Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(5/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/2/7)-(2/3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-8   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-4   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAN Jul08 Jun18 May19 Sep20 Sep06 (young a)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
2  SEGOVIANA Aug20 Jun18 May05 Apr28 Apr14 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 6.00    
3  LIL MISS DE BUY Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Oct03 Sep27 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
4  NEW YEARS LOVE Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Apr30 (jenkins l)WALES T 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
5  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 Jun17 May07 (moreno carlos)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
6  AFLEET OKIE Jun17 Jun04 Apr14 Mar17 Feb24 (hibdon n)LULL E 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORY LOVES RAIN Aug13         (gleason m)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 14% 5.90    
2  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (hibdon n)LUARK T 124 4.50    
3  ISLAND BEAUTY Aug26 Aug12 Jun24 Jan03 Dec15 (ortega joe)LULL E 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  BIG CREEK FIRE Aug19 Jul23 Jul09     (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  PIZZA GIRL Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 May14 Apr21 (burns dale)GONZALEZ PEDRO 117 8.00    
6  KINSLEYS SWEET PEA Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 20.00    
 
ARP-6   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA'S DIVA Aug07 Jul17 Jun24 May19 Apr30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
2  REMARKABLE CHARM Aug07 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr22 (roberts m)WALES T 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
3  HOT LIL MESS Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 Apr09 Mar05 (megariz mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
4  KALLINIKI Aug27 Jul22 Jul10 Dec19 Nov30 (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
5  PROMPTLY DONE Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 Apr29 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
6  NAUGHTY EVELYN Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 Apr24 Apr10 (barraza rafael)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
7  MY MEADOW Aug21 Jul30 Jul08 Sep25 Sep12 (hall monk)LULL E 121 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
ARP-7   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER THE MAN Aug05 Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 May20 (young a)WALES T 124 12.00 8% 10.80    
2  PAYNTER'S BOY Aug14 Sep19 Aug08 Aug01 Jul23 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  GOOSE DRANK WINE Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 May20 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  GIMME SPACE Aug13 Jul23 Apr15 Apr07 Mar17 (childs russell)LUARK T 124 10.00    
SCR  RANCHER Aug13 Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
6  MASTERPIECE DAY Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 May20 (muckey john)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
7  ARIMONY Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 (torres-casas)JOURNET JARRED 124 4.50 9% 10.10    
8  RANDOM AFFAIR Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Apr15 Apr07 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
9  MY PAL Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 Jul02 Dec19 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50    
 
ARP-8   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY FOE Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
2  FRISCO KID Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 (villamar candelario)WALES T 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
3  PRINCE OTTO Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Feb06 Jan24 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  RED WES Aug07 Jul31 Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 (chavez juan)RAMEY CASH 116 8.00 15% 5.50    
5  RI' PIN SNAP Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Dec19 Nov30 (diaz luis)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 20.00    
6  PICK A LANE FRANK Aug07 Jul31 Jul15 Dec13 Nov09 (christian billy)LULL E 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.