Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-5 $24.60 $6.60 37%
MVR-4   WIN (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $8.60 $0.60 8%
MVR-6   TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-6-5 $10.25 $7.25 242%
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $47.00 $35.00 292%
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-4 $36.80 $33.80 1127%
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $21.40 $3.40 19%
MVR-8   DD (4/2/1)-(7/9/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-9 $31.40 $13.40 74%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNICKS STORY 3 6 4 42   22 1¼ (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 123 1.20 62% 0.60 0.60 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of STORY UNTOLD by OLD FASHIONED)
MOTOWN COLLECTION 5 1 1nk 1½   12 2¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00 P
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 7 5 3.2 2½   4 3 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 13.30  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
LOCO 4 8 7 53   3 4 (hetrick krist)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 3.50  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
FINISTERE 2 9 6 6   54 56 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00 66.00  
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
QUICK QUICK WHIT 8 2 2nk 3½   6 610½ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 13% 6.50 4.60  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
TWELVE MINUS ONE 9 3 5 7   7 711¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 20.00 44.30  
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PAPA D L 1 7 9 8   811½ 814¾ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 25.90  
  (by LORD NELSON out of PHANIE SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
EL BANDIDO 6 4 8 9   912½ 915¼ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 36.20  
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KITTEN SQUARED by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  DARK BARON               (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MVR-2   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MARRO 7 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 16.90  
OL' L B 4 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 18% 4.50 7.20 P
MANNFORD 3 6 6 4   3.2 3 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.20 50% 1.00 0.30 S
ATTACK ANGLE 6 3 3 32   4 4 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 14.40  
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 5 2 53 7   5 510 (morales m)DIAZ I 124 4.00 10% 9.30 4.30  
MUCHO PRIMO 2 7 7 5   6 610¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00 28.40  
JOES A ROCKIN 1 5 4 6   710¼ 715½ (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 15.00 44.10  
SCR  HONOR THE D               (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:141 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CARDINAL PRINCE 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 13 1 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 35% 1.90 1.70 W
VAIL OF HONOR 1 9 9 8 52 23 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 6.00 2.70 P
ALEXIS N NIKO 5 2 21 4 2½ 33 34 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 9.10  
CENTSOFWANDER 3 6 7 5 6 45 4 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 16% 5.10 4.00  
GRAND DEAL 6 3 43 6 3 5 5 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 20.00 31.00  
TOYI 2 4 5 3 4 67 611½ (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 47.40  
POT COMMITTED 7 7 6 7 7 710 715 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 6.00  
TOM'S SPIRIT 8 5 31 2½ 8 812 818¾ (cowans william )MOJICA JR 121 3.50 14% 6.00 10.60  
10  THISPOINTINTIME 9 8 8 9 9 919 932 (morelos m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 52.50  
SCR  FOOD FOODIE               (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
 
MVR-4   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPY GILMORE 3 5 3 3   12 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 10% 9.40 3.30 W
GOLDEN MONEY 8 1 56 5   4 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 30% 2.40 1.00 P
OAKEN 4 8 811 8   5 3 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.80 30% 2.40 4.40 S
TIDE RISING 7 3 6 66   6 4 (mahan j)PILARES P 124 20.00 21.50  
THE MAN CAN 1 4 11 2½   22 59 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 26.90  
OHIO MUNNY 5 2 21 1½   3 612¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 6.10  
MURRY SPUR 2 7 7 7   8 715½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 8% 11.00 13.10  
MA MOO POWER 6 6 4 4   7 816 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 12.00 32.60  
 
MVR-5   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTIN 5 3 11 1   11 11 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 7.70  
10  CONSTITUTIONALIST 8 2 31 2   21 21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
BEAUTY IN MOTION 7 1 21 3   3 3 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 4.00 18% 4.60 5.50 S
SURPRISED GEM 6 5 6 66   4 4 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 1 6 5 5   5 5 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 13.30  
BELLAVALENCIA 4 4 43 4   6 6 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 18% 4.60 6.00  
THREE POINT KUZ 2 7 7100 7100   7100 8100 (morelos m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 51.50 DH
LITTLE FOUR 3 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 29.10 DH
SCR  SAUNTER               (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
SCR  SKIRTS KID               (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:141 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HEAD KID 1 2 11 11 1½ 1 1 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 2.00 49% 1.00 0.40 W
SMOOCHER 6 7 5 5 2½ 2 2 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 3.50 18% 4.50 4.90 P
ANIMO ROBERTO 5 5 49 4 3 3 311¼ (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 10.00 6% 16.70 12.20 S
DANES HEART 3 4 33 32 4 413½ 420¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.00 11.80  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 7 6 713½ 610½ 511½ 515½ 524¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 53.80  
GIBBY MY CORN 4 1 612½ 714½ 618½ 618½ 628¾ (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 126 6.00 18.80  
LIL RICKYS JEWEL 2 3 21 21 721½ 748½ 7100 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 6.80  
 
MVR-7   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:134 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCK WOOD 1 2 4 4 3.2 13 1 (tumblin a)CORREA L 126 6.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
JEBIP 2 7 710¼ 6 5 3 2 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 10% 8.70 3.20 P
SPECIALIZED 4 4 3.2 1nk 1nk 23 3 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 2.50 63% 0.60 1.40 S
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 5 1 1nk 3 4 4 413¼ (bennett c)MCKEE J 124 10.00 9.00  
RED COMET 6 3 5 55 6 510½ 515¾ (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 121 20.00 29.00  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 3 6 6 712½ 7 716 625½ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9.80  
OHIO STRONG 7 5 2nk 2nk 2nk 615½ 733¾ (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5.50  
SCR  RETURNONINVESTMENT               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00    
 
MVR-8   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTMAKESHERSWEET 8 1 1 1   15 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.70 W
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
COMPUTE THIS 7 2 54 43   25 2 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50 45% 1.20 2.70 P
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
CURLIN PEARLS 3 7 7 6   47 3 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 15.00 12.00  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MISS SPRINGSTEEN 4 6 6 55   5 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00 6.80  
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
DERBY DAY KISS 6 3 3 3   3 57 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
  (by KLIMT out of DERBY DAY STORM by HABAYEB)
MS. DEBBIE ALAN 5 8 8 7   712½ 611½ (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 12.50  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MRS. DEBBIE M by WAR CHANT)
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 2 4 2 2   610½ 714¾ (cowans william )MOJICA JR 122 6.00 5.80  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
OPIE'S GIRL 1 5 4 89   822½ 836½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 20.30  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
SCR  R SECRET LOVE               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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