Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/10)-(3/1/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/10)-(3/1/6/10)-(3/1/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/10)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/10)-(6/7/3)-(7/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(7/3/1/2)-(3/1/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(3/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/7)-(3/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/7)-(3/10/5)-(4/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/5)-(3/10/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/5)-(3/10/4/5/2)-(3/10/4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/10/5)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/5)-(4/7/6/3)-(8/6/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(8/6/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(8/6/9/2)-(7/5/10/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/9/2)-(7/5/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/6)-(7/5/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/6)-(7/5/10/6)-(7/5/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOFTY COWTOWN Sep22 Aug24 Aug01 Jul05 Aug31 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Oct03 Sep22 Aug21 Jul27 May22 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00    
3  ALWAYS LAUGHING Oct01 Sep02 Jul09 Jun11 Apr28 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
4  COURTED Sep20 Aug29 Jul26 Jul17 Jun27 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
5  ELIKA Oct05 Sep19 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 15.00    
6  KETTLE KISS Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 Jun30 May31 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
7  SAVE THE FLAG Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 124 3.00    
8  UNESCORTED Oct01 Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 121 20.00    
SCR  PARFAIT Sep30 Sep06 Aug24 Jul22 Jun15 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00    
10  MY DANCING QUEEN Oct01 Sep18 Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-2   10/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZHU DADDY Sep23 Jul19       (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARGENTA by MINESHAFT)
2  M EIGHTY         (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of ZO BOW by OXBOW)
3  CUSSIN N FUSSIN Oct03 Sep05 Aug10     (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
4  MR. BLUTARSKY Sep09 Aug26       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  DIXIE MAN Oct03 Sep05       (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
6  EL BAMBINO Oct03 Sep05       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
  (by CONNECT out of REZISTER by DEPUTY MINISTER)
7  MEXITEXAFORNIA Sep28 Sep05 Aug11 Jul12 Jun08 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 7% 13.10    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
 
MVR-3   10/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGER Oct06 Sep18 Sep07 Jul31 Jul12 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 12% 7.30    
2  D'MONEY HONEY Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jul07 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MASAI MAN Sep28 Sep15 Sep03 Aug08 Jul16 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Aug23 Aug10 Aug03 Jun04 Apr29 (swingley duwa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN Oct10 Sep27 Sep07 Jul31 Jun24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
6  MON CAMO Oct06 Sep18 Aug30 Jul26 Jun19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
7  FLIPPING FISH Sep05 Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
8  HAGLER Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 Aug18 Aug05 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
9  VENETIAN DREAM Oct06 Sep27 Sep18 Sep05 Aug23 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Sep30 Sep15 Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50 25% 2.90    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
2  STORMINATOR Oct06         (bennett r)CORREA L 126 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
3  DOMINUS O'S ME Oct05 Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
4  CRYSTAL M Sep16 Oct31 Oct05 Sep01   (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of OVERNIGHTSENSATION by BERTRANDO)
5  WINDY VALLEY Oct05 Sep19 Aug31 Aug12   (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
6  J. P INDY Oct05 Aug31 Aug12     (cline c)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  SMARTASSET Sep19         (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
8  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Aug05 Jul19 (adams l)HESS SARA 121 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
MVR-5   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MOON Sep26 Aug29 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  CHILLVILLE Oct12 Sep26 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 ★    
3  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Jul27 Jun30 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
4  HOSANNA Sep26 Aug29 Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
5  MISS ELLIE Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 May06 Apr27 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 Jun26 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
7  MAYBE FRANKY Sep28 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
8  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Oct03 Sep11 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 (yoder d)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
9  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
10  YOU NAME IT Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 Dec12 (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
11  C MORE PRIDE Oct06 Sep21 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
 
MVR-6   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAVITE Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug07 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00    
2  YOU'RE A DANDY Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug30 Aug15 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
3  SOULSTONE Oct07 Sep23 Sep07 Aug15 Aug04 (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 6% 15.70    
4  ROSE KNOWS Oct02 Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jun26 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
6  SWEEPINJUSTICE Oct02 Sep11 Jun14 May02 Sep29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
7  MY GIRL GABBY Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  JUMP INTO SANITY Oct09 Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
9  LA SMOOCHIE Aug12 Jun21 May29 May21 Feb09 (melancon paul)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
10  SKY Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITE Sep25 Jun24 Dec03 Nov12 Oct10 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  WETZEL Sep30 Sep11 Aug23 Aug12 Jul27 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  CONDEMNATION Oct13 Sep20 Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
4  THE PINK Z Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 May17 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
5  CRYPTO COPY Sep04 Feb01 Dec21 Oct24 Sep29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
6  PAINT THE TOWN Jun24 Jun02 May05 Apr24 Mar30 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 4.50 19% 4.10    
7  K KID Oct06 Aug23 Jul31 Jul06 Jun24 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50    
8  INTO GOLD Sep20 Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
9  OKLAHOMA JOE Oct12 Sep13 Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
MVR-8   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARITA CINCO Oct04 Sep04 Aug03 Jul24 Jul04 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
2  PENNY'S TREASURE Oct04 Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 20.00    
3  HERE COMES DOLLY Oct04 Sep04 Jul24 Jun24 Jun01 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 15.00    
4  EMERALD EYES Sep28 Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 Jun30 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
5  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Sep04 Aug03 Jun05 May15 Apr25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  STORM OF NINETEEN Sep07 Jul27 Jun30 Jan23 Dec27 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FANTOOSH Oct06 Jul20       (dalton michell)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MAP TO MY HEART Aug22 Aug03 Jul24 Jul06 May15 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50    
9  OH EYE SEE Oct04 Sep19 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
10  QUEENIE ROSE Oct04 Sep04 Jul24 Jul04 Jan23 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.