The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $23.90 -6.00
FE-2   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
FE-3   Win (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
FE-4   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
FE-5   Win (4/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $14.90 -8.00
FE-6   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.70 -6.00
FE-7   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $28.80 $28.80 22.80
FE-8   Win (3/6/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J M R TUREK 5 1 2 21   11 1(albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 10.95  
WHISPER ME A SONG 3 5 4 44   32 2(robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 117 1.80 21% 3.70 1.50 P
FAJARDO 2 2 1 11   21 3(powell d)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 30% 2.40 2.50 S
BLASITO 4 4 5 6   64 4(ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 3.30  
CATRIN 6 3 3 33   45(humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00 45.25  
LETS SAY THIS 1 6 6 5   54 6(humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 18% 4.70 4.20  
 
FE-2   09/26/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:221 :452       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUP SPOON 4 6 1nk 1½   11 1(ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 2.00 44% 1.30 0.75 W
BOUND LUCKY 2 3 5 6   42(ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 4.80  
C BY THE SEA 3 5 7 7   73(agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 12.00 53.85  
GUNZIG STINGER 7 7 6 54   54(rabstein)ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00 9.25  
LIL GREEN MACHINE 5 4 3.2 2½   21 5(chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 11% 8.20 3.90  
ROYAL BIZ 1 2 2nk 3½   36(humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 15.00 48.40  
NAVAL OFFICER 6 1 4 43   67(mitchell j)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 24% 3.20 6.85  
 
FE-3   09/26/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
:241 :472 1:112 1:37   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIATUS 2 1 1 1 1 11(voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 43% 1.30 0.70 W
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 3 3 65 710 5 34 2(simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 10.00 6.45  
THELONIOUS 5 2 4 43 2 23(concessi)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 10.30  
UNILATERAL 1 7 7 69 69 56 411½ (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 8.60  
KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) 6 5 2 2 3 46 513 (baumgart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 17% 5.00 11.15  
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 7 4 3 3 4 6618 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.85  
CRYPTIC CREED 4 6 5 57 711 7732¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 12% 7.50 18.80  
SCR  SUPREMEACTION               (rombis e)SALLES LEO 124 8.00    
 
FE-4   09/26/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
:23 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE GOT IT GOOD 5 1 21 2½   2nk 1¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.15 W
TANGERINE TWIST 1 3 3 32   31 2¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 4.90  
FOREST CHOICE 7 2 11 1½   1nk 3¾ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 8.30  
UNABLE 4 4 56 5   54(agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 37% 1.70 1.05  
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 3 5 6 67   65(thompson vale)WENC C 122 12.00 9% 9.70 33.50  
MISS SCHILLER 2 7 44 4   468 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 8.00 37.95  
ONLY BELIEVE 6 6 77 79   7713¾ (corbett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 12.35  
 
FE-5   09/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
:224 :452 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERITAMEN 2 8 2nk 22   21 1¾ (mattine john)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 6.45  
SECRET SUNSHINE 8 2 8 79   43 2¾ (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 10.00 52.00  
ZIPPITY DAY 4 7 5 67   33(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 48% 1.10 2.50 S
HERMIONE GRANGER 9 1 1nk 12   11 4(robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 12% 7.40 1.70  
MANITOULIN ISLAND 7 5 911¾ 915   85(krczmar zelko)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 12.00 27.10  
HONEYS DIAMOND 1 9 4 46   53 6(wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 6.00 17.60  
MISS MOLLY LALOU 6 4 7 5   77(agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 27.05  
TEQUILAS MELODY 3 3 3.2 3   64 88 (rabstein)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
NORTHERN PASSAGE 5 6 6 810   9910¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 11% 8.20 3.95  
 
FE-6   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
:221 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTE'S SILVER 3 5 4 2nk   1nk 1nk (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 6.85  
GETTING AHEAD 5 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 2nk (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 11% 8.50 1.60 P
HEADING WEST 1 4 3 4   33(neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 17% 4.70 1.40 S
MY GIRL GABBY 4 6 6 53   42 4(voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 10.15  
NICOLE'S SONG 7 3 5 6   65(blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 31.10  
SPIRIT BELLE 6 1 2nk 3½   53 68 (meli sal)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 42% 1.40 11.45  
SPRING HIGH 2 7 73 7   7714¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 10.65  
 
FE-7   09/26/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
:233 :472 1:13     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKES SENSE TO ME 6 2 44 53   1nk 12 (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 30% 2.30 13.40 W
MIZZ GEMMA 9 7 88 96   922 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 15.00 17.00  
FAVORITE CHANNEL 4 8 3 42   632 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00 5% 19.00 3.85 S
SILENT WARNING 7 5 55 6   54(lister steven)VIVES SOFIA 115 10.00 4.55  
10  SMARTY ILLUSION 10 10 9 8   85(pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 8.00 16.60  
LOADED SECRET 1 1 1½ 1½   2nk 64 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 5.40  
ISA BREEZE 3 3 2½ 2½   476 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 45% 1.20 11.60  
TURF AND SURF 5 6 66 3   31 8(agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 1.65  
HEAR ME KNOCKING 2 4 7 7   798 (capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 20.00 56.50  
FLAT OUT ANGEL 8 9 1013 10   101012 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 77.45  
SCR  VELIKIY               (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
 
FE-8   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
:222 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LINDYSUE 3 4 11 1   11 1(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 12% 7.30 2.50 W
PICK A PENNY 1 8 8 8   33 2(fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 44% 1.30 1.30 P
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 2 3 32 3   21 3(albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 19.80  
11  BELLE FEMME 9 7 911½ 911¼   8410¼ (will)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 30.00 37.05  
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 6 5 6 6   6510¾ (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00 5.10  
SPEEDY NEPHRITE 5 9 43 4   43 612 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 36.70  
BETKA 4 10 1019½ 1016¼   10713½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 23% 3.40 17.70  
10  ALWAY'S ROSIE 8 6 7 5   75 814½ (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00 8.65  
12  SAGED ENERGY 10 1 54 7   9919½ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 20.00 88.10  
COSMIC SHOT 7 2 21 2   51024¼ (fournier mark)DACOSTA W 122 12.00 17.25  
SCR  ONLY AT MIDNITE               (mandalfino pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.