Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (4/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
DED-2   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $19.00  
DED-3   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
DED-4   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.60  
DED-5   Win (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $16.20  
DED-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $6.40  
DED-7   Win (10/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
DED-8   Win (7/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.00  
DED-9   Win (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLINGINTHENIGHT 4 4 2 2½   12 1 (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.50 38% 1.70 4.40 W
10  J C'S IN TOWN 9 2 3 3   35 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00 6% 14.70 4.20 P
MONITOR MILLS 8 1 1 1½   22 35 (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 3.00 15% 5.50 5.00 S
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 2 8 65 7   46 4 (alberto antoni)MAGNON H 117 8.00 8.80  
HEARTTHROB HALO 3 3 43 4   5 5 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 3.70  
FLIT N FLOT TIME 7 6 7 6   67 611½ (broberg karl)ROSIER R 117 5.00 9.80  
SWEET RACHEL 1 7 9 9   710 713½ (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 15.00 9% 10.10 13.20  
MIND ON MY MONEY 6 9 8 5   811 815¾ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 5.30  
MY BOOK 5 5 55 8   913 920¼ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00 29.50  
SCR  BANKROLL               (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.50    
SCR  CAEUS IN PASADENA               (leblanc john)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00    
SCR  JOEBOY               (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 20.00    
 
DED-2   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWS N LACE 5 6 66 5   41 1¾ (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 8.50  
FASTED 2 4 55 4   1½ 2¾ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00 6.00  
DIXIE PENNY 4 3 3 31   2½ 3 (villafranco marti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.00 34% 2.00 1.70 S
FREEZER BURN 1 1 1 1nk   31 4 (bryant george )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 15% 5.90 9.00  
IRON LOTUS 3 2 2 2nk   54 5 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 2.90  
CARLOS LOVES TEE 6 5 44 6100   6100 6100 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 1.80 21% 3.70 3.10  
SCR  PROUD VICTORIA               (altamira)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
 
DED-3   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTROLOGY GIRL 4 1 1 12   16 16 (ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 W
QUITEGIRL 5 7 6 6   511 26 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 25% 3.00 8.50 P
REBECCA'S DREAM 6 6 5 46   38 3 (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 9% 10.70 5.20 S
RACHEL'S GEM 1 2 3 33   49 412½ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 29.80  
MARION ROSES GIRL 7 3 2 22   26 513½ (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 12.00 12.50  
LEXI'S FURY 2 5 711½ 711½   615 614 (duhon o)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 37.30  
MISS NIMBUS 3 4 4 5   719 733¾ (alfortis)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 1.60  
SCR  DISCREET DEAL               (reeves a)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
SCR  EVE EVE               (castille carr)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50    
 
DED-4   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:134 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANCH WATER 6 1 1½ 11 1½ 11 12 (landry r)MAGNON H 114 5.00 2.30  
CREEKSIDE 2 3 3 33 2½ 21 22 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 114 3.00 25% 3.00 5.00 P
BOY CHARLIE 5 2 4 44 3 36 3 (dunn ray)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 2.00 20% 4.10 2.30 S
REDDINGANDLEE 7 7 7 55 42 4 411 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 114 4.00 28% 2.50 1.70  
JAYS HOLIDAY 4 5 5 6 53 57 511 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 6.00 22.20  
RUN ON ACES 1 6 67 76 75 69 616½ (perron gerard)STOKES A 117 12.00 64.70  
JOSAN 3 4 2½ 21 63 713 733¾ (morrell cynthia)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 55.50  
 
DED-5   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:221 :46       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TRAP 4 3 6 5   3 1nk (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 10.00 7.10  
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 1 4 21 2nk   14 2nk (husak j)POMPELL L 114 12.00 5% 19.00 6.70 P
TEXAS TURBINE 6 5 4 32   24 3 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 117 2.50 35% 1.80 1.30 S
BARAHIN 3 6 5 44   4 4 (escobar aliso)MORALES ROBERTO 117 6.00 15% 5.50 11.90  
IRONICAL 5 8 810 77   7 57 (bustamante ray)EDISON B 117 10.00 19% 4.20 16.80  
HOMELAND MESSA 2 7 7 8   6 6 (toups brent)EDISON JOCELYN 112 15.00 80.90  
BARSINVIEW 8 1 11 1nk   5 713¾ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50 2.50  
PRICED RIGHT 7 2 35 65   812½ 823¾ (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00 8.70  
SCR  SEA FORCE               (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
 
DED-6   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:222 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PALACE 7 3 44 3   32 11 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 114 5.00 2.20  
GENTLEMAN'S SECRET 5 1 2½ 1½   12 21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 10% 9.30 5.20 P
CODETOWIN 3 6 5 6   43 3 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 36% 1.80 7.50 S
COROT 4 7 76 54   5 3 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 1.20 DH
HIS GIANT 1 2 1½ 2½   22 5 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 21% 3.80 11.70  
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 2 4 3 44   6 6 (fuselier jon)ALBERT S 112 10.00 13.60  
HUNTERS GHOST 6 5 6 7   7 7 (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00 29.70  
 
DED-7   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JRUE BREEZE 9 4 42 21   12 16 (scherer gary)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 42% 1.40 0.80 W
OURPERFECTPRINCE 7 6 6 6   34 26 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 114 5.00 4.00  
GOD'S GOLD 1 7 7 8   6 3 (martin ja)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00 7% 13.90 23.30 S
PEANUT N IKE 4 1 32 4   44 4 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 114 6.00 23.20  
G E H GIANTS WAY 2 3 11 11   22 510½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00 84.90  
CHILI RED 6 9 8 7   9 610½ (terre david)MCMAHON J 114 5.00 7.50 DH
HULLINAHURRY 8 5 53 5   7 610½ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 109 15.00 35.60 DH
GOLDUSTER 5 2 21 31   5 810¾ (alberto antoni)MAGNON H 117 10.00 11% 8.00 14.00  
ITWASTHISBIG 3 8 9 9   8 911½ (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 114 4.50 15% 5.50 4.80  
SCR  CUSTOM CRESCENT               (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 111 20.00    
SCR  TOTAL SURPRISE               (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 4.00    
 
DED-8   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND CREEK 6 3 5 4   32 1¾ (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 2.00  
EXTIRPATOR 2 1 3 22   11 2¾ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 11.80  
LANGS DAY 3 10 1011¾ 10   5 32 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 114 3.00 24% 3.20 2.10 S
GRAVES MILL ROAD 1 9 9 76   7 4 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 10.00 40.50  
MEANT FOR ME 9 5 21 32   4 5 (johnson b)MELANCON G 117 15.00 25.00  
DIAL IN FOR LUTE 4 2 7 64   63 6 (villafranco mart)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00 13.90  
HIGH CRUISE 7 4 11 12   21 7 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 39% 1.50 4.00  
PALATIAL TIMES 8 6 4 53   8 8 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00 5% 19.00 29.40  
HARD ATTACK 5 8 8 8   9 9 (arnett g)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 12.00 9% 9.80 23.90  
10  HOME VISIT 10 7 6 9   1012¼ 1032¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 8.00 10.30  
 
DED-9   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:59
See original race card.
:222 :464       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUGHT OFF GUARD 5 5 4 31   3 1¾ (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 1.70 W
10  MORE THAN DESTINY 8 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2¾ (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 20.00 24.70  
MONSIEUR CANDY 6 4 75 5   4 3 (ward ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 38% 1.70 3.30 S
MR. SHORTY 3 2 31 4   2½ 4 (johnson b)VARGAS P 120 2.50 28% 2.60 3.50  
PHILANTHROPER 1 7 6 7   6 57 (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 7.50  
SCAT FREE 7 3 1nk 2nk   5 68 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 6.00  
ITZCOATL 4 8 810 8   7 710½ (gelner scott)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
PUPPETEER (GB) 2 6 5 6   811½ 815¼ (castille carr)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00 14.40  
SCR  DEFIANT MALICE               (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
SCR  KONTEEKEE               (chatters benard)ROSIER R 120 5.00    
SCR  MOTOR CITY               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
SCR  PATEK               (landry r)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.