Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-6   Win (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-7   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-8   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-9   Win (5/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-10   Win (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-11   Win (2/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   09/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU Jul25 Jul10 Oct11 Sep19   (thompson vale)WENC C 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
VERI UNIFIED Aug01 Jul18 Jun26 Jun18 Oct22 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
DEVIL IN HER HEART Aug24 Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00    
FOREST CHOICE Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 Jun10 May12 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50    
FEEL LIKE GUESSING Jul10 Jun18 May23 Mar29 Feb25 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00    
 
FE-2   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lake Erie Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALTER ME LAD Aug17 Jul23 Jun23 May20 Sep16 (love m)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50    
GUNS N' ROJAS Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 Jun09 May20 (buntain angus)STEIN JUSTIN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
POULIN IN O T Jul30 Jul08 Jun11 Dec09 Oct14 (owens steve)MUNGER RYAN 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
ONE BAY HEMINGWAY Aug27 Jul30 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (attard c)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
ONE MORE BREW Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 Sep11 Aug28 (adamo anthony)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00    
DON'T STOP DREAMIN Aug22 Jul24 Jul07 May28 May13 (cecca)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
FE-3   09/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VETTORI KIN (BRZ) Aug22 Jul10 May23 Mar24 Mar04 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
DIAMONDBACK Aug21 Aug07 Jun27 May30 Oct17 (crete pierre)WENC C 124 6.00    
DOCTOR UPTOWN Sep04 Aug22 Aug11 Jun13 Nov03 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00    
CRYPTIC CREED Jul24 Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 Oct17 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JEGOS FIRE Dec11 Dec02 Nov25 Nov04 Oct16 (holder tedston)WALCOTT W 122 10.00    
WILLIAM BOY Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 Jul03 Jun13 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
JACK THE CAT Aug03 Jul21 Jun29 Jun11 May21 (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun18 Jun13 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00    
 
FE-4   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rondeau Bay Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANAM CARA Jul30 Jul08 Jun10 May12 Dec09 (ritchie sarah)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
SOUPER SINCLAIR Aug27 Jul30 Jul08 Jun10 May27 (hall philip)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.00    
VERI GIZMO Jul22 Jul02 Nov10     (carroll josie)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
FLOWERS 'N BERRIES Jul30 Jul08 Jun10 May21 Dec09 (mcdonald micha)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 10.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DANCER Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 May19   (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 118 15.00    
FOOLISH GAMES Jul30 Jul08 May21 Apr29   (love m)MORENO OMAR 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
LANTANA LADY Aug26 Jul30 Jul07     (attard steve)MUNGER RYAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FASHIONABLY FAB Aug13 Jul23 Jun10 Dec09 Nov03 (attard kevin)HUSBANDS P 122 4.50    
 
FE-5   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBZERO PLUS Sep05 Aug22 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 124 6.00    
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun16 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 1.60 25% 3.10    
SHANGHAI KIMMY Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Oct24 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 3.50    
JUNGLE GODDESS Sep05 Jul18 Jun27 Jun12 May23 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
LITTLE FIRE Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 2.50    
 
FE-6   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Molson Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWILDAS TREASURE Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 (powell dale )CAMPOS LUIS 122 5.00    
PLUIE D'AVRIL Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 Jun18 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
GLITTER BAY Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 Jun26 Jun06 (bailey j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
REIGN BY REIN Sep05 Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 Jun18 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
MENAGERIE Aug17 Jul31 Jul24 Jul13 Jun26 (albu ken)VIVES SOFIA 122 8.00    
MONASTERY LANE Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jun15 Nov26 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
TRISH THE DISH Aug22 Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 May27 (capi m)SINGH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOODLE DANDY Aug29 Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 Jul03 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 
FE-7   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLY BELIEVE Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 (corbett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00    
JOLENE JOLENE Aug11 Aug03 Jun15 Dec08 Nov17 (ladauceur harold)BYNOE DESEAN 115 3.00    
ORIGINAL ME Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 Dec08 Nov24 (keen)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 12.00    
SECRET SUNSHINE Jul13 Jun13 May27 May07 Dec09 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 4.00    
HONEYS DIAMOND Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 Oct07   (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 5.00    
LUNATICA Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPPITY DAY Aug29 Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
FE-8   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Le Cinquieme Essai Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALACRITOUS Jul18 Jun18 May30 Apr23 Mar23 (buttigieg kevin)BYNOE DESEAN 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
MAYITO Sep04 Aug21 Aug13 Aug03 Jun15 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOBILIZER Sep04 Aug21 Aug11 Jul24 Jul11 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
SCR  VICTORY MARCH Aug08 Jul03 Jun16 May26 Apr21 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00    
JACK BEANSTALK Aug21 Jul16 Jun26 Jun18 Jun01 (drexler )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
VINNIE VAN GO Sep04 Jul31 Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
I LIVE BY FAITH Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 122 10.00    
 
FE-9   09/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT ANGEL Aug29 Jun12 Jun06 Dec09 Nov11 (wills daniel)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
MAKES SENSE TO ME Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 15% 5.90    
HEAR ME KNOCKING Aug22 Jul11 Jul03 Jun18 May27 (capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
ISA BREEZE Aug29 Aug15 Jul16 Jun26   (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 8% 12.00    
SPIRIT BELLE Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 Jul20 Jun29 (meli salvato)CAMPOS LUIS 120 4.50 35% 1.80    
DONNARUMMA Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
TOTAL BETTY Sep03 Aug17 Jul31 Jul09 Jun22 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 122 3.00    
SUPER COOL STORM Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 May03 Mar09 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50 17% 4.70    
 
FE-10   09/12/2023 6270ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Prince Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMALINE Aug13 Nov25       (mcknight norma)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 30.00    
MORSTACHY'S Aug20 Jul23 Jun18 May26 Apr30 (lafond e)SALLES LEO 126 30.00    
TWIN CITY Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 May21 Nov06 (simon stuart)BOULANGER G 126 12.00    
STANLEY HOUSE Aug20 Jul23 Jun18 May06 Mar25 (depau)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
TRINITY PARK Aug19 Jul15 May26 Nov20 Oct02 (dunslow mike)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 126 30.00    
KAUKOKAIPUU Aug20 Jul01 Jun11 May20 Apr29 (holder tedston)WALCOTT W 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
STAYHONOR GOODSIDE Jul23 Jul01 May21 Apr30 Nov06 (casse mark)WILSON JAYNE 126 10.00    
PARAMOUNT PRINCE Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 Apr30 Dec09 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
TIBURON Jul23 Jun10 May20     (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 126 15.00    
10  VELOCITOR Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 May21 Nov06 (attard kevin)STEIN JUSTIN 126 6.00    
11  OTTAWA Jul30 Jul02       (carroll josie)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 20.00    
12  COOL KISS Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 May06 Apr01 (depaulo mich)CAMPOS LUIS 126 8.00    
 
FE-11   09/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND MY DREAMS Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jun27 Jun13 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
PAPERBACK HERO Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
W W SPRINGTIME Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul01 Jun15 (mcmahon g)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 8% 12.10    
EXCEED Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 Jun09 May19 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUMMER RETREAT Aug09 Aug01 Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00    
BOCELLI (IRE) Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 Jun18 May30 (keen)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 20.00    
STRIKING MOON Aug15 Aug04 Jul16 Jun27 Jun13 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
WENJACK Sep02 Aug22 Aug11 Aug03 Jul21 (husbands)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
PRIVATE LAKE Jul03 Jun18 Feb18 Feb01 Jan15 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.