Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(3/5/4)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(4/5/1)-(4/8/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/8/6)-(4/1/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(4/1/2/8)-(4/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/8)-(4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/8)-(4/3/9)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/5/9)-(4/3/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/9)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9)-(2/1/4)-(4/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/5/8)-(7/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-8   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-9   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/9/4)-(7/6/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTAL M Oct23 Sep16 Oct31 Oct05 Sep01 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
2  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Nov07 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul12 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 12.00    
3  IMA SURE BET Oct24 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 25% 3.10    
4  TRAMA QUEEN Oct05 Sep13 Aug07 Jun26 May25 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
5  HEART OF THE BEAST Nov07 Sep21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul01 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
6  RUNNETH OVER Nov07 Sep27 Sep15 Aug19 Jun12 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LADY CAIRO Nov15 Oct25 Sep21     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
MVR-2   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR MASON Oct27 Sep30 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
2  M EIGHTY Oct23         (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of ZO BOW by OXBOW)
3  MR. BLUTARSKY Nov07 Oct23 Sep09 Aug26   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MSHAWISH out of THIRTY EIGHTH ST. by CITIDANCER (IRE))
5  XERXES         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SWEETSONGOFTHENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  STILL WICKED Oct20 Sep08 Aug19     (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of AWFULLY SINFUL by EL CORREDOR)
 
MVR-3   11/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DE PURA SANGRE Oct15 Oct01 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSY APPLE Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 Sep02 Aug09 (mor)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 2.50    
3  HIGH CUPPER Nov13 Nov01 Oct12 Sep19 Sep07 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 126 3.50    
4  KAY BEE GEE Nov09 Oct11 Feb16 Jan09 Dec19 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 2.00 62% 0.60    
5  ISLAND WINTER Nov12 Oct25 Oct04 Aug29 Jul24 (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 4.00 9% 10.20    
6  LUCKY ROAD Oct05 Sep11 Feb01 Dec20 Nov29 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSTHECROSS Nov01 Oct09 Feb08 Jan04 Nov19 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
2  COWCHI Nov20 Oct12 Jun15 May22 May10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
3  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Nov01 Sep26 Aug30 Aug10 Jul14 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00    
4  SHEZA POP STAR Nov01 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 Jul24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  LADY ABRIL Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Sep26 Sep06 (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
6  CHECK OUT LINE Nov01 Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 Jul17 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 12% 7.70    
7  PSYCHOANALYST Nov01 Oct10 May17 Oct12 Jun28 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
8  CHLOES ANGEL Nov01 Oct10 Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
MVR-5   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN Sep30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul17 Jun24 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  BAREFOOT BEACH Sep28 Sep07 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
3  NORTHERN JOURNEY Nov01 Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 Jul17 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
4  THE LAST APPLE Nov01 Sep30 Aug09 Jul22 Jun17 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH Sep28 May24 May03 Apr13 Dec30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
6  SWEET EMPIRE Nov09 Oct04 Aug22 Aug08 Jun26 (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
7  BEEBLEGEE Oct28 Sep30 Aug30 Aug23 Jul14 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
8  SUSHI Q May10 Apr26 Mar16 Feb28 Feb06 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
 
MVR-6   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUFF ATTACK Oct13 Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
2  LOCK ON Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep07 Aug09 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
3  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Oct25 Oct03 Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
4  LUCKY JUNIOR Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 Aug09 Jul25 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Oct11 Sep27 Aug16 Jul10 Jun14 (pappada)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 ★    
6  BEACH FRONT Sep16 Aug23 Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
7  CALL WEST Nov15 Nov06 Oct21 Sep28 Aug30 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 10.00    
8  GAMBLER Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug15 Aug02 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
9  BOSS BEAR Oct31 Oct04 Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTE THIS Oct30 Oct11       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
2  OFFICIALLY YOURS Nov14         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
SCR  ROLLIN FREEDOM         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
4  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Oct30 Sep27 Aug30     (cowans willia)BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
5  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Nov14 Oct30 Sep25 Aug12 Aug01 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  PARLAY CHARLIE Oct16 Aug30 Aug12 Aug01 Jun29 (livers charlie)PAUCAR E 122 4.00    
  (by MR. Z out of LADY ZIEG by TOUCH GOLD)
7  CURLIN PEARLS Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 Aug15   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 6.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
MVR-8   11/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANCO (MEX) Oct31 Oct02 Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  RAISON KARTER Nov10 Sep20 Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
3  CUGINE Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 Aug01 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
4  COME SEE ABOUT IT Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 Jun24 May17 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  THRU THE VINE Nov01 Aug29 Jul24 Jul12 Jun21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  GLOBAL EMPIRE Nov04 Oct17 Oct03 Aug30 Aug16 (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 126 5.00    
7  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Nov06 Sep03 Aug27 Jul15 Jun25 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 126 4.50    
8  MY BROTHER CAM Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 (ray kevin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-9   11/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOCHER Oct30 Aug10 Jul22 May11 Mar14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
2  DANES HEART Oct30 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Jul27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00    
3  RED COMET Nov15 Nov08 Oct30 Oct21 Oct05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
4  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Nov14 Oct30 Sep30 Aug01 Jun02 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANIMO ROBERTO Oct30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul22 (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 12.00    
6  LITTLE TOY GUNS Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 Jul04 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
7  JEBIP Oct30 Sep11 Apr13 Apr03 Feb28 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 57% 0.80    
8  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 Aug30 Jul27 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
9  TIER ONE Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Aug23 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.