Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.60 $0.60 10%
MVR-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-4 $20.00 $8.00 67%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:121 1:263   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA SURE BET 3 6 7 611½ 35 2 1 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 25% 3.10 2.30 W
TRAMA QUEEN 4 2 21 25 2nk 1 2 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50 8.90  
RUNNETH OVER 6 3 5 511½ 59 45 311 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.10 S
LADY CAIRO 7 1 11 15 1nk 3 413¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 49% 1.00 2.10  
HEART OF THE BEAST 5 7 69 39 4 5 518¼ (mckanas j)DIAZ I 124 2.50 1.40  
BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 2 5 4 712½ 614½ 613 631¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 12.00 26.50  
CRYSTAL M 1 4 35 410½ 718½ 717 748½ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 39.30  
 
MVR-2   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M EIGHTY 2 1 2 2   2nk 1½ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.50 9.10  
  (by KLIMT out of ZO BOW by OXBOW)
SIR MASON 1 3 1 1   1nk 2½ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 0.80  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
XERXES 5 5 5 55   55 3 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 24% 3.20 4.10 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of SWEETSONGOFTHENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MR. BLUTARSKY 3 2 4 3   33 4 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.80  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
THIRTYEIGHT WISHES 4 4 3 44   44 5 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 21% 3.90 9.10  
  (by MSHAWISH out of THIRTY EIGHTH ST. by CITIDANCER (IRE))
STILL WICKED 6 6 65 611   615 628¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50 12.30  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of AWFULLY SINFUL by EL CORREDOR)
 
MVR-3   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :454       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAY BEE GEE 4 5 3½ 11   12 1¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 2.00 62% 0.60 0.80 W
LUCKY ROAD 6 1 2½ 21   22 2¼ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 26.10  
HIGH CUPPER 3 3 6 6   34 3 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 6.90  
ROSY APPLE 2 4 41 4   4 43 (mor)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 2.50 1.50  
ISLAND WINTER 5 6 5 5   6 5 (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 4.00 9% 10.20 8.50  
DE PURA SANGRE 1 2 1½ 3   5 6 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
 
MVR-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHLOES ANGEL 7 2 4 2nk   1nk 1nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 14% 6.10 2.50 W
SHEZA POP STAR 4 1 31 4¼   2nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.20 P
COWCHI 2 4 2½ 1nk   3½ 3 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 12.00  
CHECK OUT LINE 5 7 53 5   4 4 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 12% 7.70 10.60  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 3 3 75 7   6 57 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 6.10  
KISSTHECROSS 1 5 1½ 3.2   5 611¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 4.50  
PSYCHOANALYST 6 6 65 6   78 714¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 43.10  
SCR  LADY ABRIL               (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT'S AWISH 5 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 10.60  
BAREFOOT BEACH 2 5 6 5   4 2nk (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 12% 7.40 3.00 P
SUSHI Q 8 1 3½ 3.2   2nk 3 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 8% 11.70 2.10 DQ↓7
NORTHERN JOURNEY 3 8 8 6   5 42 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 19.00  
THE LAST APPLE 4 6 42 4   6 5 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
BEEBLEGEE 7 3 7 7   7 65 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 12.10  
SWEET EMPIRE 6 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 7 (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 43.00  
CONGRATS JENSEN 1 7 5 8   8 819 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 20% 4.10 7.20  
 
MVR-6   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH FRONT 6 4 21 2   2nk 1 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 14.60  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 5 1 11 1   1nk 2 (pappada)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 17.70 P
LUCKY JUNIOR 4 8 7 6   6 3 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70 S
LOCK ON 2 5 8 7   32 43 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 10.80  
BOSS BEAR 9 2 4 5   55 5 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
CALL WEST 7 9 9 9   8 6 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 10.00 14.00  
TUFF ATTACK 1 6 31 3   44 75 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5.40  
GAMBLER 8 3 6 8   9 8 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 9.30  
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 3 7 5 42   7 9 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.40 5.00  
 
MVR-7   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICIALLY YOURS 2 5 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.20 W
  (by TAPITURE out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
MISS SPRINGSTEEN 4 3 42 32   32 2 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 16.70  
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
COMPUTE THIS 1 6 31 1nk   2½ 36 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.50 36% 1.80 6.20 S
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
CURLIN PEARLS 6 2 55 4   42 410¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 6.00 17.40  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PARLAY CHARLIE 5 4 69 6   56 513½ (livers charlie)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 8.70  
  (by MR. Z out of LADY ZIEG by TOUCH GOLD)
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 3 1 2½ 5   6 622 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
SCR  ROLLIN FREEDOM               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
 
MVR-8   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINE 2 3 4 3 32 31 1¼ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 23.00  
COME SEE ABOUT IT 3 4 21 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 34% 1.90 1.00 P
THRU THE VINE 4 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 3 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 25% 3.00 6.30 S
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 6 2 63 53 64 5 4 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 126 4.50 5.20  
FRANCO (MEX) 1 7 7 7 4 4 5 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 6.00  
GLOBAL EMPIRE 5 6 3 4 5 66 610¼ (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 16.20  
MY BROTHER CAM 7 5 5 6 79 713 724½ (ray kevin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 16% 5.20 4.20  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   11/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIER ONE 9 7 7 7 53 3 1¼ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 4.80  
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 4 1 2nk 1nk 11 1 2¼ (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
JEBIP 7 8 8 6 21 2 34 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 57% 0.80 3.10 S
ANIMO ROBERTO 5 9 9 9 7 4 4 (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 12.00 17.70  
RED COMET 3 2 3 3.2 4 5 5 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 31.20  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 8 6 5 5 95 7 610½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 1.70  
SMOOCHER 1 4 6 8 6 6 713¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 8.00  
LITTLE TOY GUNS 6 5 4 4¾ 8 9 813½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 12% 7.10 8.10  
DANES HEART 2 3 1nk 2nk 3 8 916¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 30.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.