The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (6/8/11/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $19.60 -10.00
DED-2   Win (10/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
DED-3   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
DED-4   Win (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.80 -8.00
DED-5   Win (5/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $17.40 -8.00
DED-6   Win (6/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
DED-7   Win (8/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
DED-8   Win (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
DED-9   Win (9/7/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -7.20

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:242 :49 1:141 1:404   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT LE ROY 2 1 4 21 2½ 1½ 1(larrosa juan )MELANCON JANSEN 114 8.00 8.80  
SPHEROID 8 2 2nk 31 3½ 2½ 2(alberto antonio)VARGAS P 117 15.00 5% 19.00 16.70 P
MIAS MOONBEAM 1 3 7 83 8 43(larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 5% 19.00 4.00 S
10  COOL INDIVIDUAL 9 7 6 7 6 55 4(landry r)MAGNON H 114 10.00 6.70  
SERMONONTHEMOUNT 5 9 83 6 5 656 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 30% 2.30 2.80  
HARD TO DENY 7 10 3.2 11 1½ 366 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50 29% 2.40 2.60  
DEALIN' STELEN 4 8 104 96 9 77(toups brent)STOKES A 117 20.00 56.20  
NATE'S REVENGE 3 4 1nk 5 4 8810¾ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 14.40  
TEMPRANO 6 5 94 10 10 10914 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 20.00 85.40  
11  BIG MONEY MACHINE 10 6 5 4 7 91015½ (gonzalez)RUIZ GARCIA 117 4.00 12% 7.30 9.80  
SCR  PINCH ASSAULT               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50    
 
DED-2   10/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
:222 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LAGOON 10 1 11 13   15 1(ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 117 2.50 63% 0.60 0.30 W
AUX ARCS 4 5 42 23   25 2(borel renay)BOREL H 117 3.50 8% 11.50 6.40 P
LIBERTY'S HAULER 5 7 9 87   510½ 39 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 14.00 S
WHEELS 6 9 7 6   410 410¼ (martin kev)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
TRIPLE RED ACES 2 6 31 34   38 513 (landry r)MAGNON H 114 4.00 8% 11.20 14.80  
PATIO'S PORCH 7 3 5 4   610½ 615¼ (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 20.00 53.50  
VALDINA DREAMS 1 8 6 7   710¾ 715½ (payne w)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 15.00 62.90  
NINETEEN HUNDRED 3 4 21 5   812¾ 818¾ (guillory jr)POMPELL L 120 15.00 35.10  
WICKED TOUGH 9 2 85 99   914¾ 919¼ (west henry)STOKES A 117 20.00 ######  
BORDEAUX RED 8 10 10 1010   1016¾ 1023¾ (brinkman brett)MELANCON G 117 6.00 8.90  
SCR  DIRECTIONAL               (villafranco )ALBERT S 112 20.00    
SCR  THE BOYZ PRIORITY               (ward ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 15.00    
 
DED-3   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
:234 :474 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVIA G 3 2 2nk 2½   11(west g)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 58% 0.70 1.20 W
LUYV 2 1 1nk 1½   22(goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 52.80  
FLAWLESS TAKEOVER 7 3 5 3   33(brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 8.00 25.40  
SWEET ALEXIS 8 7 3½ 43   44(devereux patric)VARGAS P 120 5.00 2.50  
LAWLESS TIMES 4 8 8 55   55(calhoun willi)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 3.80  
LIGHTENING MO 5 10 9 76   6611½ (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 18% 4.50 8.80  
TAP IRON FIST 6 5 10 9   710½ 712¼ (castille carr)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 28.30  
10  CRAFTROOM 10 9 7 6   811 818½ (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 15.10  
SPOOKY GUITAR 1 4 6 1011½   921 946¼ (latour nicho)BATISTA X 120 20.00 5% 19.00 78.20  
JAX'S STARRY BRIDE 9 6 4¾ 89   1023 1052½ (averett r)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 ######  
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE               (zeno ben)RUIZ GARCIA 123 30.00    
SCR  SPARKLE CITY               (zeno benjamin)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
 
DED-4   10/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
:224 :47       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ADEAU 1 8 4 3   22 1¼ (breaux sam)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 6.00 5.40  
OUR CUSTOM DARLING 3 6 1½ 1½   12 2¼ (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00 6% 15.60 13.10 P
AGGIE DOCTOR 5 5 3½ 2½   33 32 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 5.00 25% 3.10 3.20 S
TWN MS MIDSHIP 2 7 84 8   67 43 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 117 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
BARRANCA 8 2 5 4   45 55 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 117 6.00 42% 1.40 3.60  
MYDEALOFTHEDAY 6 9 95 9   88 65 (constanti)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00 10.00 DH
CRYPTO BRAVE 7 3 72 7   56 65 (zenon shelton)MELANCON JANSEN 117 3.50 5.40 DH
TARGET VISION 4 4 2½ 63   7811½ (schwandt emil)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 11.70  
JANISTHEBEAUTY 9 1 6 53   910 916½ (terre david)ALBERT S 117 15.00 9.20  
 
DED-5   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
:234 :472 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN QUALITY 5 3 3 32   2½ 1¾ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 7.70  
RUNTODAY 4 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2¾ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 46% 1.20 1.00 P
SHUT UP MAN 6 4 2nk 2½   3½ 3(arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
ZULTAN 7 5 4 4   44(modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 21% 3.70 6.40  
SMART ANALYSIS 2 6 9 8   55(latour nicholas)VARGAS P 114 15.00 33.30  
IT'S A BIRD 1 1 8 7   7610¾ (ali anc)EDISON JOCELYN 109 6.00 27.70  
10  OXXON 8 9 7 9   910¾ 713 (nelson r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00 6.40  
11  UNCLE BRAD 9 8 5 5   8813½ (ward ron)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 12.80  
MUSTAFA 3 7 6 6   6913¾ (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 7% 12.70 10.50  
SCR  BIG ACE               (richard r)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 15.00    
SCR  KURT'S CHOICE               (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 4.00    
SCR  PITALE               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.00    
 
DED-6   10/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
:223 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEVA 6 1 4¾ 2nk   21 1½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 117 2.50 26% 2.80 2.10 W
IN THE ARCH 7 7 7 7   53 2½ (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 117 8.00 20% 4.00 1.80 P
MISTER K 2 2 1½ 1nk   11 3(villafranco marti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 20.00  
HAIL STATE 3 8 5 5   44(broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 7.30  
GERARD 1 5 3½ 4   32 5(arnett g)BIRZER E 114 6.00 10% 8.60 5.50  
TIZHOTNDUSTY 5 4 6 6   65 6(gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 15.80  
MORE LIKE IT 8 9 9 9   87 710¼ (cormier houston)POMPELL L 117 20.00 ######  
HURTS SO BAD 4 3 2½ 3.2   76 810¼ (clay pat)ALBERT S 112 10.00 8.70  
MOTATAABEQ 9 6 84 8   99 910¾ (escobar aliso)MORALES ROBERTO 117 5.00 14% 6.00 17.20  
 
DED-7   10/19/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
1:332         1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE HORSESHOE 8 5 2nk 1nk   13 1(broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.50 27% 2.80 1.10 W
LORRAINE'S LEGACY 1 7 8 7   34 2(clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 114 3.50 19% 4.30 14.10 P
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE 4 3 6 5   23 3(segura kearne)MELANCON JANSEN 117 8.00 18% 4.50 3.20 S
CAVE CREEK 5 4 1nk 2nk   4410¾ (dussette alv)ALBERT S 112 12.00 24.90  
WATERS OF MEROM 6 6 5 6   6516¼ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 3.00  
TEASE ME NOT 7 8 4 32   5616¾ (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 114 6.00 16% 5.30 15.00  
RIOBELLA 3 2 7 8   812 719 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 114 6.00 22.00  
MISS LONELYHEARTS 2 1 3.2 4   710 819¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 10.00 20.60  
 
DED-8   10/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
:222 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICHELLES LIL STAR 7 3 21 2½   2nk 1hd (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 61% 0.60 2.20 W
BLESSED ASSURANCE 2 7 7 7   42hd (dison mar)POMPELL L 114 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
MISS PRIORITY 5 1 11 1½   1nk 31 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 117 8.00 9% 9.90 3.10 S
CUTE DINERO QUEEN 8 2 3 3   33 42 (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 10.00 8.20  
THAT'S MY MAMA 3 6 5 4   55(noel dane)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 5.70  
CATCAKE 6 5 63 63   667 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 3.50 10.60  
LUMINOUS FLIGHT 4 4 4 53   779 (west henry)STOKES A 114 20.00 33.80  
SERIOUSLY SAM 1 8 86 8   810¾ 814½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00 7.40  
SCR  SWEET VIDALIA               (bryant george )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
 
DED-9   10/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
:224 :473       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN AWAY SAMARI 9 2 4 4¼   11 15 (woodley j)THORNTON G 117 2.00 55% 0.80 0.40 W
JENNYSBIGBABY 4 5 3.2 3.2   21 25 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 8% 11.20 5.70 P
E R'S MIREYA 7 1 1nk 1nk   32 3(ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 5.00 11% 8.40 4.40 S
FLYING I 1 8 5 5   54(west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 5.00 25.30  
GRACE'S VISION 8 6 8 8   65(daigle walter)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00 86.90  
WHEELS LIKE NALA 2 10 9 9   769 (de al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 5% 18.20 16.70  
SHARE THE DOE 5 3 2nk 2nk   43 710½ (zenon shelto)ALBERT S 115 15.00 55.60  
10  LIL PARTY CRASHER 10 4 7 7   88 811¾ (garza e)TORRES HUGO 120 20.00 91.00  
DON'T BLINK TWICE 3 9 1010¼ 10   109 913½ (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 76.10  
MAGIC GRAY 6 7 6 6   99 1016½ (ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
SCR  SENSE OF HEART               (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
SCR  SERENA'S SERENADE               (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.