Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $17.00  
TDN-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-5   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-6   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-7   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 5.40
TDN-8   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:123     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOTARY 2 3 37½ 35½ 1nk 1½ 1½ (hernandez arman)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 0.80  
2  STAR HAWK 1 1 25 25 2nk 2½ 2½ (erdel john)DIAZ I 119 5.00 22% 3.50 5.60 P
7  BEER CHASER 4 2 15 15 3½ 32½ 38 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.40 1.10 S
4  COMPLY (NZ) 3 4 49 47 44½ 46½ 49¼ (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 13.30  
SCR  BREEZY MONEY               (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
SCR  CHANNEL FURY               (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
SCR  OUTLIER               (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EKATI'S WAY 7 2 22 22   22 1¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 118 4.50 7.50  
1  DIAL DIRECT 1 5 12 12   12 2¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 24% 3.20 0.90 P
5  GOLDSTRIKER 5 1 69½ 413   310 39¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50 8% 11.90 3.50 S
3  REIGNING DREAM 3 4 38 313   411½ 418¾ (shannon jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 30.10  
6  GRAY TORMENTOR 6 7 59 616½   515 518¾ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 13.50  
2  DOUBLE AGENT 2 3 49 515½   616 623½ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.50 29% 2.40 3.40  
4  ITSMYLUCKYPAL 4 6 714 730½   733 748¼ (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 12.00 29.20  
 
TDN-3   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EXCITEMENT 5 3 33 43   2½ 13¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 115 3.50 17% 4.90 0.90 W
6  OKLAHOMA JOE 6 1 11½ 12   1½ 23¾ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 4.50 9% 9.90 11.80 P
3  BUCKEYE SKY 3 5 43 33   32½ 36¼ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.50 51% 1.00 1.30 S
4  SWING STATE 4 4 54½ 54   44 48 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 8.40  
7  OHIO STRONG 7 2 21½ 22   54 511½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 33.10  
2  TURNING PAGES 2 6 77½ 710   77¾ 614½ (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 18.40  
1  CHOCOLATE RABBIT 1 7 65½ 65½   67½ 717¼ (cline c)HALDAR J 121 6.00 33.10  
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT               (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Necklace Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 5 1 11½ 12   14½ 16¾ (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 3.00 38% 1.60 0.90 W
5  OH GLORIOUS DAY 3 3 34 22   24½ 26¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 6.00 6.70  
6  FEELING EASY 4 4 56 55   38½ 314¼ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 118 2.00 37% 1.70 2.00 S
1  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 1 5 45½ 45   49 416½ (genovese r)FERNANDEZ R 118 20.00 26.60  
4  OFFICE CHATTER 2 2 21½ 34   510 522¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.00 3.70  
SCR  MIZ KEETA               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50    
SCR  RIVERS RUN RED               (szczepanski )SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 3 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 25% 3.00 3.20 W
1  I'M JAC'D 1 2 41 2nk   2nk 2½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 121 6.00 11.60  
5  CHILLVILLE 4 4 31 4¾   31½ 31¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 9.00  
3  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 2 5 53½ 52¼   43½ 44¼ (tumblin andrew)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 20% 4.10 14.00  
6  VILLAGE CAT 5 1 1½ 3.2   53¾ 515¾ (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 1.80 26% 2.80 0.30  
SCR  SWEET CHELSEA               (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY 2 3 33½ 32½   2nk 11¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 1.80 73% 0.40 0.20 W
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 21¼ (overholt p)FERNANDEZ R 117 2.00 2.50  
4  ACCURATE 3 5 45 43½   42¼ 36 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 16.20  
6  TURBO POWER 5 1 2½ 2½   32 48¼ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 4.50 5% 19.00 12.00  
2  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 1 4 59 58   56¼ 511½ (tumblin andrew)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 38.30  
SCR  STARS N SPACE               (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
 
TDN-7   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMEN OHIO 1 6 64 53½   21 11½ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 5.00 28% 2.60 4.70 W
4  HIGH CUPPER 4 2 53½ 63¾   41¼ 21½ (urieta joha)HERNANDEZ H 119 10.00 33.60  
3  CITY SIGNS 3 4 1½ 11½   11 31¾ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 0.50  
2  SHEZA POP STAR 2 5 2½ 31½   31 43¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 40% 1.50 3.30  
6  COWCHI 6 1 42 21½   51¼ 54¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 13.10  
5  J J'S FANCY 5 3 32 43   65¼ 610¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 5% 17.20 17.00  
 
TDN-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GAPPER 4 4 56 52¼   21½ 11 (evans micha)CORREA L 118 2.50 2.10  
6  WHO DA BOSS 6 1 21 2nk   11½ 21 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 38% 1.60 1.40 P
5  ROMANIAN PRINCE 5 2 32½ 41¾   34 37 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 3.50 3.20  
3  CANNON MAN 3 6 66 64¼   67 414½ (figueroa j)DIAZ I 118 8.00 15.20  
2  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 2 3 43½ 31½   45 515 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 12% 7.70 11.60  
1  NOAH MY BABY 1 5 11 1nk   55 621½ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 118 6.00 12% 7.70 7.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.