The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
DED-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $7.40 -4.00
DED-3   Win (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
DED-4   Win (4/10/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
DED-5   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.60 -6.00
DED-6   Win (3/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.00 -8.00
DED-7   Win (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
DED-8   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
DED-9   Win (1/3/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -5.20

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:231 :47 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN BEE 5 6 44 33   32 1¾ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50 7% 14.20 1.60 W
10  CPRIORITY 10 4 2½ 2nk   12 2¾ (thomas lee)POMPELL L 114 6.00 13.00 P
VIOLENT CITY 7 5 1½ 1nk   22 35 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 2.50 72% 0.40 0.60 S
G'S STORM 8 9 57 45   44 4(dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00 66.60  
XANTHUS WRATH 2 8 79 7   65(melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00 98.20  
MAJESTIC MANDATE 6 2 67 6   57 6(gelner j)RIVERA JOSEAN 112 5.00 21.30  
HALF A BUCK 4 10 912 812¼   710¼ 7(pedigo randy)GREEN AUBRIE 114 8.00 35.10  
SHADY GRADY 1 1 810 912¾   811¼ 813½ (romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 10.00 5% 19.00 32.20  
CLERIC 3 7 1013 1013¼   1013¾ 915¼ (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00 ######  
MR LIBERTY 9 3 31 5   913¼ 1017¾ (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00 69.70  
SCR  CHICKEN TRUCK               (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 117 4.00    
SCR  TWIRLING CHIEF               (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 10.00    
 
DED-2   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Louisiana Jewel Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 6:43
:232 :483 1:143     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMILY'S BULLET 5 3 32 3½   2½ 1(pomier chasey)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 2.70  
DIAMOND DEAL 2 4 2½ 1nk   31 2(gelner j)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 1.80 48% 1.10 1.10 P
TOMMIE G 1 1 42 4   43(west g)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 5.00 8.00  
GOOD N SASSY 4 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 4(henry eric)MELANCON G 113 10.00 6.80  
RUNNING ARGUMENT 3 5 54 53   5516 (robbins jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 30% 2.40 3.40  
SCR  RONNIE'S DEAL               (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 115 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
:231 :473 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING ACES 6 2 2nk 11   18 114¼ (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 24% 3.10 1.90 W
GAMER NATE 3 8 5 33   28 214¼ (briley lonnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 35.20  
BOBBY BOY 2 5 4 4   49 314½ (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90 S
CAJUN CYCLONE 8 4 7 5   5415¼ (courville ricky)MELANCON G 120 4.50 7.40  
CRAKEN JAX 7 3 32 21   3519¼ (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 15.00 4.70  
JOE T 9 9 1011¼ 77   613½ 625¾ (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 12.30  
10  CANAL ST. CUPID 10 10 8 910   718½ 731 (delahoussaye gle)THORNTON G 120 20.00 60.30  
THEBOYZ SECRET 5 7 9 1010   818½ 840 (ward ronnie)NEGRON LUIS 115 3.50 42% 1.40 3.90  
C F HENRY 1 1 1nk 88   928½ 9100 (ali andre)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 12.20  
BOBBY TWO SHOT'S 4 6 6 6   10100 10100 (sanchez juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 10% 8.60 8.00  
SCR  I NITA WARRIOR               (reeves jeffery)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MADDOX               (pomier chasey)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 15.00    
 
DED-4   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
:23 :472 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G VICTORY 4 5 21 2½   12 11 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 118 4.00 52% 0.90 0.60 W
11  MR B QUIET 9 8 911¼ 9   45 21 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00 55.00  
UNFATHOMED 5 4 42 31   22 3(landry allen )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 7.10  
TAPPIN FORA DANCE 6 9 7 7   76 4(romero j)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00 83.30  
COOLCROSS 2 2 5 52   55(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 9.70  
10  THE GREEN MO'STER 8 3 6 6   66 64 (singh s)SINGH R 123 6.00 14% 6.10 8.20  
12  QUANA DUDE 10 7 8 8   97 7(larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00 33.40  
OUTLAW X. 1 6 32 42   88(gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
INCORRIGIBLE 3 1 11 1½   34 99 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 11% 8.10 5.60  
DUE APEAL 7 10 1016¼ 1012¼   1012 1012 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 ######  
SCR  COACH KENNY               (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  PINCH ASSAULT               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
 
DED-5   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:07
:242 :472 1:141 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL PRO 5 4 3.2 3.2 2½ 12 1(arnett g)BIRZER E 117 4.50 1.30  
CASHEW 3 5 6 5 55 45 2(gelner jayde)ALBERT S 112 3.00 1.30  
ASHLEY'S GIRL 4 3 4¼ 4 43 34 3(zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00 36.30  
GLANCE 1 6 2nk 2nk 1½ 22 4(magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 5.00 12% 7.10 11.20  
ANGEL OF VERDUN 6 1 5 6 6 56 5(schwandt emile)VARGAS P 117 6.00 6% 15.70 7.70  
BEAUTIFUL ENDING 2 2 1nk 1nk 3 68 618¾ (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 114 1.80 58% 0.70 6.50  
SCR  GOODNIGHTLOVING               (magnon rylee)LEDET THEODRICK 117 10.00    
 
DED-6   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
:232 :47 1:124     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICKENS 6 3 2 2nk   12 1¼ (bryant a)LOZADA CARLOS 114 3.00 2.50  
ZESTFUL 3 7 33 32   22 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50 39% 1.60 2.10 P
10  FIRST GLIMPSE 8 8 8 6   45 3(bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 5.00 7% 13.60 5.00 S
MUNQAD 4 4 1 1nk   33 47 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00 6.40  
BLAME J D 7 6 44 44   55 57 (richard chris)BIRZER E 117 6.00 5% 17.60 7.80  
JANETS JAY JAY 5 5 54 7   66 610 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 114 6.00 7.30  
DANCIN WITH ANGELS 2 2 6 5   79 715½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00 20.50  
GOTTA GO 1 1 7 810¾   814 821¾ (henry eric)MELANCON G 117 15.00 34.50  
SCR  SEAU               (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  UNCLE FRANK               (sturrock tommy)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
 
DED-7   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
:223 :47 1:123 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO WHITE FLAGS 5 5 6 5 31 11 12 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 36% 1.70 2.20 W
BALLINONABUDJET 4 8 7 7 5 33 22 (reeves jeffery)MAGNON H 114 15.00 30.90  
UNIFIED DREAMS 7 4 4 6 6 56 3(scherer gary)THORNTON G 117 6.00 30% 2.30 11.30 S
STRONG EAGLE 6 6 5 4 11 21 4(escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 112 8.00 7.30  
FLEETRIDGE 2 3 1nk 2nk 21 45 511 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 8.00 15.00  
DOUBLE STAR 3 7 810¾ 811¾ 8 710 613¾ (schultz )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 5.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
MACHINE GUN MAN 1 2 2nk 1nk 4 67 716¼ (sanchez juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50 1.20  
ITS A WRAP 8 1 3.2 31 7 814 825 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 7% 13.10 6.80  
 
DED-8   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Louisiana Legacy Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 9:31
:232 :482 1:14     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD AND STOUT 4 3 2nk 1½   1½ 1(castille carrol)MCMAHON J 115 5.00 13% 6.50 10.80 DQ↓7
STRONG PROMISE 1 2 4 2½   2½ 2(gelner j)FUSILIER C 122 1.80 39% 1.60 0.10 W
EL DINERO 7 6 7 7   332 (devereux patric)VARGAS P 122 6.00 13.20  
RISING KOTO STAR 6 5 6 5   447 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 115 15.00 41.60  
TAKE CHARGE J J 3 7 5 6   510½ 512½ (calhoun william )THORNTON G 113 4.00 17% 4.80 6.10  
INVOLVEDNTERACTION 5 4 32 4   612½ 624½ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 113 20.00 82.30  
STOVALL 2 1 1nk 3½   715½ 734½ (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 115 10.00 24.60  
SCR  CAJUN CYCLONE               (courville ricky)MELANCON G 113 8.00    
SCR  DEAL WITH IT DADDY               (ali andre)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 10.00    
 
DED-9   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
:224 :464 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE SWORD 1 2 11 11   12 1¾ (berndt jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.00 27% 2.70 1.40 W
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS 7 7 67 5   22 2¾ (degeyter rand)MELANCON JANSEN 117 5.00 15% 5.50 4.20 P
DRAFT CHOICE 3 10 8 6   331 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 114 3.50 26% 2.80 7.00 S
MISTS OF TIME 5 6 7 7   66 4(ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 7% 14.10 2.20  
PARLAY PETE 6 1 21 21   45(gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
GALLANT STAR 2 8 9 912½   79 6(husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 12.00 44.00  
11  ANALYZER 10 5 45 4   5711 (villafranco marti)ROMAN KEVIN 112 12.00 55.50  
LUCKY LOUIE 8 9 1012¾ 1016½   911 812½ (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 117 15.00 67.40  
WAR ROGUE 9 4 32 3   89 914¼ (west henry)STOKES A 114 20.00 95.00  
NEW EVERY MORNING 4 3 55 8   1014 1025½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 8.00 15.70  
SCR  LIL MISS DE BUY               (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 117 20.00    
SCR  LOUIS LE GRANDE               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.