Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-4   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (4/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-8   Win (3/6/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETS SAY THIS Sep11 Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 18% 4.70    
FAJARDO Sep11 Aug25 Aug11 Oct02   (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
WHISPER ME A SONG Aug28 Jul29 Jun11     (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 117 1.80 21% 3.70    
BLASITO Sep08 Aug04 Jul14 Jun04 May06 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
J M R TUREK Sep11 Jul21 Jul14     (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00    
CATRIN Sep11 Aug15 Jul24 Jul11 Jun18 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00    
 
FE-2   09/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL BIZ Aug29 Aug13 Jul10 Jun27 Nov25 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 15.00    
BOUND LUCKY Aug29 Jul24 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
C BY THE SEA Sep11 Aug13 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 12.00    
SOUP SPOON Sep11 Sep05 Aug13 Jul31 Jun16 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
LIL GREEN MACHINE Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
NAVAL OFFICER Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 (mitchell j)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
GUNZIG STINGER Aug29 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 Jun06 (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 122 5.00    
 
FE-3   09/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNILATERAL Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00    
HIATUS Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 Jul31 Jul24 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 43% 1.30    
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun18 (simms c)MAILHOT P 124 10.00    
CRYPTIC CREED Sep12 Jul24 Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 12% 7.50    
THELONIOUS Sep18 Sep05 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (concessi)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00    
SCR  SUPREMEACTION Sep18 Aug28 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 (rombis e)SALLES LEO 124 8.00    
KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) Sep05 Aug18 Jun24 Jun09 Dec08 (baumgart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 17% 5.00    
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   09/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANGERINE TWIST Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jul04 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00    
MISS SCHILLER Aug29 Jul31 Jul10 Jun13 May30 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 8.00    
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU Sep12 Jul25 Jul10 Oct11 Sep19 (thompson vale)WENC C 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
UNABLE Aug24 Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 Jun01 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
EYE GOT IT GOOD Aug21 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
ONLY BELIEVE Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun26 (corbett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
FOREST CHOICE Sep12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 Jun10 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00    
 
FE-5   09/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYS DIAMOND Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 Oct07 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 6.00    
MERITAMEN Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 Jun29 Jun11 (mattine john)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
TEQUILAS MELODY Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jul04 (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPITY DAY Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
NORTHERN PASSAGE Sep14 Aug18 Aug06 Jul06 Jun18 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
MISS MOLLY LALOU Aug29 Aug22 Jul31 Jul16 Jun27 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00    
MANITOULIN ISLAND Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (krczmar zelko)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SECRET SUNSHINE Sep12 Jul13 Jun13 May27 May07 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 10.00    
HERMIONE GRANGER Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
FE-6   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADING WEST Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 Jun13 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 17% 4.70    
SPRING HIGH Sep04 Aug25 Aug05 Jun22 May25 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00    
CHARLOTTE'S SILVER Aug05 Jun22 May25 May06 Dec10 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
MY GIRL GABBY Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50    
GETTING AHEAD Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun13 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
SPIRIT BELLE Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 Jul20 (meli sal)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
NICOLE'S SONG Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun18 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
 
FE-7   09/26/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED SECRET Sep18 Aug25 Jul31 Jul11 Nov24 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
HEAR ME KNOCKING Sep12 Aug22 Jul11 Jul03 Jun18 (capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 20.00    
ISA BREEZE Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul16 Jun26 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 45% 1.20    
FAVORITE CHANNEL Aug28 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
TURF AND SURF Sep07 Aug10 Jul20 Jun23 May28 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50    
MAKES SENSE TO ME Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
SILENT WARNING Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul20 (lister steven)VIVES SOFIA 115 10.00    
FLAT OUT ANGEL Sep12 Aug29 Jun12 Jun06 Dec09 (wills daniel)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
MIZZ GEMMA Sep11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 15.00    
10  SMARTY ILLUSION Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 Nov12 Oct24 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 8.00    
SCR  VELIKIY Sep03 Aug05 Jul08 Jun11 May07 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
 
FE-8   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE         (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
SCR  ONLY AT MIDNITE Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 (mandalfino pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
PICK A PENNY Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 May05 Dec08 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Aug28 Aug21 Aug10 Jul20 Jun17 (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00    
MISS LINDYSUE Aug21 Jul13 Jun03     (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
BETKA         (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
SPEEDY NEPHRITE Sep11         (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Sep11 Aug08 Jul12 Jun09 May25 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00    
COSMIC SHOT Aug21 Jul16 Dec01 Nov10 Oct10 (fournier mark)DACOSTA W 122 12.00    
10  ALWAY'S ROSIE Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  BELLE FEMME Jul31 Jun13 May30 Sep20 Aug29 (will)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 30.00    
12  SAGED ENERGY Aug13 Jul31 Jul16     (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.