Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $17.80 $11.80 197%
EMD-5   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $10.70 $4.70 78%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-5-1 $15.90 $12.90 430%
EMD-6   WIN (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $18.30 $6.30 53%
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $24.80 $12.80 107%
EMD-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $14.90 $8.90 148%
    DD (7/1/3/4)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $69.20 $57.20 477%
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/1/3/4)-(3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-4-5 $74.15 $56.15 312%
EMD-8   WIN (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $20.00 $8.00 67%
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-7 $31.00 $19.00 158%
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $41.70 $29.70 248%
    PK3 (7/1/3/4)-(3/4/5)-(7/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-5-1 $166.70 $142.70 595%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARTHUR SPOONER 3 4 53½ 3.2   11 12¼ (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 15% 5.50 2.10 W
7  MISO FAST 7 2 31 2nk   21 22¼ (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 125 5.00 5.70  
4  OUR EMPIRE 4 6 64½ 5¾   43 36¾ (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 8.00 9.10  
1  BESAME MUCHO 1 5 42 61¼   54½ 48¼ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 6.00 5.80  
6  GOLD RUSH CANDY 6 1 2nk 1nk   32½ 58½ (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 2.00 41% 1.40 2.20  
2  SILENT DECLARATION 2 3 75 73¼   66 69½ (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 14% 6.30 12.70  
5  DECIMATE 5 7 1nk 4¾   78 715¾ (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 125 12.00 9.10  
 
EMD-2   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIRE ESCAPE 4 4 11 12   15 15½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 3.10  
6  MEAN SHARON 6 3 52½ 34   25 25½ (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 8.70  
5  MISCHIEF MAMA 5 1 74¼ 55½   36½ 37 (alvarez sergio)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 18.40  
7  V BUCKS 7 2 41½ 22   48½ 411¼ (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.50 26% 2.90 1.30  
2  FOR YOU ONLY 2 5 62¾ 78   610½ 511½ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
1  BELLS AND WHISTLES 1 7 31 66   59½ 614½ (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 5.00 13.90  
3  FIRST PROMISE 3 6 21 45½   711½ 717¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.00 45% 1.20 2.70  
 
EMD-3   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LUCINDA RELLA 5 5 56½ 3½   1½ 13¼ (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 9% 10.60 4.40 W
2  SCATALICIOUS 2 3 45 4¾   3½ 23¼ (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 47% 1.10 1.50 P
6  LADY ATTA TUDE 6 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 36½ (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 4.30  
3  DISTINCTIVE DEB 3 2 33 51¼   52¼ 49¾ (boyd preston)RADKE K 121 4.00 5.40  
1  BETE ROUGE 1 6 68½ 65¼   65¼ 512¼ (chattong v)ORANTES R 125 30.00 26.00  
4  LADY BRETT 4 4 2nk 2nk   4¾ 613½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 2.50 19% 4.20 3.10  
 
EMD-4   08/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN DREAM 1 5 21 41¼   22 1¼ (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 7.00  
4  RODEO ROSE 4 6 63 62¼   43½ 2¼ (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 8.00 6.40  
2  ABOVE THE STARS 2 2 11 11   12 3¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.00 42% 1.40 2.10 S
7  STICKINITTOTHEMAN 7 1 52½ 52¼   53½ 41¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 14% 6.10 7.50  
6  LA POPIS 6 3 42 21   32½ 53¼ (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 3.50 13% 6.80 7.70  
5  SASSY EINSTEIN 5 7 77 76¼   77 63½ (morris michae)VALDES ALEXIS 125 15.00 26.10  
3  MIST OONA B 3 4 31 31   64 74½ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 2.50 1.80  
 
EMD-5   08/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:23
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:11 1:242   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOSQUITO FLEET 2 3 1nk 1½ 12½ 12 11½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 2.50 51% 1.00 1.80 W
5  OLYMPIC LEGEND 5 1 31 31½ 22½ 22 21½ (raudales jose)RADKE K 123 3.00 10% 8.80 2.30 P
1  COOLCROSS 1 6 51¼ 42 34½ 34 31¾ (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 12% 7.00 4.60 S
6  MARCH ON LINCH 6 4 63¼ 65 66 57½ 48¾ (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 4.00 6.90  
3  LAGO DE ORO 3 5 41¼ 52 44½ 46 59½ (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 5.30  
4  JEDI KNIGHT 4 2 2nk 2½ 55½ 610½ 616¾ (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 125 10.00 11.60  
 
EMD-6   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:04
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WEGOTBEERONICE 4 3 12 12   13 15¼ (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 8% 12.00 5.20 W
1  NATION OF FAITH 1 5 713 77¼   45 25¼ (essex charles)RADKE K 125 3.50 19% 4.30 2.60 P
5  VALIDATE 5 7 610 45½   55½ 36 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 6.00 10.90  
7  SPARKS FLYIN 7 2 22 22   23 46¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 43% 1.30 2.80  
3  PERFECT ONE 3 6 58½ 55½   35 57¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.00 8% 10.80 2.80  
8  DANNY ZUKO 8 1 34 34   66 68 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 10.00 10.40  
6  NORTHERN BLEND 6 4 45½ 65¾   76½ 78 (dronen sam)BOWEN ROCCO 125 12.00 27.90  
2  WINTER SOLDIER 2 8 814½ 810¼   810½ 810½ (essex charles)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 27.00  
 
EMD-7   08/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST WA Cup Juvenile Colts Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 8:31
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:113     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RIMROCK LAKE 5 3 22 1nk   13 17½ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 4.50 13% 6.40 5.90 W
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of NIGHTWALKER by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
3  KNIGHTLINE 3 4 32 33   33 27½ (gibson f)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.40 46% 1.20 1.00 P
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT CLUB by ICY GLOW)
1  ALLANTE 1 6 67 66½   66¼ 311¼ (belvoir howard)MONTALVO C 119 20.00 23.90  
  (by COAST GUARD out of LADY DIVA by MALT MAGIC)
6  BEER BEGONE 6 1 55 55½   45 415 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 23.20  
  (by PONTIFF out of COPY BEGONE by DEMON WARLOCK)
2  WHERE YOU GONNA GO 2 5 43½ 44½   55¼ 519 (van debbie)MATIAS J 119 6.00 10.40  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MARGARET'S MIRACLE by SLEWDLEDO)
4  CHANCELLORS BOOM 4 2 12 2nk   23 622½ (gibson vince)RADKE K 121 1.60 20% 4.10 1.60  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHANCE ENCOUNTER by MASS MEDIA)
 
EMD-8   08/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPANY'S DREAM 1 4 12 11½   12 11½ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 6.00 29% 2.50 4.60 W
5  ITS KRAKEN TIME 5 1 22 21½   22 21½ (wisdom anne)RADKE K 119 4.50 9% 9.90 3.70 P
7  NAVAL ESCORT 7 7 810¾ 75½   55 33¼ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.00 33% 2.00 2.80 S
8  LUCKY CODE 8 2 43 31½   32½ 44 (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00 27.30  
3  DIVERSIFUL 3 5 54½ 42   42½ 55 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 15.00 7.50  
4  MIDNIGHT MOJO 4 6 64¾ 64½   66 67 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 123 2.50 7% 13.30 3.10  
2  RHODESIA 2 8 79¾ 86   78 77½ (soranno jill)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 8.70  
6  OWHATARUSH 6 3 33 53   810 818½ (wisdom anne)ZUNINO L 119 5.00 20.40  
 
EMD-9   08/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST WA Cup Juvenile Filly Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:121     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SPECIAL DIVA 10 1 31 1nk   11 12¾ (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 120 5.00 8.50  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
3  NEISSA 3 6 2nk 2nk   21 22¾ (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 120 1.80 41% 1.50 0.60 P
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of AMONG THE STARS by AFLEETKNOWSASECRET)
8  COASTAL GIRL 8 2 54 44¼   34 35¾ (bullock steve)RADKE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.10 S
  (by COAST GUARD out of MS MOSCOW MATTIE by MATTY G)
4  SHE'S A KRAKEN 4 5 1nk 3.2   44 48¾ (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 6.20  
  (by NATIONHOOD out of DEJA VIEWS by FOREST CAMP)
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN 2 8 42½ 77¾   56 514 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 3.50 21% 3.80 7.10  
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of FREE OF HEART by FREE AT LAST (GB))
6  BETTY LUTE 6 3 64¼ 55¾   67½ 618½ (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00 12% 7.40 13.60  
  (by LUTES GIFT out of REMEMBERING ANGELA by BERTRANDO)
9  ALWAYS GALLANT 9 10 1012¼ 912¾   810½ 719¼ (martinez b)ZUNINO L 118 20.00 76.50  
  (by GALLANT SON out of BULLYSIMA by HOLY BULL)
5  LUTES SEA GYPSY 5 7 75¼ 66¾   79½ 823 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 120 10.00 5% 17.30 15.20  
  (by LUTES GIFT out of SEADRIFTER by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  JEWELED AGAIN 7 4 89¼ 812¾   911½ 924¾ (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 118 20.00 87.30  
  (by PONTIFF out of LIVE LIKE MIKE by DEMON WARLOCK)
1  FLYING COURAGE 1 9 910¼ 1013¾   1013½ 1028¾ (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 118 30.00 89.70  
  (by COAST GUARD out of LADY YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
 
EMD-10   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BAILS HIM OUT 2 2 1½ 1nk   11½ 12¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 51% 1.00 0.60 W
6  SMILING PREACHER 6 5 51¾ 31½   21½ 22¾ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 14% 6.10 4.00 P
5  BRANNIGAN 5 1 2½ 2nk   32 37¼ (perez hilario)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 11% 8.00 8.60 S
7  PEDAL TO THE METAL 7 3 63¼ 65   64½ 49 (boyd preston)RADKE K 125 5.00 5.00  
8  MOON TIME 8 4 74¼ 53½   43½ 510¼ (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 19.10  
3  FIRST ENDEAVOR 3 6 31½ 42½   53½ 610½ (belvoir howard)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00 39.90  
1  MR ZED 1 7 84¼ 76   79½ 722½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 20.00 48.40  
4  ELUSIVE GOLD 4 8 41½ 86¼   821½ 857 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 20.00 47.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.