Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $6.30  
FE-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
FE-3   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
FE-4   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $5.60  
FE-5   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.50  
FE-6   Win (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $21.80 $21.80 13.80
FE-7   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $7.80  
FE-8   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
FE-9   Win (5/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $24.00 $24.00 16.00
FE-10   Win (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $17.70  
FE-11   Win (2/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :464       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL IN HER HEART 3 5 53 4   32 1 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 2.15  
VERI UNIFIED 2 3 1½ 11   11 2 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50 P
FEEL LIKE GUESSING 5 2 31 21   21 34 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 2.20  
FOREST CHOICE 4 4 41 3   4 4 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 6.70  
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 1 1 2½ 5   5 510¼ (thompson vale)WENC C 120 6.00 22% 3.50 16.45  
 
FE-2   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lake Erie Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:232 :453 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE BAY HEMINGWAY 4 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (attard c)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 2.00 32% 2.10 0.60 W
ONE MORE BREW 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2nk (adamo anthony)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00 3.40  
POULIN IN O T 3 6 6 3   3 3 (owens steve)MUNGER RYAN 124 3.00 42% 1.40 3.50 S
GUNS N' ROJAS 2 5 52 5   4 4 (buntain angus)STEIN JUSTIN 118 5.00 5% 19.00 22.15  
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 6 2 4 4   5 5 (cecca)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00 18.65  
WALTER ME LAD 1 4 3½ 6   6 6 (love m)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50 20.65  
 
FE-3   09/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK THE CAT 7 4 42 43 1½ 1 1nk (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 16% 5.20 1.55 W
DOCTOR UPTOWN 3 8 7 7 6 2 2nk (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 1.55  
CRYPTIC CREED 4 3 32 3 55 43 3 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 50.15 S
WILLIAM BOY 6 5 53 5 4 6 46 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 19.60  
DIAMONDBACK 2 1 11 11 2½ 33 5 (crete pierre)WENC C 124 6.00 22.50  
VETTORI KIN (BRZ) 1 2 6 65 76 7 68 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 61% 0.60 3.25  
JEGOS FIRE 5 6 21 21 3 5 7 (holder tedston)WALCOTT W 122 10.00 20.80  
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 8 7 8 8 88 8 810½ (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 23.50  
 
FE-4   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rondeau Bay Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHIONABLY FAB 7 2 32 21   2½ 1hd (attard kevin)HUSBANDS P 122 4.50 1.80  
FOOLISH GAMES 5 3 11 11   1½ 2hd (love m)MORENO OMAR 122 2.00 49% 1.10 5.35 P
SOUPER SINCLAIR 2 5 53 4   4 3 (hall philip)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.00 5.25  
ANAM CARA 1 6 7 6   6 4 (ritchie sarah)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 7.05  
VERI GIZMO 3 7 6 72   3 5 (carroll josie)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00 19% 4.30 2.10  
FLOWERS 'N BERRIES 4 1 4 5   5 6 (mcdonald micha)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 10.00 21.90  
LANTANA LADY 6 4 21 31   7 721 (attard steve)MUNGER RYAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
SCR  SARAH'S DANCER               (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 118 15.00    
 
FE-5   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE FIRE 5 3 4 4   4 1hd (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 2.50 3.75  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 3 5 2 2½   1nk 2hd (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 3.10  
JUNGLE GODDESS 4 2 1 1½   2nk 3¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 24% 3.20 3.20 S
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 2 1 3 3   31 4 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 1.60 25% 3.10 1.65  
SUBZERO PLUS 1 4 5 5   53 5 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 124 6.00 5.95  
 
FE-6   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Molson Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:392     1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRISH THE DISH 7 4 68 512½ 4 22 1 (capi m)SINGH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90 W
GLITTER BAY 3 1 12 1 14 12 2 (bailey j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 21% 3.70 3.20 P
DOODLE DANDY 8 8 811½ 717½ 615 6 35 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 15.00 33.65  
REIGN BY REIN 4 2 46 410½ 5 43 4 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 11.35  
MENAGERIE 5 6 710½ 818½ 819½ 8 5 (albu ken)VIVES SOFIA 122 8.00 19.05  
MONASTERY LANE 6 5 58 613 716 7 6 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.55  
PLUIE D'AVRIL 2 7 22 2 24 32 7 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 11% 7.90 4.75  
AWILDAS TREASURE 1 3 3 3 3 54 811½ (powell dale )CAMPOS LUIS 122 5.00 5.50  
 
FE-7   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLENE JOLENE 2 6 2½ 1nk   12 1 (ladauceur harold)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.00 2.90  
ZIPPITY DAY 7 3 4 5   32 2 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 63% 0.60 0.80 P
ONLY BELIEVE 1 7 1½ 2nk   22 38 (corbett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 15.00  
SECRET SUNSHINE 4 5 64 6   6 4 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 4.00 13.20  
HONEYS DIAMOND 5 1 3 3   4 510 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 5.00 4.00  
LUNATICA 6 2 78 7   7 610½ (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
ORIGINAL ME 3 4 5 4   5 711½ (keen)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 12.00 50.75  
 
FE-8   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Le Cinquieme Essai Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNIE VAN GO 5 1 12 1   13 12 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 25% 3.00 0.65 W
MAYITO 2 2 55 5   23 22 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.05 P
ALACRITOUS 1 6 3 34   34 3 (buttigieg kevin)BYNOE DESEAN 124 2.00 48% 1.10 4.45 S
MOBILIZER 3 5 22 2   44 48 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 26.05  
JACK BEANSTALK 4 4 4 6   66 5 (drexler )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 2.85  
I LIVE BY FAITH 6 3 66 4   55 6 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 122 10.00 17.50  
SCR  VICTORY MARCH               (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00    
 
FE-9   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12 1:392   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT BELLE 5 1 1 1 1 1 12 (meli salvato)CAMPOS LUIS 120 4.50 35% 1.80 11.00 W
MAKES SENSE TO ME 2 2 6 7 3 2 22 (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 15% 5.90 4.55 P
ISA BREEZE 4 5 3 2 2 3 3 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 8% 12.00 3.00 S
DONNARUMMA 6 8 4 56 8 56 4 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 4.60  
SUPER COOL STORM 8 6 7 67 6 4 5 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50 17% 4.70 2.10  
FLAT OUT ANGEL 1 7 87 8 7 6 6 (wills daniel)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 20.95  
TOTAL BETTY 7 3 54 45 5 77 712¼ (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 6.80  
HEAR ME KNOCKING 3 4 2 3 4 88 815¾ (capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 38.90  
 
FE-10   09/12/2023 6270ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Prince Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:101 1:352   1:551   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VELOCITOR 9 4 31 3 21 1½ 11 (attard kevin)STEIN JUSTIN 126 6.00 7.85  
KAUKOKAIPUU 5 2 4 63 43 3½ 21 (holder tedston)WALCOTT W 126 12.00 5% 19.00 7.75 P
PARAMOUNT PRINCE 7 1 11 11 11 2½ 3 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 126 1.60 37% 1.70 2.70 S
12  COOL KISS 11 10 10 99 7 4 4 (depaulo mich)CAMPOS LUIS 126 8.00 9.90  
TIBURON 8 5 97 10 8 7 59 (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 126 15.00 13.10  
TWIN CITY 2 6 7 74 6 64 610¾ (simon stuart)BOULANGER G 126 12.00 26.00  
STANLEY HOUSE 3 3 5 4 31 5 711½ (depau)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 4.00 36% 1.80 1.55  
TRINITY PARK 4 11 1110½ 1110½ 10 8 823¼ (dunslow mike)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 126 30.00 ######  
STAYHONOR GOODSIDE 6 8 6 53 9 9 929¼ (casse mark)WILSON JAYNE 126 10.00 32.40  
MORSTACHY'S 1 7 8 88 1110¾ 1111 1036½ (lafond e)SALLES LEO 126 30.00 76.15  
11  OTTAWA 10 9 21 21 54 10 1140 (carroll josie)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 20.00 13.85  
SCR  ARMALINE               (mcknight norma)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 30.00    
 
FE-11   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING MOON 6 1 21 11   1½ 11 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.40 W
PAPERBACK HERO 2 7 3 21   2½ 21 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 36% 1.80 1.90 P
BEYOND MY DREAMS 1 8 7 57   4 3 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 15.65  
EXCEED 4 3 5 6   5 48 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.65  
PRIVATE LAKE 8 2 44 42   3 58 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 12.60  
BOCELLI (IRE) 5 6 810½ 812¾   7 6 (keen)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 20.00 58.70  
WENJACK 7 5 68 710¼   8 714½ (husbands)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 10.30  
W W SPRINGTIME 3 4 11 31   6 820¾ (mcmahon g)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 8% 12.10 4.35  
SCR  SUMMER RETREAT               (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.