Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-7-3 $7.95 $4.95 165%
MVR-4   EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $80.40 $56.40 235%
    TRI (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-5 $110.00 $98.00 817%
    SFT (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-7-5-3 $42.77 $40.37 1682%
MVR-5   WIN (3/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $73.00 $67.00 1117%
    EXA (3/10/5)-(3/10/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-10 $480.60 $456.60 1903%
    DD (3/1/5/7)-(3/10/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $131.60 $107.60 448%
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-1-5 $205.25 $181.25 755%
    PK5 (3/1/6/10)-(6/7/3)-(7/3/1/2)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/10/5) 576 $1.00 $576  3-6-5/7-1-5 $2052 $1476 256%
MVR-6   DD (3/10/5)-(4/7/6/3/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-5 $91.80 $61.80 206%
MVR-7   EXA (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-8 $34.80 $10.80 45%
    TRI (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-8-6 $32.95 $20.95 175%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   10/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:142 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALWAYS LAUGHING 3 8 87¼ 41½ 1nk 14 110¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.00 32% 2.20 1.90 W
2  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 2 7 44½ 51¾ 42¼ 36 210¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00 8.00  
1  LOFTY COWTOWN 1 1 23½ 21 2nk 24 313¼ (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 20% 3.90 4.20 S
6  KETTLE KISS 6 5 65¾ 73¾ 64¾ 410 413¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 4.00 17% 5.00 1.80  
4  COURTED 4 9 98¾ 95¼ 86¼ 510½ 517 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 61.20  
7  SAVE THE FLAG 7 4 76¼ 85¼ 97¾ 812¼ 619¾ (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 124 3.00 6.20  
5  ELIKA 5 6 34½ 31½ 54¼ 712 722 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 15.00 33.80  
8  UNESCORTED 8 2 54¾ 63¼ 76¼ 913¾ 824¼ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 121 20.00 59.80  
10  MY DANCING QUEEN 9 3 13½ 11 32 612 933½ (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 7% 12.90 38.10  
SCR  PARFAIT               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-2   10/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:23
See original race card.
:231 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EL BAMBINO 6 7 42 41   22 11¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 66% 0.50 0.20 W
  (by CONNECT out of REZISTER by DEPUTY MINISTER)
7  MEXITEXAFORNIA 7 1 1½ 1nk   12 21¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 7% 13.10 7.60 P
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
3  CUSSIN N FUSSIN 3 2 31 3½   42¼ 33¼ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20 S
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
5  DIXIE MAN 5 4 2½ 2nk   32 47 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 20.00 75.10  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
2  M EIGHTY 2 5 74 711   612¼ 514¾ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.00 12.70  
  (by KLIMT out of ZO BOW by OXBOW)
1  ZHU DADDY 1 6 63½ 610   712¼ 616 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00 17.50  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARGENTA by MINESHAFT)
4  MR. BLUTARSKY 4 3 53 55   510¼ 718 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 8.80  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
MVR-3   10/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:224 :461       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLIPPING FISH 6 2 31 21   1½ 12¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 4.50 34% 1.90 1.90 W
6  MON CAMO 5 1 1nk 11   2½ 22¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 4.70  
1  AUGER 1 7 41¼ 42½   43 34½ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 12% 7.30 2.80 S
3  MASAI MAN 3 4 2nk 31   31 46 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 32% 2.10 3.30  
8  HAGLER 7 8 86½ 88¼   66½ 56½ (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 124 8.00 19.80  
9  VENETIAN DREAM 8 6 62¼ 64   77½ 69 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 20.20  
4  GORMLEYS GOT GAME 4 5 72½ 74¼   87½ 79 (swingley duwa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 13.20  
2  D'MONEY HONEY 2 3 51¼ 53   55½ 811 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL SMOKESHOW 1 5 1½ 1½   12 18¼ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50 25% 2.90 1.20 W
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
7  SMARTASSET 7 2 42 42½   42¼ 28¼ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50 P
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
5  WINDY VALLEY 5 3 3½ 31   22 38¾ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 13% 6.60 5.50 S
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
3  DOMINUS O'S ME 3 4 2½ 2½   32 410¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 2.00 40% 1.50 2.00  
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
2  STORMINATOR 2 6 76½ 87½   56¼ 513¼ (bennett r)CORREA L 126 15.00 39.30  
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
6  J. P INDY 6 8 86¾ 76½   66¼ 614¾ (cline c)DIAZ I 123 6.00 7.70  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  SHEZ IN A TIZZY 8 1 53½ 66   78¾ 723¼ (adams l)HESS SARA 121 8.00 12.50  
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  CRYSTAL M 4 7 64 56   811¼ 828 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 59.10  
  (by GIO PONTI out of OVERNIGHTSENSATION by BERTRANDO)
 
MVR-5   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:003     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS ELLIE 5 5 3½ 2½   11 1¼ (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 35.50 W
10  YOU NAME IT 10 2 63¼ 43½   33 2¼ (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 4.50 17% 5.00 9.00 P
7  MAYBE FRANKY 7 11 84¾ 75½   44 3½ (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 4.20  
2  CHILLVILLE 2 9 53 65½   65½ 42¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 ★ 9.20  
8  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 8 10 106½ 106¼   87½ 52¾ (yoder d)RIVERA R 126 10.00 35.10  
3  TWENTY FOUR KARAT 3 8 1nk 1½   21 63 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 57% 0.70 0.70  
6  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 6 4 118 119¾   1110¼ 75 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 10.00 32.40  
9  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 9 3 96¼ 96¼   108¾ 86 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 56.80  
11  C MORE PRIDE 11 1 74¾ 85¾   98½ 96½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 29.80  
4  HOSANNA 4 6 2nk 32½   55 107 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★ 8.60  
1  WAR MOON 1 7 42½ 55   75½ 118 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 41.60  
 
MVR-6   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:221 :454 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SKY 9 1 42½ 22½   2nk 11½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 9.10  
4  ROSE KNOWS 4 4 11½ 12½   1nk 21½ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.00 P
1  VAVITE 1 5 32 58½   35 36½ (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00 20.20  
6  SWEEPINJUSTICE 5 8 98 89¾   65¾ 48½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 18% 4.60 1.60  
2  YOU'RE A DANDY 2 9 53 68¾   55¾ 58¾ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 40.00  
7  MY GIRL GABBY 6 7 74 46½   45½ 611½ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
3  SOULSTONE 3 6 63½ 79¾   87 712¼ (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 6% 15.70 50.40  
8  JUMP INTO SANITY 7 3 86½ 910¼   98½ 816¾ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 13.80  
9  LA SMOOCHIE 8 2 21½ 36½   76¾ 922½ (melancon paul)BRACHO A 124 15.00 49.60  
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN               (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
MVR-7   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:23 :59       1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OKLAHOMA JOE 9 1 21½ 1nk   11 14½ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 16% 5.10 1.80 W
8  INTO GOLD 8 2 11½ 2nk   21 24½ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 6.00 30% 2.30 6.70 P
6  PAINT THE TOWN 6 9 910 63¾   53¾ 35 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 4.50 19% 4.10 2.20 S
1  HITE 1 7 76 73¾   63¾ 45¼ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.90  
7  K KID 7 5 44 52¼   33½ 56¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50 9.40  
2  WETZEL 2 6 86½ 84   85¼ 67¼ (cline rob)CORREA L 123 4.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
4  THE PINK Z 4 3 33 31½   43½ 78¼ (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00 41.70  
3  CONDEMNATION 3 8 64½ 41¾   74¼ 810½ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 9.30  
5  CRYPTO COPY 5 4 54 94   97¼ 913¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 13.20  
 
MVR-8   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARITA CINCO 1 5 12 11½   12 11¼ (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 11.50  
10  QUEENIE ROSE 9 1 45½ 32½   42¼ 21¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 124 6.00 15% 5.80 2.00 P
7  FANTOOSH 7 6 34 52¾   32 31¾ (dalton michell)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 43% 1.30 5.60 S
5  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 5 3 76¼ 88¾   74¾ 42¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
3  HERE COMES DOLLY 3 7 55½ 42½   22 54¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 15.00 19.90  
9  OH EYE SEE 8 2 65¾ 64¾   64¾ 65½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 46.60  
2  PENNY'S TREASURE 2 8 86¼ 78¼   85 77 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 20.00 24.40  
6  STORM OF NINETEEN 6 4 22 21½   53¾ 810½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
4  EMERALD EYES 4 9 96¾ 99¼   98½ 912 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00 36.50  
SCR  MAP TO MY HEART               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.