Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/5)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5)-(4/5/6)-(4/3/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/3/9/1)-(4/8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/1)-(4/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/1)-(4/3/9/1)-(4/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/9/1)-(4/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/1)-(4/8/3/2)-(10/9/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/2)-(10/9/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/2)-(10/9/4/6)-(1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (10/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/4/6)-(10/9/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/4/6)-(10/9/4/6)-(10/9/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/4/6)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/9/4/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/2/1)-(7/9/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(7/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/6)-(7/9/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/6)-(7/9/2/6)-(7/9/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA D L Sep28 Sep14 Aug16 Aug03 May03 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PHANIE SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
2  FINISTERE Oct05         (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
3  KNICKS STORY Oct16 Oct19 Aug31 Jul22   (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 123 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of STORY UNTOLD by OLD FASHIONED)
4  LOCO Oct05 Sep11 Aug11 Jul09 Jun22 (hetrick krist)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 ★    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
5  MOTOWN COLLECTION Oct05 Sep11 Aug23 Jul31 Feb14 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
6  EL BANDIDO Oct09 Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 Jul25 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KITTEN SQUARED by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Oct13 Sep25 Sep06 Jul10 Jun19 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
8  QUICK QUICK WHIT Oct05 Jun21 Jun05 Apr16 Mar16 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
9  TWELVE MINUS ONE Oct13 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  DARK BARON Sep24 Sep01 Sep03 Aug22 Aug06 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MVR-2   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOES A ROCKIN Oct09 Sep20 Jun07 May08 Apr06 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
2  MUCHO PRIMO May16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00    
SCR  HONOR THE D Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Jun21 May24 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 124 6.00    
4  MANNFORD Sep25 Aug28 Jun20 Jun06 Apr26 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.20 50% 1.00    
5  OL' L B Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun07 May20 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Oct13 Jun13 May23 Apr04 Mar23 (morales m)DIAZ I 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
7  ATTACK ANGLE Oct11 Oct03 Sep11 Aug02 Jul12 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
8  EL MARRO Oct13 May20 Apr26 Mar30 Mar13 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAIL OF HONOR Oct15 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
2  TOYI Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
3  CENTSOFWANDER Oct13 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
4  R CARDINAL PRINCE Oct13 Oct05 Sep26 Sep18 Aug28 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
5  ALEXIS N NIKO Oct05 Aug26 Aug13 Apr01 Mar19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
6  GRAND DEAL Oct04 Sep18 Aug17 Jul31 Jul19 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
SCR  FOOD FOODIE Oct19 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jul30 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
8  POT COMMITTED Oct06 Sep06 Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00    
9  TOM'S SPIRIT Aug02 Jul10 Jun10 Nov03 Sep23 (cowans william )MOJICA JR 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
10  THISPOINTINTIME Sep28 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 (morelos m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAN CAN Oct11 Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
2  MURRY SPUR Sep30 Aug29 May24 Apr13 Apr04 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
3  HOPPY GILMORE Oct11 Sep12 Aug28 Jul20 Jun24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
4  OAKEN Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 Jul31 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.80 30% 2.40    
5  OHIO MUNNY Oct09 Aug19 Jul11 May22 Apr25 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
6  MA MOO POWER Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 May20 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
7  TIDE RISING Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun20 May23 (mahan j)PILARES P 124 20.00    
8  GOLDEN MONEY Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
MVR-5   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun10 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50    
2  THREE POINT KUZ Oct06 Sep23 Sep15 Aug31 Aug18 (morelos m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
3  LITTLE FOUR Oct15 Sep11 Aug16 Aug09 Jul30 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
4  BELLAVALENCIA Oct09 Sep20 Aug21 Aug07 Jul20 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  KRISTIN Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 Jun19 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
6  SURPRISED GEM Aug23 Aug14 May10 Apr09 Apr02 (bailey ricardo)MOJICA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SKIRTS KID Aug07 Jul04 Jun12 May29 Jul21 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
SCR  SAUNTER Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 Jul18 Jun19 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
9  BEAUTY IN MOTION Oct12 Sep22       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
10  CONSTITUTIONALIST Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-6   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HEAD KID Oct04 Sep13 Aug26 Aug11 Jan26 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Sep13 Jun07 May23 Apr13 Mar21 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
3  DANES HEART Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Jul27 Jul04 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
4  GIBBY MY CORN Oct02 Sep13 Dec14 Dec01 Nov15 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 126 6.00    
5  ANIMO ROBERTO Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 10.00 6% 16.70    
6  SMOOCHER Aug10 Jul22 May11 Mar14 Feb27 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
7  HEIDI'S SINATRA Sep30 Sep08 Aug11 Jul15 Jul06 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK WOOD Oct03 Sep19 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 (tumblin a)CORREA L 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  JEBIP Sep11 Apr13 Apr03 Feb28 Feb01 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 10% 8.70    
3  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Oct10 Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
4  SPECIALIZED Sep27 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Sep30 Aug01 Jun02 Nov17 Nov01 (bennett c)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
6  RED COMET Oct21 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 (bailey ricardo)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
SCR  RETURNONINVESTMENT Sep29 Aug09 Jun24 Jun02 May06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00    
8  OHIO STRONG Oct12 Sep11 Feb01 Dec19 Dec01 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPIE'S GIRL Sep27         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
2  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Sep27 Aug30       (cowans william )MOJICA JR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
3  CURLIN PEARLS Oct11 Sep25 Aug15     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Sep25 Aug12 Aug01 Jun29   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
5  MS. DEBBIE ALAN Sep27 Sep05       (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 122 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MRS. DEBBIE M by WAR CHANT)
6  DERBY DAY KISS         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of DERBY DAY STORM by HABAYEB)
7  COMPUTE THIS Oct11         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  R SECRET LOVE         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
9  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.