Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/8)-(4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/8)-(4/2/7)-(6/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(6/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/4)-(6/9/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/4)-(6/9/8/4)-(6/9/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4)-(2/8/3/6)-(1/3/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/6)-(1/3/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/6)-(1/3/9/10)-(8/10/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/3/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/10)-(1/3/9/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/10)-(1/3/9/6/10)-(1/3/9/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/9/10)-(8/10/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/10)-(8/10/3/6)-(3/8/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/3/6)-(8/10/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/3/6)-(8/10/3/6)-(8/10/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/3/6)-(3/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/10/3/6)-(3/8/1/6)-(10/9/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/6)-(10/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (10/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/4/7)-(10/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/4/7)-(10/9/4/7)-(10/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGNING DREAM Oct28 Oct12       (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  VERNON'S BEST Jun30 Jun16       (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
3  LUST FOR LIFE         (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
4  C V DYNAMIC Oct28         (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
5  HEZA PISTOL         (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by DANZA out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
6  KELLEHER Oct28         (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 5.00    
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
7  AFTER SUNRISE Oct11 Sep05 Aug15 Jul27 Jun20 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
8  ONE STEP ASIDE Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
9  RIVERS OF DENIRO Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
 
MVR-2   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAS ORO Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug05 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
2  SWELTER Nov01 Sep27 Sep09 Apr26 Apr04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  BELL CURVE Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 (bates l)AVILES YAN 122 12.00    
4  MINDSHIP Q Nov01 Oct16 Oct09 Sep21 Sep07 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  DOMI Nov01 Oct09 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 (mahan j)PILARES P 122 4.00    
6  OUTSLEWTHEM Nov01 Sep27 Sep16 Sep06 Aug17 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
7  KERANOS Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Aug30 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-3   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKIMBO Sep25         (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
  (by DANZA out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
2  STRIKING LAD Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05   (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
3  SEEKING FREEDOM Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
4  TAHLEQUAH JOE Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 Jul26 Jun20 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  LIVING THE DREAM Oct28 Oct11       (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
6  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Oct28         (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
7  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 Aug17   (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
8  SHAKE THE FROST         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
9  LUCKY VICTOR Oct28         (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 12.00 8% 10.80    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
 
MVR-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Nov07 Oct03 Sep11 Aug22 Jul19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
2  SWEET AS MERRIE Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 (reed r)HALDAR J 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  SAVESOMEFORME Sep28 Sep13 Jul24 Jul04 Mar23 (bates l)BRACHO A 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
4  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 15.00    
5  HALO EFFECT Nov06 Oct21 Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00    
6  HAUGHTY PRAISE Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TITEBLUEJEANS Oct25 Oct06 Aug31 Aug01 Jul03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
8  OHIO LADY Oct04 Sep13 Aug05 Jul19 Jun08 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
 
MVR-5   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY LAYLA Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 Sep18 Aug22 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 31% 2.30    
2  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Oct17 Sep28 Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
3  PAT DADDY Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 26% 2.80    
4  CALL WEST Nov06 Oct21 Sep28 Aug30 Aug17 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
5  TIDE RISING Oct30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun20 (mahan j)PILARES P 124 20.00    
6  ROYAL CRUSADER Nov01 Oct01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★    
7  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Nov01 Oct09 Sep27 Sep05 Aug24 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
8  LOCK ON Oct25 Oct03 Sep07 Aug09 Jul29 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
9  NYOMAN Nov01 Oct03 Aug30 Aug06 Jul05 (villa francisco)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
10  UNCLEJACKOMO Oct31 Sep28 Sep13 Jul27 Jul10 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXIS N NIKO Oct30 Oct05 Aug26 Aug13 Apr01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
SCR  LAND REMEMBERED Nov02 Sep26 Sep07 Feb23 Feb02 (schuster ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
3  UNION LEAGUE Oct21 Sep28 Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  RED COMET Nov08 Oct30 Oct21 Oct05 Sep19 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00    
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Oct04 Jul31 Jul10 May16 Apr27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
6  THE EQUINEST Oct31 Oct04 Sep07 Aug31 Aug14 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  THISPOINTINTIME Oct30 Sep28 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
8  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Oct24 Oct09 Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
9  GOTIGER SPECIAL Nov02 Oct05 Jun13 Dec13 Nov21 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
10  KILLER BEE Oct25 Sep21 Jun23 May27 May11 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CHILI PEPPER Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  ROLL ON BIG O Sep22 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26   (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 120 10.00    
3  SCRIMPER Oct28 Aug12 Jul13     (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
4  SOCIAL HISTORY Oct28 Sep22 Aug26 Aug02   (danner)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
5  VILLIAN Oct28 Sep22 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 6.00    
6  KINDERHOOK Oct28 Sep06       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GAPPER Oct28 Oct12 Oct05 Sep23 Sep13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00    
8  WHO DA BOSS Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
MVR-8   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AULD LANGE SYNE Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 Aug03 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE Sep27 Aug28 Aug03 Jul18 Jun13 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug31 Aug09 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
4  OKLAHOMA JOE Oct23 Oct12 Sep13 Aug10 Jul22 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
5  MUGSY MALONE Oct23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul18 (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
6  DEVIL'S HARVEST Sep28 Sep07 Jul13 Jun24 May20 (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 4.00    
7  VAIL OF HONOR Oct30 Oct15 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.50 7% 13.00    
8  DISTORTED LIMITS Oct06 Sep18 Aug28 Jul18 Jul05 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
9  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Sep20 Aug29 Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
10  EXONERATED PREZ Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug22 Jul20 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 20% 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.