5 7 9   915½ 919 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
STURGILL 3 10 10 1010¼   1017½ 1032¼ (dixon tim)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 20.00 41.00  
SCR  COROT               (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 5.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN BEE               (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00    
 
DED-6   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
See original race card.
:223 :462       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH BOY 2 5 1nk 2nk   1½ 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 42% 1.40 0.60 W
CATALINA DAY 8 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.50 33% 2.00 5.40 P
PAL'S ALARM 6 4 3½ 32   3 3 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 5.50 S
ARKANSAS ZONG 5 8 77 79   68 4 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 4.50 9.00  
KILO KEY 1 9 88 8   79 510¾ (melancon donald)ROSIER R 120 15.00 75.00  
FLASHY LOVER 9 1 4 43   4 611½ (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
FLASH OF RAIN 7 3 5 55   5 712 (charles jon)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00 47.10  
LISA'S GUY 3 6 6 68   810 814¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 19.50  
WAUCHULA 4 7 912 917¼   920 926¼ (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00 ######  
 
DED-7   11/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR PRINCESSES 8 6 6 1nk   12 1 (landry ray)STOKES A 117 4.50 5% 19.00 8.70 W
GEORGIA DAWN 2 2 1½ 3½   22 2 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 114 8.00 5.50  
NEW YEAR'S PARTY 7 8 8 7   4 3 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 15.00 3.70  
CHARGED TEMP 5 3 2½ 2nk   32 4 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 8.00 5.20  
DANCE LADY 4 9 52 42   5 5 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.50 42% 1.40 10.80  
SEE SASSY RUN 1 5 9 9   711½ 612¾ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 114 15.00 8.80  
LEGENDARY GIFT 9 7 7 54   610½ 715 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 117 5.00 23% 3.40 2.20  
MISS BILLIE K 3 1 3 8   812½ 820½ (nelson r)POMPELL L 114 20.00 61.00  
EXACTA 6 4 42 6   913 921¾ (modica oscar)MELANCON G 114 3.50 10% 8.90 14.50  
 
DED-8   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:38
See original race card.
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON DAY 6 1 21 21   1½ 1nk (landry r)THORNTON G 117 4.50 4.50  
MISS JANA 3 3 32 3   2½ 2nk (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 23% 3.40 4.70 P
BLESSED ASSURANCE 2 5 5 4   42 3½ (dison m)POMPELL L 115 6.00 15% 5.90 1.80 S
SNOWBALL 1 6 6 67   54 4 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 27% 2.70 5.20  
LOVELYREDSTILETTOS 5 2 11 11   3 5 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 2.10  
SAY WHAT 4 4 4 5   67 615¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 15.00 39.40  
SCR  OURS AND THEIRS               (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 117 12.00    
 
DED-9   11/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:06
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:153     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROSSE TETE IAN 8 5 67 22   12 1 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 24% 3.10 6.70 W
IRON N STEEL 9 4 4 43   3 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.00 22% 3.50 1.40 P
10  MIDNIGHT CROWN 10 6 79 65   4 3 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 3.50 16% 5.40 1.60 S
JUST BECAUSE 4 10 811 7   54 44 (litfin neva)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 8% 11.80 16.90  
LAKESIDE RUMBLE 7 3 35 3   64 5 (northrop debra)ROSIER R 121 10.00 5% 18.50 31.40  
WINDTAPPER WIN 2 1 11 12   22 6 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 9.40  
ROYAL DE BE 5 8 914 910   78 7 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00 11.50  
INDEFENSIBLE TOWN 6 9 1015 1014   813 818¾ (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 118 20.00 ######  
CAMALEON 3 2 21 54   913½ 924½ (villafranc)ALBERT S 121 20.00 ######  
POP POP MIKE 1 7 5 8   1018½ 1029¾ (guillory james)STOKES A 118 20.00 54.30  
SCR  A FOOL FOR CARLOS               (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY FOREVER               (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.