Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/10)-(4/8/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/10)-(4/8/1/10)-(4/8/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/10)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/10)-(4/7/1)-(6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(6/7/8)-(7/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(7/2/5)-(7/6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(7/6/4/1)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/1)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/1)-(3/1/5)-(10/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(10/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(10/3/6/1)-(7/3/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (10/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/6/1)-(10/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/6/1)-(10/3/6/1)-(10/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/6/1)-(7/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/3/6/1)-(7/3/5/8)-(6/3/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/8)-(7/3/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/8)-(7/3/5/6/8)-(7/3/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/8)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET RACHEL Jul09 Feb28 Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 15.00 9% 10.10    
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Sep05 Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 117 8.00    
HEARTTHROB HALO Jul20 Jun22 May26 Apr28 Mar02 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
CALLINGINTHENIGHT Aug19 Jul03 Jun03 Feb18 Dec21 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.50 38% 1.70    
MY BOOK Jun10 May18 Apr26 Feb28 Feb11 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
MIND ON MY MONEY Aug27 Jul09 Jun23 May29 May13 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00    
FLIT N FLOT TIME Oct06 Aug10 Jul08 May18 Apr26 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 117 5.00    
MONITOR MILLS Oct06 Jul13 May26 May10 Apr12 (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 3.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  JOEBOY Aug21 Jul31 May27 May15 Feb18 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 20.00    
10  J C'S IN TOWN Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 Jun10 May03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  CAEUS IN PASADENA Jun10 May18 Jan08 Dec14 Aug05 (leblanc jo)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00    
SCR  BANKROLL Oct11 Sep05 Aug04 Jul23 May21 (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.50    
 
DED-2   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEZER BURN Aug12 Jun24 Jun02 Apr01 Feb12 (bryant georg)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 15% 5.90    
FASTED Oct07 Jul03 Apr28 Apr13 Mar12 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 10.00    
IRON LOTUS Sep23 Sep10 Aug25 Aug13 Jul09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
DIXIE PENNY Sep04 Aug18 Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  PROUD VICTORIA Oct11 Sep05 Aug12 Jul30 May29 (altami)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
BOWS N LACE Apr19 Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 Dec18 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00    
CARLOS LOVES TEE Jun25 Jun03 May21 May05 Feb17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
DED-3   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHEL'S GEM Oct07         (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
LEXI'S FURY Aug28         (duhon o)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
MISS NIMBUS Aug26         (alfort)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
SCR  DISCREET DEAL Aug26         (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
SCR  EVE EVE         (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50    
ASTROLOGY GIRL Oct07 Aug04 Jul07     (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
QUITEGIRL Aug28         (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
REBECCA'S DREAM         (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
MARION ROSES GIRL Oct07         (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 12.00    
 
DED-4   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ON ACES Sep12 Aug28 Aug05 Jun24 Jun09 (perron gerard)STOKES A 117 12.00    
CREEKSIDE Aug11 Jun03 May10 Mar11 Feb10 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 114 3.00 25% 3.00    
JOSAN Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 Aug24 (morrell cynthia)MCMAHON J 117 15.00    
JAYS HOLIDAY Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Aug18 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 6.00    
BOY CHARLIE Aug20         (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 2.00 20% 4.10    
RANCH WATER Aug11 Jul21 Apr28 Mar26 Feb22 (landry allen)MAGNON H 114 5.00    
REDDINGANDLEE Oct07 Aug21 Jul01 Jun03 May14 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 114 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
DED-5   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Sep11 Aug29 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (husak j)POMPELL L 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOMELAND MESSA Apr29 Oct08 May28 May14 Apr30 (toups brent)EDISON JOCELYN 112 15.00    
SCR  SEA FORCE Sep12 Aug27 Aug12 Jun12 May20 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
BARAHIN Jun30 Jun17 May26 May06 Apr14 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 117 6.00 15% 5.50    
DOUBLE TRAP Sep11 Jul02 Jun04 Apr21 Jan06 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 10.00    
IRONICAL Oct06 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr21 (bustamante ray)EDISON B 117 10.00 19% 4.20    
TEXAS TURBINE Jun22 May20 Apr22 Feb15 Jan12 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 117 2.50 35% 1.80    
PRICED RIGHT Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 May06 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00    
BARSINVIEW Aug10 Jun09 May21 Apr16 Mar31 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.50    
 
DED-6   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS GIANT Jul04 Jun05 Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 21% 3.80    
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Aug04 Jul13 Jun10 May27 Apr29 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 112 10.00    
CODETOWIN Jul24 Jun12 May27 Jul29 Jun24 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 36% 1.80    
COROT Jul22 Jun05 May12 Feb22 Jan19 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00    
GENTLEMAN'S SECRET Oct07 Sep13 Sep04 Aug20 Jul26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 10% 9.30    
HUNTERS GHOST Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May21 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 117 10.00    
GOLDEN PALACE Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 May04 Apr20 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 5.00    
 
DED-7   10/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOD'S GOLD Sep12 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 (martin )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00 7% 13.90    
G E H GIANTS WAY Aug19 Jun23 May19 Apr20 Feb23 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00    
ITWASTHISBIG Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 Jun17 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 114 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  CUSTOM CRESCENT Sep04 Aug13 May14 Jan12 Nov30 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 111 20.00    
PEANUT N IKE Aug05 Jul22 May10 Apr29 Apr14 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 114 6.00    
GOLDUSTER Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 May19 Apr28 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 117 10.00 11% 8.00    
CHILI RED Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May19 Mar22 (terre david)MCMAHON J 114 5.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCE Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr28 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 5.00    
HULLINAHURRY Aug10 Jul31 Mar26 Feb18 Nov12 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 109 15.00    
10  JRUE BREEZE Sep13 Sep04 Aug16 Apr08 Mar09 (scherer gar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  TOTAL SURPRISE Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 Jun17 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 4.00    
 
DED-8   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAVES MILL ROAD Sep10 Aug19 Jul03 Jun19 May22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 10.00    
EXTIRPATOR Sep09 Jul22 Jun24 Feb16 Jan28 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
LANGS DAY Mar05 Feb16 Feb04 Dec20 Nov11 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 114 3.00 24% 3.20    
DIAL IN FOR LUTE Sep23 Sep05 Aug14 Jul23 Jun18 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00    
HARD ATTACK Sep15 Jul16 Jun12 May29 Mar25 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 12.00 9% 9.80    
HIGHLAND CREEK Jun03 May06 Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 4.00    
HIGH CRUISE May27 May04 Mar24 Jan27 Dec26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 39% 1.50    
PALATIAL TIMES Sep02 Jul19 Jun17 Jun04 May06 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
MEANT FOR ME Sep02 Jun18 May22 Mar31 Feb28 (johnson b)MELANCON G 117 15.00    
10  HOME VISIT Sep15 Sep07 Jul07 Jun23 May19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 8.00    
 
DED-9   10/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILANTHROPER         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
PUPPETEER (GB) Jul20         (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of PULPIT'S REVENGE by PULPIT)
MR. SHORTY Sep12 Aug29 Jul04     (johnson henry)VARGAS P 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ITZCOATL         (gelner scott)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of FIRST GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
CAUGHT OFF GUARD         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMBUSHER by RAHY)
MONSIEUR CANDY         (ward ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by CATALINA RED out of CAJUN ROCKET by LION TAMER)
SCR  MOTOR CITY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of COUNTRY VILLA by PANCHO VILLA)
SCR  KONTEEKEE         (chatters benard)ROSIER R 120 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCAT FREE Aug29         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SCAT SISTER by SCAT DADDY)
10  MORE THAN DESTINY         (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HEART OF DESTINY by LION HEART)
SCR  PATEK         (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
SCR  DEFIANT MALICE Oct07 Sep23 Aug14 Jul31   (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.