Handicappers' Race Results
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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
MVR-1   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
MVR-2   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $20.20  
MVR-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-4   Win (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
MVR-5   Win (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $23.20  
MVR-6   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $31.20  
MVR-7   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
MVR-8   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $48.00  
MVR-9   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $11.60  
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:121 1:263   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IMA SURE BET 3 6 79½ 611½ 35 21½ 11½ (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 25% 3.10 2.30 W
4  TRAMA QUEEN 4 2 21 25 2nk 11½ 21½ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 3.50 8.90  
6  RUNNETH OVER 6 3 57½ 511½ 59 45 311 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.10 S
7  LADY CAIRO 7 1 11 15 1nk 31½ 413¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 49% 1.00 2.10  
5  HEART OF THE BEAST 5 7 69 39 45½ 56½ 518¼ (mckanas j)DIAZ I 124 2.50 1.40  
2  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL 2 5 47½ 712½ 614½ 613 631¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 12.00 26.50  
1  CRYSTAL M 1 4 35 410½ 718½ 717 748½ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 39.30  
 
MVR-2   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  M EIGHTY 2 1 21½ 21½   2nk 1½ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.50 9.10  
1  SIR MASON 1 3 11½ 11½   1nk 2½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 0.80  
5  XERXES 5 5 53½ 55   55 33½ (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 24% 3.20 4.10 S
3  MR. BLUTARSKY 3 2 42½ 33½   33 44¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.80  
4  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES 4 4 32½ 44   44 55¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 21% 3.90 9.10  
6  STILL WICKED 6 6 65 611   615 628¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50 12.30  
 
MVR-3   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :454       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KAY BEE GEE 4 5 3½ 11   12 1¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 2.00 62% 0.60 0.80 W
6  LUCKY ROAD 6 1 2½ 21   22 2¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 26.10  
3  HIGH CUPPER 3 3 63½ 64¾   34 32½ (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 6.90  
2  ROSY APPLE 2 4 41 43½   44½ 43 (moral)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 2.50 1.50  
5  ISLAND WINTER 5 6 52½ 54½   66½ 56¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 4.00 9% 10.20 8.50  
1  DE PURA SANGRE 1 2 1½ 33½   55½ 69¼ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
 
MVR-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHLOES ANGEL 7 2 41½ 2nk   1nk 1nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 14% 6.10 2.50 W
4  SHEZA POP STAR 4 1 31 4¼   2nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.20 P
2  COWCHI 2 4 2½ 1nk   3½ 32½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 12.00  
6  CHECK OUT LINE 5 7 53 51¾   42½ 44¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 12% 7.70 10.60  
3  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 3 3 75 75¼   66½ 57 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 6.10  
1  KISSTHECROSS 1 5 1½ 3.2   54½ 611¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 4.50  
7  PSYCHOANALYST 6 6 65 64¾   78 714¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 43.10  
SCR  LADY ABRIL               (papp)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH 5 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 10.60  
2  BAREFOOT BEACH 2 5 62¾ 54¼   42¼ 2nk (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 12% 7.40 3.00 P
8  SUSHI Q 8 1 3½ 3.2   2nk 31¾ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 8% 11.70 2.10 DQ↓7
3  NORTHERN JOURNEY 3 8 84¼ 65¼   52¼ 42 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 19.00  
4  THE LAST APPLE 4 6 42 43¾   62¾ 52¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
7  BEEBLEGEE 7 3 73¼ 76¾   75¼ 65 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 12.10  
6  SWEET EMPIRE 6 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 75¼ (rone mike)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 43.00  
1  CONGRATS JENSEN 1 7 52¼ 87¼   89¼ 819 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 20% 4.10 7.20  
 
MVR-6   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEACH FRONT 6 4 21 21½   2nk 11¾ (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 14.60  
5  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 5 1 11 11½   1nk 21¾ (pappada j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 ★ 17.70 P
4  LUCKY JUNIOR 4 8 73¼ 62¾   65¼ 32¾ (poole c)BRACHO A 124 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70 S
2  LOCK ON 2 5 83¾ 73¼   32 43 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 10.80  
9  BOSS BEAR 9 2 41½ 52¼   55 53¼ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
7  CALL WEST 7 9 97¾ 95¼   87¼ 64¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 10.00 14.00  
1  TUFF ATTACK 1 6 31 31½   44 75 (romero a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5.40  
8  GAMBLER 8 3 63¼ 84¾   98¼ 87¾ (cline c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 9.30  
3  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 3 7 51¾ 42   75¾ 97¾ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.40 5.00  
 
MVR-7   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OFFICIALLY YOURS 2 5 1½ 2nk   1½ 15½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.20 W
5  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 4 3 42 32   32 25½ (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 16.70  
1  COMPUTE THIS 1 6 31 1nk   2½ 36 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.50 36% 1.80 6.20 S
7  CURLIN PEARLS 6 2 55 42½   42 410¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 6.00 17.40  
6  PARLAY CHARLIE 5 4 69 66¾   56 513½ (livers charlie)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 8.70  
4  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 3 1 2½ 52¾   66¼ 622 (cowans william )BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCR  ROLLIN FREEDOM               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00    
 
MVR-8   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CUGINE 2 3 42½ 31½ 32 31 1¼ (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 23.00  
4  COME SEE ABOUT IT 3 4 21 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 34% 1.90 1.00 P
5  THRU THE VINE 4 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 31¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 25% 3.00 6.30 S
7  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 6 2 63 53 64 53½ 43¼ (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 126 4.50 5.20  
1  FRANCO (MEX) 1 7 75½ 74½ 42½ 41½ 53¾ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 6.00  
6  GLOBAL EMPIRE 5 6 31½ 41½ 53½ 66 610¼ (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 126 5.00 16.20  
8  MY BROTHER CAM 7 5 52½ 63½ 79 713 724½ (ray kevin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 16% 5.20 4.20  
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   11/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TIER ONE 9 7 75¼ 73¼ 53 31½ 1¼ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 ★ 4.80  
4  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 4 1 2nk 1nk 11 11½ 2¼ (tumblin a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
7  JEBIP 7 8 86¾ 62¼ 21 21½ 34 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 57% 0.80 3.10 S
5  ANIMO ROBERTO 5 9 97¼ 96½ 74¾ 43½ 46¾ (tumblin andrew)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 12.00 17.70  
3  RED COMET 3 2 31½ 3.2 42½ 53¾ 59½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 31.20  
8  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 8 6 52¼ 52¼ 95 74¾ 610½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 1.70  
1  SMOOCHER 1 4 64¾ 83½ 64½ 64¾ 713¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 8.00  
6  LITTLE TOY GUNS 6 5 41¾ 4¾ 84¾ 95¾ 813½ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 12% 7.10 8.10  
2  DANES HEART 2 3 1nk 2nk 32½ 85¼ 916¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 30.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.