Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-2   EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $23.20 $11.20 93%
MVR-5   TRI (7/6/10)-(7/6/1/5/10)-(7/6/1/5/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-6-1 $26.25 $8.25 46%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE RICH KITTEN 9 3 3 2nk   2nk 1nk (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 3.80  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
MOBIL MEMORY 1 7 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 48% 1.10 1.20 P
  (by MOBIL out of MYGIRLFRIDAY by LUNARPAL)
CANELA FINA 2 5 43 3   34 38 (dubie k)PILARES P 123 3.00 26% 2.90 2.60 S
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
MOST ADORABLE 6 8 53 42   46 413½ (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 11.50  
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
SISSY'S MAY 4 10 9 910¼   711¼ 517¼ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 3.50 9.40  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 3 6 6 6   610¼ 618 (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 33.90  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
SHE'S A BIG GIRL 7 9 8 79   510 720 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 27.10  
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of GONDOLE by AFLEET ALEX)
MOTOWN HARBOR 5 4 1010¼ 1012¼   913¼ 826 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 80.40  
  (by MOBIL out of SEAMAN HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
CABARET FLEUR 8 2 2½ 5   811¾ 929¼ (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 20.00 74.00  
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
10  BOLD NICKY 10 1 7 810   1014¾ 1033 (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 38.50  
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
 
MVR-2   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:31
See original race card.
:224 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM 4 1 2 2nk   11 1 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 14% 6.20 1.20 W
  (by MITOLE out of HONEY GRAEME by GRAEME HALL)
KACHOW 2 2 1 1nk   21 2 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 2.50 63% 0.60 3.90 P
  (by FAST ANNA out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
QUALIFICATA 3 6 32 3.2   31 3 (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 5.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MAGIC APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
KATERYNA 6 5 6 6   43 45 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 7.50  
  (by BUCCHERO out of CLASSY CITY LADY by CARSON CITY)
SHE'S WICKED 5 3 5 4   5 5 (walden willia)BRACHO A 122 4.50 2.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WICKED CHARM by GHOSTZAPPER)
BIG R. NAUFFAL 1 4 4 5   6 66 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
  (by LAOBAN out of LOOKSGOODFROMHERE by FREUD)
 
MVR-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSH'N 3 3 4 4   21 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 5.20  
STARS N SPACE 6 1 1nk 1   11 2 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 3.00 8% 10.80 2.20 P
MIXTER JENSEN 5 2 3.2 2   32 3 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 6.60  
IMA BELIEVER 8 8 9 8   68 410¼ (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 24.60  
AWESOMELY INSPIRED 9 4 2nk 3   44 510½ (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 21% 3.80 4.40  
TEQUILA FLATS 2 7 5 5   5 613½ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00 20.30  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 4 5 6 65   79 713½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 45% 1.20 4.10  
RED COMET 7 9 8 910¼   912½ 815¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
DANCE MOVES 1 6 7 79   812½ 917¾ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 37.90  
 
MVR-4   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSCIUSZKO 7 1 11 1   12 15 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 40% 1.50 0.80 W
BROADWAY JONES 6 2 31 2   22 25 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 126 8.00 9.30  
MAXIMIZER 2 5 21 3   3 37 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 12% 7.50 7.60 S
CALL WEST 5 6 6 6   5 48 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 2.00 23% 3.40 3.20  
KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 3 4 7 7   4 5 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 5.20  
DUEL FUEL 1 7 54 57   7 611¾ (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00 24.80  
POWER SONG 4 3 4 45   66 715½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 24.00  
 
MVR-5   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE PRINCESS 6 9 6 4   2nk 1 (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.00 54% 0.80 0.40 W
NEAR PERFECT 5 3 4 22   33 2 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 8.00 17% 4.90 17.00 P
ANCHORWOMAN 1 4 2nk 12   1nk 37 (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00 6.50  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 9 2 3 5   4 4 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 21.60  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 2 8 7 6   55 510 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 6.00 13.20  
I'M LEGIT 3 10 1011¾ 1011¼   9 611½ (melancon paul)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 23.90  
SERGER 4 5 5 7   7 713 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 121 4.50 6.20  
1A  STEALTH MODE 7 6 8 8   8 813¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00 6.50  
10  FACTISIMFLASHY 10 1 1nk 32   67 920½ (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
COSTUME JEWELRY 8 7 9 9   1014¼ 1032 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 64.90  
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE               (anderson sus)HALDAR J 121 15.00    
 
MVR-6   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU CLASSIC 6 1 31 43   4 1¼ (brown gle)HERNANDEZ H 124 15.00 37.10  
TIME HEIST 3 4 4 3   2nk 2¼ (watkin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 15% 5.50 2.50 P
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 1 3 11 11   1nk 3½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 12% 7.20 5.60 S
GEHRIG 7 2 21 21   3 43 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 41% 1.40 2.50  
K P SILVER BULLET 8 7 6 6   7 5 (jackson r)RIVERA R 124 6.00 9% 9.50 3.90  
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 8 7 7   6 64 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 5.10  
MAKING ME CRAZY 5 6 5 5   5 7 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 13.00  
NO COMMISSION 2 5 8 8   8 812¼ (figueroa ces)AYALA J 124 12.00 19.30  
 
MVR-7   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLIE RULER 5 1 22 2nk   1nk 1½ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00 9.20  
LATER DAYS 6 2 12 1nk   2nk 2½ (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 62% 0.60 0.40 P
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 1 6 6 6   4 3 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 3.50 6% 15.90 4.60 S
SUPORB 3 4 3 3½   3 4 (hernandez)CORREA L 124 8.00 14.30  
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 2 5 54 41   5 5 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 13.30  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 4 3 4 5   6 6 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 6.00  
SCR  CAROL'S ROYALTY               (romero jose )ROSARIO L 126 5.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  DREAM MUSIC               (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAT TRAX 1 7 3 2½   22 1¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 3.00 14% 6.10 2.10 W
DOLCE MARIE 4 4 1 1½   12 2¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 3.50 24% 3.10 1.80 P
RATATAT 6 5 4 5   3 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.50 41% 1.40 2.30 S
MANDOLIN BREEZE 8 1 6 4   4 4 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 8.50  
MY TWO JAKES 2 6 5 32   5 5 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 14.70  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 7 2 7 7   7 6 (romero a)BARBARAN ERIK 121 15.00 40.30  
HALO EFFECT 5 3 2 64   6 710½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
DESDEMONA KAY 3 8 810¼ 8   8 812¾ (riley barbara)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 15.00 51.50  
SCR  SWEETER THAN HONEY               (figueroa ces)CRUZ JUAN 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.