Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $9.60  
MVR-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
MVR-3   Win (4/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $12.40  
MVR-4   Win (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-5   Win (7/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
MVR-6   Win (7/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $76.20  
MVR-7   Win (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $20.40  
MVR-8   Win (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE RICH KITTEN 9 3 3 2nk   2nk 1nk (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 3.80  
MOBIL MEMORY 1 7 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 48% 1.10 1.20 P
CANELA FINA 2 5 43 3   34 38 (dubie kat)PILARES P 123 3.00 26% 2.90 2.60 S
MOST ADORABLE 6 8 53 42   46 413½ (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 11.50  
SISSY'S MAY 4 10 9 910¼   711¼ 517¼ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 126 3.50 9.40  
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 3 6 6 6   610¼ 618 (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 33.90  
SHE'S A BIG GIRL 7 9 8 79   510 720 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 27.10  
MOTOWN HARBOR 5 4 1010¼ 1012¼   913¼ 826 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 80.40  
CABARET FLEUR 8 2 2½ 5   811¾ 929¼ (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 20.00 74.00  
10  BOLD NICKY 10 1 7 810   1014¾ 1033 (maddox rachael)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 38.50  
 
MVR-2   10/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:31
See original race card.
:224 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM 4 1 2 2nk   11 1 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 14% 6.20 1.20 W
KACHOW 2 2 1 1nk   21 2 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 2.50 63% 0.60 3.90 P
QUALIFICATA 3 6 32 3.2   31 3 (gutierrez fau)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 5.70  
KATERYNA 6 5 6 6   43 45 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 7.50  
SHE'S WICKED 5 3 5 4   5 5 (walden william)BRACHO A 122 4.50 2.80  
BIG R. NAUFFAL 1 4 4 5   6 66 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
 
MVR-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSH'N 3 3 4 4   21 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 5.20  
STARS N SPACE 6 1 1nk 1   11 2 (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 124 3.00 8% 10.80 2.20 P
MIXTER JENSEN 5 2 3.2 2   32 3 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 6.60  
IMA BELIEVER 8 8 9 8   68 410¼ (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 24.60  
AWESOMELY INSPIRED 9 4 2nk 3   44 510½ (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 21% 3.80 4.40  
TEQUILA FLATS 2 7 5 5   5 613½ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00 20.30  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 4 5 6 65   79 713½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 45% 1.20 4.10  
RED COMET 7 9 8 910¼   912½ 815¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
DANCE MOVES 1 6 7 79   812½ 917¾ (haeh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 37.90  
 
MVR-4   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSCIUSZKO 7 1 11 1   12 15 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 40% 1.50 0.80 W
BROADWAY JONES 6 2 31 2   22 25 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 126 8.00 9.30  
MAXIMIZER 2 5 21 3   3 37 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 12% 7.50 7.60 S
CALL WEST 5 6 6 6   5 48 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 2.00 23% 3.40 3.20  
KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 3 4 7 7   4 5 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 5.20  
DUEL FUEL 1 7 54 57   7 611¾ (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00 24.80  
POWER SONG 4 3 4 45   66 715½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 24.00  
 
MVR-5   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE PRINCESS 6 9 6 4   2nk 1 (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.00 54% 0.80 0.40 W
NEAR PERFECT 5 3 4 22   33 2 (gorham m)DIAZ I 121 8.00 17% 4.90 17.00 P
ANCHORWOMAN 1 4 2nk 12   1nk 37 (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00 6.50  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 9 2 3 5   4 4 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 21.60  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 2 8 7 6   55 510 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 6.00 13.20  
I'M LEGIT 3 10 1011¾ 1011¼   9 611½ (melancon paul)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 23.90  
SERGER 4 5 5 7   7 713 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 121 4.50 6.20  
1A  STEALTH MODE 7 6 8 8   8 813¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00 6.50  
10  FACTISIMFLASHY 10 1 1nk 32   67 920½ (antonuik jerry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
COSTUME JEWELRY 8 7 9 9   1014¼ 1032 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 64.90  
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE               (anderson susan)HALDAR J 121 15.00    
 
MVR-6   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU CLASSIC 6 1 31 43   4 1¼ (brown glenr)HERNANDEZ H 124 15.00 37.10  
TIME HEIST 3 4 4 3   2nk 2¼ (watkins )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 15% 5.50 2.50 P
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 1 3 11 11   1nk 3½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 12% 7.20 5.60 S
GEHRIG 7 2 21 21   3 43 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 41% 1.40 2.50  
K P SILVER BULLET 8 7 6 6   7 5 (jackson r)RIVERA R 124 6.00 9% 9.50 3.90  
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 8 7 7   6 64 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 5.10  
MAKING ME CRAZY 5 6 5 5   5 7 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 13.00  
NO COMMISSION 2 5 8 8   8 812¼ (figueroa cesar)AYALA J 124 12.00 19.30  
 
MVR-7   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLIE RULER 5 1 22 2nk   1nk 1½ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00 9.20  
LATER DAYS 6 2 12 1nk   2nk 2½ (silva ju)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 62% 0.60 0.40 P
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 1 6 6 6   4 3 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 3.50 6% 15.90 4.60 S
SUPORB 3 4 3 3½   3 4 (hernandez j)CORREA L 124 8.00 14.30  
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 2 5 54 41   5 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 13.30  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 4 3 4 5   6 6 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 6.00  
SCR  CAROL'S ROYALTY               (romero a)ROSARIO L 126 5.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  DREAM MUSIC               (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAT TRAX 1 7 3 2½   22 1¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 121 3.00 14% 6.10 2.10 W
DOLCE MARIE 4 4 1 1½   12 2¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 3.50 24% 3.10 1.80 P
RATATAT 6 5 4 5   3 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.50 41% 1.40 2.30 S
MANDOLIN BREEZE 8 1 6 4   4 4 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 8.50  
MY TWO JAKES 2 6 5 32   5 5 (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 14.70  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 7 2 7 7   7 6 (romero a)BARBARAN ERIK 121 15.00 40.30  
HALO EFFECT 5 3 2 64   6 710½ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
DESDEMONA KAY 3 8 810¼ 8   8 812¾ (riley barbara)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 15.00 51.50  
SCR  SWEETER THAN HONEY               (figueroa cesar)CRUZ JUAN 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.