Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $11.40  
MVR-2   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
MVR-3   Win (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-4   Win (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
MVR-5   Win (1/3/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
MVR-6   Win (8/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $2.80  
MVR-7   Win (3/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
MVR-8   Win (10/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:014     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUST FOR LIFE 2 2 11 1   1 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.50 4.70  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 8 1 4 3   2 2 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 57.00  
AFTER SUNRISE 6 4 31 2   3 3 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 21% 3.70 6.10 DQ↓4
REIGNING DREAM 1 5 21 6   5 4 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 31.50  
HEZA PISTOL 4 8 6 5   6 5 (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 22% 3.50 3.60  
C V DYNAMIC 3 6 5 4   4 68 (donjuan )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10 1.40  
KELLEHER 5 7 811¼ 7   7 710½ (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 122 5.00 13.30  
ONE STEP ASIDE 7 3 7 8   810¾ 813¼ (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
SCR  VERNON'S BEST               (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERANOS 7 4 4 31   1 1 (miller arizon)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13% 6.70 1.90 W
DOMI 5 1 3 4   4 2 (mahan p)TOLEDO S 122 4.00 9.70  
MAS ORO 1 6 11 2nk   2 3 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 122 10.00 6.40  
SWELTER 2 3 5 53   6 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.60  
MINDSHIP Q 4 5 6 64   5 5 (londono )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 35% 1.90 6.00  
OUTSLEWTHEM 6 2 21 1nk   3 610¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11.60  
BELL CURVE 3 7 710¼ 78   7 712¼ (bates l)AVILES YAN 122 12.00 21.20  
 
MVR-3   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:021     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 6 7 6 21   1½ 1 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 3.00 61% 0.60 2.10 W
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 7 3 5 3   2½ 2 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 2.40  
LIVING THE DREAM 5 9 7 75   34 3 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 24.70  
SHAKE THE FROST 8 2 3.2 4   4 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 5.00  
STRIKING LAD 2 5 8 87   6 512¾ (flores israel)DIAZ I 122 20.00 43.50  
LUCKY VICTOR 9 1 4 54   7 613 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 12.00 8% 10.80 11.20  
AKIMBO 1 6 1nk 65   5 714¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 20.00 7.70  
SEEKING FREEDOM 3 8 9 9   910¾ 819¼ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 7.00  
TAHLEQUAH JOE 4 4 2nk 11   8 920¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
 
MVR-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:024     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVESOMEFORME 3 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 1½ (bates l)BRACHO A 122 10.00 9% 10.00 3.90 W
SWEET AS MERRIE 2 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 2½ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 2.00 58% 0.70 0.90 P
HALO EFFECT 5 8 6 32   34 3 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 7.30  
TITEBLUEJEANS 7 4 5 5   5 46 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 16.70  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 1 7 42 7   4 5 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 5.90  
HAUGHTY PRAISE 6 6 7 6   7 611½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 37.30  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY 4 2 3½ 4   6 712 (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 15.00 71.30  
OHIO LADY 8 1 8 8   8 815 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 5.70  
 
MVR-5   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY LAYLA 1 8 1 12   12 1 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 31% 2.30 1.90 W
PAT DADDY 3 4 2 22   22 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 26% 2.80 1.50 P
10  UNCLEJACKOMO 10 1 32 3   34 3 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.70 S
LOCK ON 8 6 86 5   45 4 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 40.80  
CALL WEST 4 9 910 9   77 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00 29.60  
ROYAL CRUSADER 6 3 6 7   6 6 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 8.40  
NYOMAN 9 2 5 4   5 710½ (villa francisco)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 16% 5.30 6.80  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 7 5 7 8   88 813¾ (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 20.40  
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 2 7 4 67   9 914¾ (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 9.00  
TIDE RISING 5 10 1010¼ 1010¼   10 1015¾ (mahan joseph )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 71.60  
 
MVR-6   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:15 1:284   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXIS N NIKO 1 5 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 0.40  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 4 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 13.70  
10  KILLER BEE 9 9 911¼ 913¾ 812½ 511 317¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 19% 4.20 16.40 S
THE EQUINEST 5 3 5 4 4 3 419 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 70.90  
THISPOINTINTIME 6 7 8 8 712 611¼ 522 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 64.00  
RED COMET 3 6 7 6 611 711¼ 623¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00 19.80  
DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND 7 4 4¾ 3½ 3 411 734¾ (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 35% 1.80 4.30  
GOTIGER SPECIAL 8 8 6 5 57 814¼ 836 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 81.00  
UNION LEAGUE 2 2 3½ 7 918½ 9100 9100 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 17% 4.90 8.30  
SCR  LAND REMEMBERED               (schuster robi)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRIMPER 3 5 31 2nk   1 1 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 120 4.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
WHO DA BOSS 8 1 5 31   2 2 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.30 P
GAPPER 7 3 8 5   4 310½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 21.30  
VILLIAN 5 2 7 7   5 412¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 6.00 9.70  
ROLL ON BIG O 2 6 2½ 1nk   3 514¾ (rone mike)FERNANDEZ R 120 10.00 58.80  
SOCIAL HISTORY 4 8 6 8   8 616 (danner d)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 10.70  
KINDERHOOK 6 4 4 6   6 716½ (gorham m)BRACHO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
RED CHILI PEPPER 1 7 1½ 4   7 817¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 16% 5.20 5.20  
 
MVR-8   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:14 1:28   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEED TO KNOW BASIS 7 2 5 5 4 2½ 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 19% 4.20 5.00 W
MUGSY MALONE 3 3 3 3 1nk 1½ 2 (meyers sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 7.10  
AULD LANGE SYNE 1 4 42 42 5 44 38 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 9.00  
VAIL OF HONOR 5 8 812 812½ 811¾ 76 411¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.50 7% 13.00 1.30  
OKLAHOMA JOE 2 5 1 1nk 2nk 3 511¾ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18% 4.70 3.20  
DISTORTED LIMITS 6 7 64 77 6 66 614¾ (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 124 6.00 13.00  
10  EXONERATED PREZ 8 1 75 6 711¼ 87 716½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 20% 4.00 22.40  
DEVIL'S HARVEST 4 6 2 2nk 3.2 5 818 (caramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 4.00 16.80  
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE               (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON               (miller arizon)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.