Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(2/1/5)-(3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/5/6)-(7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/6)-(6/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(6/4/3)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/6)-(2/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/1/5)-(6/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANNEL FURY Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 Jun11 May30 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
2  STAR HAWK Sep26 Aug28 Aug09 Feb08 Dec05 (erdel john)DIAZ I 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  NOTARY Sep28 Aug17 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 (hernandez arm)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50    
4  COMPLY (NZ) Aug28 Aug16 Jul20 May10 Apr11 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00    
SCR  BREEZY MONEY Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
SCR  OUTLIER Oct01 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul16 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
7  BEER CHASER Sep26 Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 May30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL DIRECT         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DIALED IN out of KISSY SUZUKI by SUMMER BIRD)
2  DOUBLE AGENT Sep13         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
3  REIGNING DREAM         (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 118 8.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
4  ITSMYLUCKYPAL         (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of PALSY WALSY by LONHRO (AUS))
5  GOLDSTRIKER         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
  (by PAYNTER out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
6  GRAY TORMENTOR Sep26 Sep06 Aug15     (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
7  EKATI'S WAY         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 118 4.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
TDN-3   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Sep01 Aug12 Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 (cline robert)HALDAR J 121 6.00    
2  TURNING PAGES Sep11 Aug12 Jul12 Jun15 May16 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
3  BUCKEYE SKY Sep26 Dec30 Oct29 Aug25   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  SWING STATE Sep19 Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
5  EXCITEMENT Sep28 Aug26 Aug10 Jul22 Jun14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 17% 4.90    
6  OKLAHOMA JOE Sep13 Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 May26 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 4.50 9% 9.90    
7  OHIO STRONG Sep11 Feb01 Dec19 Dec01 Nov01 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Necklace Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Sep04 Aug14 Jul24     (genovese)FERNANDEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  RIVERS RUN RED Oct10         (szczepansk)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
SCR  MIZ KEETA Sep04 Aug14       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  OFFICE CHATTER Sep08 Jul24 Jun24     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  OH GLORIOUS DAY Sep25 Sep04       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 6.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
6  FEELING EASY Aug14 Jul24 Jun24     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of OH SO EASY by TAKE THAT STEP)
7  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Sep21 Sep04 Aug14     (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of BOSSY GIRL by STREET BOSS)
 
TDN-5   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M JAC'D Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 121 6.00    
SCR  SWEET CHELSEA Sep26 Sep14 Jul27 Jun26 Jun13 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
3  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 117 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  CHILLVILLE Sep26 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jun01 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
6  VILLAGE CAT Sep14 Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr25 (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-6   10/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARS N SPACE Sep25 Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
2  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Sep28 Sep20 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep25 Sep04 Dec30 Oct29 Sep23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.80 73% 0.40    
4  ACCURATE Sep28 Sep20 Aug14 Jul18 Jun13 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Sep04 Aug10 Jul10 Jun06 May08 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 117 2.00    
6  TURBO POWER Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMEN OHIO Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
2  SHEZA POP STAR Sep19 Aug31 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 (radosevich jeff)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  CITY SIGNS Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
4  HIGH CUPPER Sep19 Sep07 Aug08 Jul24 Jul05 (urieta jo)HERNANDEZ H 119 10.00    
5  J J'S FANCY Jul04 Jun13 May30 May17 May03 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 5% 17.20    
6  COWCHI Jun15 May22 May10 Dec20 Nov08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00    
 
TDN-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOAH MY BABY         (poole m)GONZALEZ A 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
2  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 12% 7.70    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
3  CANNON MAN         (figueroa cesa)PANAIJO JORGE 118 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BECKY'S EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  GAPPER Oct05 Sep23 Sep13 Aug26 Aug15 (evans mic)CORREA L 118 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5  ROMANIAN PRINCE Sep26 Sep06 Aug15     (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 3.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
6  WHO DA BOSS Sep26 Sep06       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COME SUNDAY by WIND AND WUTHERING)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.