Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $24.60 $0.60 3%
    DD (6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $39.80 $15.80 66%
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-6-3 $22.55 $4.55 25%
MVR-5   TRI (1/3/9/10)-(1/3/9/6/10)-(1/3/9/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-3-10 $56.00 $32.00 133%
    PK3 (6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6)-(1/3/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-3-1 $29.75 $5.75 24%
MVR-8   WIN (10/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.00 $4.00 50%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:014     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUST FOR LIFE 2 2 11 11½   12½ 12¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.50 4.70  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO 8 1 41¼ 31½   22½ 22¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 57.00  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
7  AFTER SUNRISE 6 4 31 21½   32½ 36¼ (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 21% 3.70 6.10 DQ↓4
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
1  REIGNING DREAM 1 5 21 63¾   53¼ 46¼ (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 31.50  
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
5  HEZA PISTOL 4 8 64¼ 53¼   65¾ 56¾ (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 22% 3.50 3.60  
  (by DANZA out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
4  C V DYNAMIC 3 6 53¼ 41¾   42¾ 68 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10 1.40  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
6  KELLEHER 5 7 811¼ 78¾   78¼ 710½ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 5.00 13.30  
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
8  ONE STEP ASIDE 7 3 77¾ 88¾   810¾ 813¼ (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
SCR  VERNON'S BEST               (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
 
MVR-2   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KERANOS 7 4 43½ 31   11½ 14½ (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13% 6.70 1.90 W
5  DOMI 5 1 33½ 41½   41¾ 24½ (mahan joseph )TOLEDO S 122 4.00 9.70  
1  MAS ORO 1 6 11 2nk   21½ 35¼ (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 10.00 6.40  
2  SWELTER 2 3 53¾ 53   64¼ 46¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.60  
4  MINDSHIP Q 4 5 66¼ 64   53¾ 56¼ (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 35% 1.90 6.00  
6  OUTSLEWTHEM 6 2 21 1nk   31½ 610¾ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11.60  
3  BELL CURVE 3 7 710¼ 78   76¼ 712¼ (bates l)AVILES YAN 122 12.00 21.20  
 
MVR-3   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:021     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 6 7 62¾ 21   1½ 11½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 3.00 61% 0.60 2.10 W
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
7  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 7 3 51¾ 31½   2½ 21½ (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 2.40  
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
5  LIVING THE DREAM 5 9 73¾ 75   34 33¾ (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 24.70  
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
8  SHAKE THE FROST 8 2 3.2 42½   46½ 47¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 ★ 5.00  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
2  STRIKING LAD 2 5 84¼ 87   67½ 512¾ (flores israel)DIAZ I 122 20.00 43.50  
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
9  LUCKY VICTOR 9 1 41¾ 54   77¾ 613 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 12.00 8% 10.80 11.20  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
1  AKIMBO 1 6 1nk 65   57½ 714¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 20.00 7.70  
  (by DANZA out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
3  SEEKING FREEDOM 3 8 98¼ 97½   910¾ 819¼ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 7.00  
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
4  TAHLEQUAH JOE 4 4 2nk 11   88¼ 920¼ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
MVR-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:024     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SAVESOMEFORME 3 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 1½ (bates l)BRACHO A 122 10.00 9% 10.00 3.90 W
2  SWEET AS MERRIE 2 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 2½ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 2.00 58% 0.70 0.90 P
5  HALO EFFECT 5 8 62¼ 32   34 35¼ (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 7.30  
7  TITEBLUEJEANS 7 4 52¼ 53½   54½ 46 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 16.70  
1  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 1 7 42 75¾   44½ 57¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 5.90  
6  HAUGHTY PRAISE 6 6 73¾ 63¾   76¼ 611½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 37.30  
4  TWILIGHT BEAUTY 4 2 3½ 42½   64¾ 712 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 15.00 71.30  
8  OHIO LADY 8 1 85¼ 87¼   88¼ 815 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 5.70  
 
MVR-5   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY LAYLA 1 8 11½ 12   12 13½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 31% 2.30 1.90 W
3  PAT DADDY 3 4 21½ 22   22 23½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 26% 2.80 1.50 P
10  UNCLEJACKOMO 10 1 32 33½   34 37¼ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.70 S
8  LOCK ON 8 6 86 55½   45 47¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 40.80  
4  CALL WEST 4 9 910 99¾   77 58¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00 29.60  
6  ROYAL CRUSADER 6 3 65½ 77¼   65½ 69½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★ 8.40  
9  NYOMAN 9 2 54½ 45½   55½ 710½ (villa francisco)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 16% 5.30 6.80  
7  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 7 5 75½ 88¾   88 813¾ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 20.40  
2  CAPTAIN MAD JACK 2 7 42½ 67   98½ 914¾ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 9.00  
5  TIDE RISING 5 10 1010¼ 1010¼   109½ 1015¾ (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 71.60  
 
MVR-6   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:15 1:284   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXIS N NIKO 1 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 13¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 0.40  
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 4 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 23¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 13.70  
10  KILLER BEE 9 9 911¼ 913¾ 812½ 511 317¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 19% 4.20 16.40 S
6  THE EQUINEST 5 3 52¾ 44½ 46½ 37½ 419 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 70.90  
7  THISPOINTINTIME 6 7 86¼ 89¾ 712 611¼ 522 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 64.00  
4  RED COMET 3 6 74¼ 66¼ 611 711¼ 623¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00 19.80  
8  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND 7 4 4¾ 3½ 32½ 411 734¾ (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 35% 1.80 4.30  
9  GOTIGER SPECIAL 8 8 64¼ 54¾ 57 814¼ 836 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 81.00  
3  UNION LEAGUE 2 2 3½ 77¾ 918½ 9100 9100 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 17% 4.90 8.30  
SCR  LAND REMEMBERED               (schuster ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SCRIMPER 3 5 31 2nk   11½ 15¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 120 4.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
8  WHO DA BOSS 8 1 52½ 31   21½ 25¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.30 P
7  GAPPER 7 3 84¼ 51¾   44½ 310½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 21.30  
5  VILLIAN 5 2 74¼ 73¾   55½ 412¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 6.00 9.70  
2  ROLL ON BIG O 2 6 2½ 1nk   34½ 514¾ (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 120 10.00 58.80  
4  SOCIAL HISTORY 4 8 62¾ 85¼   87¾ 616 (danner)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 10.70  
6  KINDERHOOK 6 4 42½ 61¾   65¾ 716½ (gorham robert)BRACHO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
1  RED CHILI PEPPER 1 7 1½ 41½   76¼ 817¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 16% 5.20 5.20  
 
MVR-8   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:14 1:28   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 7 2 53½ 52½ 41¼ 2½ 14½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 19% 4.20 5.00 W
5  MUGSY MALONE 3 3 31½ 31½ 1nk 1½ 24½ (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 7.10  
1  AULD LANGE SYNE 1 4 42 42 54¼ 44 38 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 9.00  
7  VAIL OF HONOR 5 8 812 812½ 811¾ 76 411¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.50 7% 13.00 1.30  
4  OKLAHOMA JOE 2 5 11½ 1nk 2nk 32½ 511¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18% 4.70 3.20  
8  DISTORTED LIMITS 6 7 64 77 69¼ 66 614¾ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 13.00  
10  EXONERATED PREZ 8 1 75 66½ 711¼ 87 716½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 20% 4.00 22.40  
6  DEVIL'S HARVEST 4 6 21½ 2nk 3.2 54½ 818 (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 4.00 16.80  
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE               (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON               (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.