Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/10/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/10/1/4)-(7/5/10/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(2/3)-(5/6/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/6/4/2)-(4/10/3/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/8/2)-(5/6/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/4/2)-(4/10/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/2)-(4/10/3/1)-(2/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (4/10/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/1)-(4/10/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/1)-(4/10/3/2/1)-(4/10/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/3/1)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3/1)-(2/1/7)-(3/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(3/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(3/10/9)-(5/7/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/9)-(3/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10/9)-(3/10/9)-(3/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/10/9)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9)-(5/7/8/3)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/3)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/3)-(1/4/5)-(1/3/7/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/3/7/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (1/3/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5/6)-(1/3/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5/6)-(1/3/7/5/6)-(1/3/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY GRADY Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  XANTHUS WRATH Sep11 Aug29 Jan14 Nov02 Oct14 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00    
3  CLERIC Sep05 Aug26 Jul29 Jun24 May29 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00    
4  HALF A BUCK Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 (pedigo randy)GREEN AUBRIE 114 8.00 ★    
5  MONGOLIAN BEE Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 Jul02 Jun07 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50 7% 14.20    
6  MAJESTIC MANDATE Jun08 Apr14 Mar11 Jan07 Dec02 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 112 5.00    
7  VIOLENT CITY Sep02 Jul01 Mar30 Feb25 Jul08 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 2.50 72% 0.40    
8  G'S STORM Aug29 Jul29 Jul06 Jun08 May09 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00    
9  MR LIBERTY Jun22 May12 Apr14 Feb02 Jan05 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00    
10  CPRIORITY Mar26 Feb25 Feb10 Jan11 Dec17 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  TWIRLING CHIEF Sep22 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul10 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 10.00    
SCR  CHICKEN TRUCK Aug29 Aug04 Jul08 May19 Apr29 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 4.00    
 
DED-2   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisiana Jewel Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMMIE G Sep10 Aug06       (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 117 5.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
2  DIAMOND DEAL Aug05 Jul14       (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of RANSOM RED by RED ROCKS (IRE))
3  RUNNING ARGUMENT Aug05 Jul07 May13     (robbins j)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of RUN JAMAICAN'S RUN by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  RONNIE'S DEAL Aug05 Jul17 Jun25     (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 115 6.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of COSTA PRETTY PENNY by ZARBYEV)
5  GOOD N SASSY         (henry eric)MELANCON G 113 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CLASSY GREY LASSY by SILVER TRAIN)
6  EMILY'S BULLET Aug05 Jul07 May20 May11   (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of BESSIE'S BULLET by WANDO)
 
DED-3   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F HENRY         (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BALA ROJA by RED BULLET)
2  BOBBY BOY Jul28 Jul08 Jun03     (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of NO FUN by DENMAN)
3  GAMER NATE         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DA RIVER GIRL by ALTERNATION)
4  BOBBY TWO SHOT'S Aug05         (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of MINE YOURS AN OURS by HALF OURS)
5  THEBOYZ SECRET Aug19         (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 115 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of FIJI D by LYDGATE)
6  SPINNING ACES Aug05         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by HARD ACES out of JUST ALEX by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
7  CRAKEN JAX         (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of JAX AND JILL by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  CAJUN CYCLONE Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 Jun03 May21 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 120 4.50 ★    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OFF CYCLE by HARBORAGE)
9  JOE T Aug05         (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of DARK DOUBLE by KAFWAIN)
10  CANAL ST. CUPID Sep09         (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 120 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of BRONZE ABE by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  I NITA WARRIOR Aug19 Jul20       (reeves jeffe)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of ANITA BONITA by REDDING COLLIERY)
SCR  MIGHTY MADDOX Jun05         (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS. BASNIGHT by SKY MESA)
 
DED-4   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLAW X. Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 Apr29 Apr19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  COOLCROSS Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jun17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 ★    
3  INCORRIGIBLE Jul31 Feb04 Dec22 May30 May10 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
4  G VICTORY Jul13 Jun17 Jun02 Apr26 Feb10 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 4.00 52% 0.90    
5  UNFATHOMED Aug27 Jul22 Jun15 Jun02 Feb17 (landry alle)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
SCR  COACH KENNY Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 May20 Apr20 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  PINCH ASSAULT Aug12 Mar26 Feb25 Feb15 Feb04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
8  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Sep10 Jun19 May30 May04 Apr14 (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
9  DUE APEAL Aug14 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 May29 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
10  THE GREEN MO'STER Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Nov24 Sep27 (singh s)SINGH R 123 6.00 14% 6.10    
11  MR B QUIET Jun10 Apr22 Feb28 Feb03 Nov23 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 118 10.00    
12  QUANA DUDE Aug04 Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May12 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 10.00    
 
DED-5   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLANCE Aug03 Jun16 May13 Apr28 Feb20 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 5.00 12% 7.10    
2  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Aug19 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May04 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 114 1.80 58% 0.70    
3  CASHEW Aug03 Jul06 Jun02 May05 Feb15 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 112 3.00    
SCR  GOODNIGHTLOVING Aug03 Jul06 Apr28 Apr15 Feb11 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 117 10.00    
5  ASHLEY'S GIRL Aug19 Jul06 May11 Apr26 Apr07 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00    
6  GIRL PRO Sep11 Sep01 Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 4.50    
7  ANGEL OF VERDUN Sep11 Aug12 Aug03 Jun02 May05 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 117 6.00 6% 15.70    
 
DED-6   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA GO Aug12 Jun09 May06 Mar23 Mar03 (henry eric)MELANCON G 117 15.00    
2  DANCIN WITH ANGELS Jun17 May06 Jan27 Jan05 Dec10 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
3  ZESTFUL Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 Apr15 Apr02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  UNCLE FRANK Jul15 May25 Apr14 Feb10 Jan11 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
5  MUNQAD Aug14 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Apr08 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00    
6  JANETS JAY JAY Sep05 Aug07 Feb16 Jan07 Dec10 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 114 6.00    
7  PICKENS Aug05 Jun17 May27 Apr30 Feb22 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 114 3.00    
SCR  SEAU Sep05 Jun17 May06 Apr19 Feb10 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 28% 2.60    
9  BLAME J D Aug16 Aug02 Jul03 Feb26 Feb05 (richard chris)STOKES J 117 6.00 5% 17.60    
10  FIRST GLIMPSE Aug03 Jul01 May25 Apr14 Mar10 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 5.00 7% 13.60    
 
DED-7   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHINE GUN MAN Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 Jun02 May06 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50    
2  FLEETRIDGE Sep15 Jul08 Jun12 Apr29 Oct13 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 8.00    
3  DOUBLE STAR May06 Dec20 Nov11 Aug21 Jul12 (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  BALLINONABUDJET Aug11 Jul22 May19 Apr13 Mar26 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 114 15.00    
5  NO WHITE FLAGS Sep02 Jul01 May22 Jul31   (woodley j)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 36% 1.70    
6  STRONG EAGLE Aug11 Jul01 May25 May05 Apr08 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 112 8.00    
7  UNIFIED DREAMS Jul22 Jun25 May29 May04 Mar22 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 117 6.00 30% 2.30    
8  ITS A WRAP Jun10 May29 Apr29 Jan25 Dec14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 7% 13.10    
 
DED-8   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisiana Legacy Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG PROMISE Aug05 Jul01 Jun03     (gelner j)FUSILIER C 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ST. JEAN by MACHO UNO)
2  STOVALL Aug29         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 115 10.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
SCR  CAJUN CYCLONE Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 Jun03 May21 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 113 8.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OFF CYCLE by HARBORAGE)
4  TAKE CHARGE J J Sep17 Aug19       (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 113 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ALL WOMAN by HALF OURS)
5  GOOD AND STOUT Aug05 Jul08 Jun15     (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 115 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
6  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Sep22 Aug26 Aug20 Aug04   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 113 20.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of PI by FLATTER)
7  RISING KOTO STAR Aug05 Jul20       (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 115 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MARGARITA GOLD by GOLD TRIBUTE)
8  EL DINERO Aug05 Jul08 Jun17     (devereux patr)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of MONEY FOR MAKEUP by FORESTRY)
SCR  DEAL WITH IT DADDY Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03   (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 10.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of GIOVANNA by GIO PONTI)
 
DED-9   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE SWORD Aug05 Jul12 Jun10 May25 Jan22 (berndt )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  GALLANT STAR Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 12.00    
3  DRAFT CHOICE Aug21 Aug03 Jul13 Jun10 May04 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  NEW EVERY MORNING Sep17 Sep02 Aug11 Jul29 Jun25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 8.00    
5  MISTS OF TIME Aug04 Jun10 May26 Apr28 Apr14 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 7% 14.10    
6  PARLAY PETE Sep04 May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar11 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Sep02 Aug03 Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 5.00 15% 5.50    
8  LUCKY LOUIE Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
9  WAR ROGUE Aug26 Aug13 Feb28 Dec21 Nov23 (west henry)STOKES A 114 20.00    
SCR  LIL MISS DE BUY Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 117 20.00    
11  ANALYZER Sep10 Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 Feb03 (villafranco m)EDWARDS JAVIS 112 12.00    
SCR  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jul27 Jul06 Jun23 Jun09 Jun04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.