The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
MVR-2   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
MVR-3   Win (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
MVR-4   Win (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
MVR-5   Win (3/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $73.00 $73.00 67.00
MVR-6   Win (4/7/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $20.20 -10.00
MVR-7   Win (8/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
MVR-8   Win (7/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $25.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/23/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
:25 :491 1:142 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS LAUGHING 3 8 8 4 1nk 14 110¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.00 32% 2.20 1.90 W
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 2 7 4 5 4 36 210¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00 8.00  
LOFTY COWTOWN 1 1 2 21 2nk 24 313¼ (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 20% 3.90 4.20 S
KETTLE KISS 6 5 6 7 6 410 413¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 4.00 17% 5.00 1.80  
COURTED 4 9 9 9 8 510½ 517 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 61.20  
SAVE THE FLAG 7 4 7 8 9 812¼ 619¾ (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 124 3.00 6.20  
ELIKA 5 6 3 3 5 712 722 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 15.00 33.80  
UNESCORTED 8 2 5 6 7 913¾ 824¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 121 20.00 59.80  
10  MY DANCING QUEEN 9 3 1 11 32 612 933½ (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 7% 12.90 38.10  
SCR  PARFAIT               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-2   10/23/2023 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:23
:231 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BAMBINO 6 7 42 41   22 1(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 66% 0.50 0.20 W
MEXITEXAFORNIA 7 1 1½ 1nk   12 2(crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 7% 13.10 7.60 P
CUSSIN N FUSSIN 3 2 31 3½   43(urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20 S
DIXIE MAN 5 4 2½ 2nk   32 47 (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 20.00 75.10  
M EIGHTY 2 5 74 711   612¼ 514¾ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.00 12.70  
ZHU DADDY 1 6 6 610   712¼ 616 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00 17.50  
MR. BLUTARSKY 4 3 53 55   510¼ 718 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 8.80  
 
MVR-3   10/23/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
:224 :461       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPPING FISH 6 2 31 21   1½ 1(feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 4.50 34% 1.90 1.90 W
MON CAMO 5 1 1nk 11   2½ 2(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 4.70  
AUGER 1 7 4 4   43 3(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 12% 7.30 2.80 S
MASAI MAN 3 4 2nk 31   31 46 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 32% 2.10 3.30  
HAGLER 7 8 8 8   65(ginter raymond )BRACHO A 124 8.00 19.80  
VENETIAN DREAM 8 6 6 64   769 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 20.20  
GORMLEYS GOT GAME 4 5 7 7   879 (swingley duwayn)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 13.20  
D'MONEY HONEY 2 3 5 53   5811 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
:231 :473 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL SMOKESHOW 1 5 1½ 1½   12 1(ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50 25% 2.90 1.20 W
SMARTASSET 7 2 42 4   42(cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50 P
WINDY VALLEY 5 3 3½ 31   22 3(londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 13% 6.60 5.50 S
DOMINUS O'S ME 3 4 2½ 2½   32 410¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 2.00 40% 1.50 2.00  
STORMINATOR 2 6 7 8   5513¼ (bennett rob)CORREA L 126 15.00 39.30  
J. P INDY 6 8 8 7   6614¾ (cline c)DIAZ I 123 6.00 7.70  
SHEZ IN A TIZZY 8 1 5 66   7723¼ (adams l)HESS SARA 121 8.00 12.50  
CRYSTAL M 4 7 64 56   811¼ 828 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 59.10  
 
MVR-5   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
:231 :47 1:003     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ELLIE 5 5 3½ 2½   11 1¼ (castillo )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 35.50 W
10  YOU NAME IT 10 2 6 4   33 2¼ (gorham robe)CORREA L 124 4.50 17% 5.00 9.00 P
MAYBE FRANKY 7 11 8 7   44 3½ (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 4.20  
CHILLVILLE 2 9 53 6   64(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 9.20  
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 8 10 10 10   85(yoder d)RIVERA R 126 10.00 35.10  
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 3 8 1nk 1½   21 63 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 57% 0.70 0.70  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 6 4 118 11   1110¼ 75 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 10.00 32.40  
TV TIZ GORGEOUS 9 3 9 9   1086 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 56.80  
11  C MORE PRIDE 11 1 7 8   99(faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 29.80  
HOSANNA 4 6 2nk 3   55 107 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 6.00 8.60  
WAR MOON 1 7 4 55   7118 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 41.60  
 
MVR-6   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
:221 :454 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SKY 9 1 4 2   2nk 1(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 9.10  
ROSE KNOWS 4 4 1 1   1nk 2(skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.00 P
VAVITE 1 5 32 5   35 3(morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00 20.20  
SWEEPINJUSTICE 5 8 98 8   64(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 18% 4.60 1.60  
YOU'RE A DANDY 2 9 53 6   55(ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 40.00  
MY GIRL GABBY 6 7 74 4   4611½ (robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
SOULSTONE 3 6 6 7   87 712¼ (salcedo ra)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 6% 15.70 50.40  
JUMP INTO SANITY 7 3 8 910¼   9816¾ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 13.80  
LA SMOOCHIE 8 2 2 3   7922½ (melancon paul)BRACHO A 124 15.00 49.60  
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN               (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
MVR-7   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
:23 :59       1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKLAHOMA JOE 9 1 2 1nk   11 1(radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 5.00 16% 5.10 1.80 W
INTO GOLD 8 2 1 2nk   21 2(diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 6.00 30% 2.30 6.70 P
PAINT THE TOWN 6 9 910 6   535 (gorham m)DIAZ I 121 4.50 19% 4.10 2.20 S
HITE 1 7 76 7   64(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.90  
K KID 7 5 44 5   35(zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50 9.40  
WETZEL 2 6 8 84   86(cline rober)CORREA L 123 4.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
THE PINK Z 4 3 33 3   47(silva fernand)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00 41.70  
CONDEMNATION 3 8 6 4   7810½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 9.30  
CRYPTO COPY 5 4 54 94   9913¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 13.20  
 
MVR-8   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
:231 :471 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGARITA CINCO 1 5 12 1   12 1(castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 11.50  
10  QUEENIE ROSE 9 1 4 3   42(cline c)DIAZ I 124 6.00 15% 5.80 2.00 P
FANTOOSH 7 6 34 5   32 3(dalton michelle)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 43% 1.30 5.60 S
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 5 3 7 8   74(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
HERE COMES DOLLY 3 7 5 4   22 5(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 121 15.00 19.90  
OH EYE SEE 8 2 6 6   66(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 46.60  
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 8 8 7   85 77 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 20.00 24.40  
STORM OF NINETEEN 6 4 22 2   5810½ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
EMERALD EYES 4 9 9 9   9912 (salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00 36.50  
SCR  MAP TO MY HEART               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.