The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-4   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
    Exacta (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4-3 2 1 $10.40 $10.40 6.40
ARP-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 6.00
    Exacta (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $41.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-2-1 3 0 $160.60 -12.00
ARP-6   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
    Exacta (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 0 $36.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3-5 3 0 $66.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(5/2/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 4-4-6 3 0 $79.60 -36.00
ARP-7   Win (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1 2 1 $65.80 $65.80 41.80
    Trifecta (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-1-9 3 0 $420.60 -48.00
    Pick Three (3/4/1)-(5/2/7)-(2/3/7/1) 36 $2.00 $72.00 4-6-2 3 0 $61.60 -72.00
ARP-8   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.80 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 0 $33.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3-2 3 0 $61.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (5/2/7)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/4/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 6-2-6 3 0 $46.80 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-4   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:221 :46 :59     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YEARS LOVE 3 2 2nk 2½   11½ (jenkins l)WALES T 124 8.00 11% 8.20 1.90 W
LIL MISS DE BUY 2 3 4 4   32½ (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 3.50 54% 0.90 0.80 P
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 4 1 1nk 1½   237 (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 3.10  
AFLEET OKIE 5 5 56 58   54(hibdon n)LULL E 124 4.50 15.30  
SEGOVIANA 1 4 3 3   46 511¾ (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 6.00 17.40  
SCR  FLAN               (young a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:231 :482 1:022     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CREEK FIRE 4 5 6 31   3.2 13 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 16% 5.40 5.00 W
ATHENIAN PRINCESS 2 2 11 2nk   2nk 23 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 4.50 5.30  
CORY LOVES RAIN 1 6 4 1nk   1nk 33 (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 14% 5.90 1.00 S
ISLAND BEAUTY 3 1 31 5   54(ortega joe)LULL E 120 2.50 46% 1.20 2.70  
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 6 4 5 4   45(hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 20.00 13.90  
PIZZA GIRL 5 3 21 6   6613¾ (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 117 8.00 11.30  
 
ARP-6   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY EVELYN 6 2 12 15   14 1(barraza s)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 1.20  
HOT LIL MESS 3 3 4 4   24 2(megariz micha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 14.30  
PROMPTLY DONE 5 4 33 35   34 3(rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 5.00 38% 1.60 1.50 S
DIVA'S DIVA 1 7 66 5   54(haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 14.50  
REMARKABLE CHARM 2 6 7 68   67 511½ (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 19% 4.20 4.50  
MY MEADOW 7 1 22 25   45 615¾ (hall monk)LULL E 121 15.00 13% 6.60 20.40  
KALLINIKI 4 5 54 79   713 733½ (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 19.70  
 
ARP-7   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:234 :47 1:131     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER'S BOY 2 4 5 4   1nk 1½ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.70 W
TIGER THE MAN 1 5 6 6   52½ (young a)WALES T 124 12.00 8% 10.80 14.80 P
MY PAL 8 3 3½ 31   4¾ 32 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 11.50  
RANDOM AFFAIR 7 2 1nk 2nk   3.2 4(burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 9.20  
ARIMONY 6 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 5(torres-casas a)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.50 9% 10.10 12.80  
MASTERPIECE DAY 5 8 4 5   6618½ (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00 35.20  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 3 6 8 8   811¾ 729 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16% 5.30 0.90  
GIMME SPACE 4 7 7 7   711¼ 834¾ (childs g)LUARK T 124 10.00 37.50  
SCR  RANCHER               (esquibel mark)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
 
ARP-8   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:232 :47 1:13     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK A LANE FRANK 6 1 21 2½   1½ 1(christian billy)LULL E 124 2.50 2.40  
PRINCE OTTO 3 3 11 1½   2½ 2(esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 4.50 12% 7.40 4.00 P
FRISCO KID 2 2 54 56   33 35 (villamar candelario)WALES T 124 3.50 42% 1.40 1.80 S
FRIENDLY FOE 1 5 44 45   5413¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 3.60  
RED WES 4 4 3 3   4518¾ (chavez juan)RAMEY CASH 116 8.00 15% 5.50 6.50  
RI' PIN SNAP 5 6 614 616   612½ 622¼ (diaz luis)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00 21.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.