Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $24.60 $0.60 3%
    DD (6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $39.80 $15.80 66%
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-6-3 $22.55 $4.55 25%
MVR-5   TRI (1/3/9/10)-(1/3/9/6/10)-(1/3/9/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-3-10 $56.00 $32.00 133%
    PK3 (6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6)-(1/3/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-3-1 $29.75 $5.75 24%
MVR-8   WIN (10/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.00 $4.00 50%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUST FOR LIFE   (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.50 4.70  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
RIVERS OF DENIRO   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 57.00  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
AFTER SUNRISE   (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 21% 3.70 6.10 DQ↓4
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
REIGNING DREAM   (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 31.50  
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
HEZA PISTOL   (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 22% 3.50 3.60  
  (by DANZA out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
C V DYNAMIC   (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10 1.40  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
KELLEHER   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 5.00 13.30  
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
ONE STEP ASIDE   (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
SCR  VERNON'S BEST   (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
 
MVR-2   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERANOS   (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13% 6.70 1.90 W
DOMI   (mahan joseph )TOLEDO S 122 4.00 9.70  
MAS ORO   (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 10.00 6.40  
SWELTER   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.60  
MINDSHIP Q   (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 35% 1.90 6.00  
OUTSLEWTHEM   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11.60  
BELL CURVE   (bates l)AVILES YAN 122 12.00 21.20  
 
MVR-3   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTEVERYBLESSING   (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 3.00 61% 0.60 2.10 W
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE   (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 2.40  
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
LIVING THE DREAM   (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 24.70  
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SHAKE THE FROST   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 5.00  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
STRIKING LAD   (flores israel)DIAZ I 122 20.00 43.50  
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
LUCKY VICTOR   (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 12.00 8% 10.80 11.20  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
AKIMBO   (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 20.00 7.70  
  (by DANZA out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
SEEKING FREEDOM   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 7.00  
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
TAHLEQUAH JOE   (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
MVR-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVESOMEFORME   (bates l)BRACHO A 122 10.00 9% 10.00 3.90 W
SWEET AS MERRIE   (reed r)HALDAR J 122 2.00 58% 0.70 0.90 P
HALO EFFECT   (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 7.30  
TITEBLUEJEANS   (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 16.70  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 5.90  
HAUGHTY PRAISE   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 37.30  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY   (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 15.00 71.30  
OHIO LADY   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 5.70  
 
MVR-5   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY LAYLA   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 31% 2.30 1.90 W
PAT DADDY   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 26% 2.80 1.50 P
10  UNCLEJACKOMO   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.70 S
LOCK ON   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 40.80  
CALL WEST   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00 29.60  
ROYAL CRUSADER   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 8.40  
NYOMAN   (villa francisco)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 16% 5.30 6.80  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR   (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 20.40  
CAPTAIN MAD JACK   (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 9.00  
TIDE RISING   (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 71.60  
 
MVR-6   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXIS N NIKO   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 0.40  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 13.70  
10  KILLER BEE   (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 19% 4.20 16.40 S
THE EQUINEST   (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 70.90  
THISPOINTINTIME   (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 64.00  
RED COMET   (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00 19.80  
DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND   (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 35% 1.80 4.30  
GOTIGER SPECIAL   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 81.00  
UNION LEAGUE   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 17% 4.90 8.30  
SCR  LAND REMEMBERED   (schuster ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRIMPER   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 120 4.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
WHO DA BOSS   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.30 P
GAPPER   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 21.30  
VILLIAN   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 6.00 9.70  
ROLL ON BIG O   (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 120 10.00 58.80  
SOCIAL HISTORY   (danner)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 10.70  
KINDERHOOK   (gorham robert)BRACHO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
RED CHILI PEPPER   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 16% 5.20 5.20  
 
MVR-8   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED TO KNOW BASIS   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 19% 4.20 5.00 W
MUGSY MALONE   (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 7.10  
AULD LANGE SYNE   (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 9.00  
VAIL OF HONOR   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.50 7% 13.00 1.30  
OKLAHOMA JOE   (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18% 4.70 3.20  
DISTORTED LIMITS   (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 13.00  
10  EXONERATED PREZ   (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 20% 4.00 22.40  
DEVIL'S HARVEST   (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 4.00 16.80  
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE   (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON   (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.